PredictionsSpain La Liga

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid

Atletico Madrid
2:1
Full Time · 20 Sep 2026
Real Madrid

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsResult
Match Result (1X2) Away 77% 42.2% @2.12
Double Chance 12 73% 74.3% @1.31
BTTS Yes 84% 54.8% @1.46
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 85% 56.3% @1.50
Correct Score 1-2 61% 6.3% @8.00
Draw (value pick) Draw 56% 25.3% @3.80
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 65% 55.6% @1.50

⚽ Model expected goals: Atletico Madrid 1.68 – 1.61 Real Madrid · expected total 3.29

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result.

📈 Team Trends

Atletico Madrid

Won 2 in a row BTTS 3 of 6 Over 2.5: 6 of 6 Scored in 5 of 6 Clean sheets: 2 of 6

Real Madrid

Won 3 in a row Unbeaten 3 BTTS 4 of 6 Over 2.5: 5 of 6 Scored in 5 of 6 Clean sheets: 1 of 6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — La Liga

Atletico Madrid

3rd best attack (2.30 goals/game) Best defence (1.00 conceded/game) Best Over 2.5 rate (100%) 2nd best clean sheets (3)

Real Madrid

2nd best attack (2.80 goals/game) Best defence (1.00 conceded/game) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%)

Rank among 20 La Liga teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Atletico Madrid (at home)Real Madrid (away)
Played33
Wins–Draws–Losses2-1-02-0-1
Goals scored (avg)2.71.7
Goals conceded (avg)0.71.3
Clean sheets20
Failed to score01

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road — the split that matters for this fixture.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Atletico Madrid 1 win · 3 draws · Real Madrid 3 wins · avg 3.4 goals · BTTS in 7 of 7

DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
22 Mar 2026 Real Madrid 3–2 Atletico Madrid La Liga
08 Jan 2026 Atletico Madrid 1–2 Real Madrid Super Cup
27 Sep 2025 Atletico Madrid 5–2 Real Madrid La Liga
04 Mar 2025 Real Madrid 2–1 Atletico Madrid UEFA Champions League
08 Feb 2025 Real Madrid 1–1 Atletico Madrid La Liga
29 Sep 2024 Atletico Madrid 1–1 Real Madrid La Liga
04 Feb 2024 Real Madrid 1–1 Atletico Madrid La Liga

📈 Recent Form

Atletico Madrid

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
16/09 Osasuna Home 4–0 W
13/09 Real Sociedad Away 3–0 W
09/09 Liverpool Away 1–2 L
05/09 Athletic Club Away 0–3 L
29/08 Sevilla Away 3–1 W

Real Madrid

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
15/09 Elche Away 3–2 W
12/09 Rayo Vallecano Home 4–1 W
08/09 Inter Home 2–1 W
04/09 Real Betis Away 0–1 L
30/08 Malaga Home 4–0 W

📊 Season Comparison — La Liga

Atletico MadridReal Madrid
League position42
Points1315
Played66
Wins–Draws–Losses4-1-15-0-1
Goals scored (avg)2.32.8
Goals conceded (avg)11
Clean sheets31
Failed to score11
Penalties (scored/missed)1/01/1
Yellow cards1010
Red cards10
xG for (avg)0.922.81
xG against (avg)1.560.75
Corners for (avg)5.37.1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Atletico Madrid

0-15
1
16-30
2
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
2
76-90
6
scored conceded

Real Madrid

0-15
2
3
16-30
3
1
31-45
3
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
2
76-90
5
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Atletico Madrid

  • ❌ J. Alvarez — Lacking Match Fitness
  • ❌ T. Lemar — Injury
  • ❌ C. Romero — Injury
  • ❌ A. Sorloth — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ O. Vargas — Coach's decision
  • ❌ R. Le Normand — Red Card
  • ❌ P. Barrios — Muscle Injury

Real Madrid

  • ❌ R. Asencio — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ Eder Militao — Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ Endrick — Muscle Injury
  • ❌ F. Mendy — Hip Injury
  • ❌ T. Pitarch — Knee Injury
  • ❌ Rodrygo — Knee Injury
  • ❌ A. Tchouameni — Muscle Injury

More: La Liga predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws