UEFA Champions League Predictions and Betting Tips

Upcoming Matches • Next 20 Days • 7 Matches • Play-offs • Updated 5 hours ago • UTC+3

Play-offs

Tuesday, August 18

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
18/08 22:00 DWWWW
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb vs Viking Viking
DLWWD 89% 64.2% Home ❌ @1.70 2 – 2 FT
18/08 22:00 WDLWW
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe vs Lyon Lyon
WDWLL 82% 50.2% Home ❌ @1.97 1 – 1 FT
18/08 22:00 WDWWW
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia vs AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC
DWWLW 83% 53% Home ❌ @3.45 0 – 0 FT

Wednesday, August 19

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
19/08 22:00 WWWWD
Celtic Celtic vs Lask Linz Lask Linz
LWWWW 79% 44.5% Draw ❌ @3.96 3 – 0 FT
19/08 22:00 WLWWW
Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva vs Sabah FA Sabah FA
LWWLW 73% 33.8% Draw ❌ @3.35 2 – 1 FT
19/08 22:00 LWLDL
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
WWDWW 70% 28.1% Draw ❌ @3.85 1 – 3 FT
19/08 22:00 WDWWW
Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava vs Celje Celje
DWWWL 84% 54.4% Home ❌ @1.88 1 – 1 FT

Tuesday, August 25

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
19:45 LWWLW
Sabah FA Sabah FA vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva
WLWWW 79% 46.3% Home 1.80
22:00 WWDWW
Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
LWLDL 87% 60.8% Home 1.49
22:00 LWWWW
Lask Linz Lask Linz vs Celtic Celtic
WWWWD 77% 41.3% Home 1.96

Wednesday, August 26

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
22:00 WDWLL
Lyon Lyon vs Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
WDLWW 76% 39.1% Home N/A
22:00 DWWLW
AEK Athens FC AEK Athens FC vs Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
WDWWW 77% 42.1% Draw N/A
22:00 DLWWD
Viking Viking vs Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
DWWWW 76% 39.6% Home N/A
22:00 DWWWL
Celje Celje vs Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava
WDWWW 78% 43% Home N/A

Predictlix UEFA Champions League Insights

Data-driven football analysis updated on: August 22, 2026

🎯

Match Outcome Confidence Map

Bodo/Glimt versus NEC Nijmegen stands out as the clearest signal in this Champions League play-off window. PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine assigns the home win a 61.5% probability, the highest of any fixture here, backed by an 88% confidence rating. The attacking gap is stark, with a home lambda of 2.3648 against a modest 1.229 for the visitors. Sabah FA also earns a home nod at 46.4%, while AEK Athens and Levski Sofia look set for a tight, low-scoring draw with an 88.8% probability of under 2.5 goals. Back Bodo/Glimt to win at their listed confidence, as the model's strongest pick in this window.

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Model Track Record in This League

PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine has settled 78 matches in this league, with results updated on 2026-08-19. The double chance market proved most reliable, landing correctly 69.2% of the time (54/78). Match winner picks hit at just 32.1% (25/78), a modest return. BTTS landed 48.7% (38/78), while Over/Under 2.5 hit 51.3% (40/78). Correct score predictions connected on only 5.1% (4/78). The sample for corners is tiny, just 17 matches, with 64.7% correct (11/17). High-confidence selections (75+) show 41.1% accuracy from 326 picks.

Goals Landscape — Over/Under Breakdown

Bodo/Glimt versus NEC Nijmegen stands out as the clearest Over 2.5 lean at 68.5%, powered by a home lambda of 2.3648 against a side in poor form. Viking and Celje also attract Over 2.5 attention at 61.4% and 61.5% respectively, with both home attacks expected to contribute. Conversely, Lyon versus Fenerbahçe leans Under 2.5 at 75.4%, while AEK Athens against Levski Sofia is the strongest Under pick at 88.8% with very low expected goals. Back Under 2.5 in the AEK Athens match as the highest-confidence goals market selection.

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Streak & Momentum Signals

Viking enter this play-off tie on a remarkable nine-match winning run, the longest active streak in the window. Their opponents Dinamo Zagreb counter with an unbeaten sequence spanning their last ten outings, creating a fascinating clash of momentum. Celtic have avoided defeat in nine of their ten most recent matches, while AEK Athens FC boast the same impressive record. Bodo/Glimt carry an 88% confidence rating from PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine. Given the partial data quality, these streaks represent limited samples.

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Standings Context & Match Motivation

Every tie in this window is a Champions League play-off, meaning a two-legged knockout with a place in the group stage on the line. Bodo/Glimt carry the strongest indicator of the round, with the PredictLix model awarding their home win an 88% confidence rating. Viking enter their clash riding a nine-match winning streak, while opponents Dinamo Zagreb counter with an unbeaten run of their own stretching ten games. Celtic have lost just one of their last ten, and AEK Athens match that resilience. With no standings available, the table offers no context, but the knockout stakes are absolute.

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Accumulator Builder & Value Picks

Bodo/Glimt stands out as the strongest pick of this Champions League play-off slate, with PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine assigning an 88% confidence rating to their home win. Their expected goals advantage is significant, and they carry the highest model probability in the window at 61.5%. However, no accumulator can be built here. The snapshot confirms there are not enough priced high-confidence legs, so no combined odds exist to quote. Instead, consider Bodo/Glimt as a single selection, though their odds were not fetched for this window.

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AI Prediction Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types. Updated automatically after each matchday.

76 matches analysed Updated Aug 19, 2026
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
31.6% 24/76
Both Teams to Score
48.7% 37/76
📈 Over / Under 2.5
52.6% 40/76
🔢 Correct Score
5.3% 4/76
🛡️ Double Chance
69.7% 53/76
📐 Corners Over/Under
73.3% 11/15
🤝 Draw Predictions
24.5% 12/49

Recent Form — Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 34.3% 12/35
Both Teams to Score 45.7% 16/35
📈 Over / Under 2.5 57.1% 20/35
🛡️ Double Chance 74.3% 26/35

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: 3rd Qualifying Round

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Prediction Odds Result
04/08 19:00 WLWLW
Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia vs Celje Celje
DWWWL 80% 47.4% Home ✅ @2.83 2 – 1 FT
04/08 19:00 DLWDL
Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF vs Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava
WDWWW 77% 41.2% Home ❌ @2.07 1 – 2 FT
04/08 20:30 WLWWW
Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva vs FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda
WWWWL 79% 45.9% Away ❌ @1.60 1 – 0 FT
04/08 20:30 WDWWW
Levski Sofia Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty
WLWWW 82% 52% Home ✅ @1.63 1 – 0 FT
04/08 21:00 LLLWD
Olympiakos Piraeus Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
LWLDL 79% 45.1% Home ❌ @1.48 0 – 0 FT
04/08 21:00 WWLWW
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise vs Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt
WWDWW 79% 45.7% Draw ✅ @3.64 3 – 3 FT
04/08 21:00 WLLLW
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha vs Lyon Lyon
WDWLL 67% 22.4% Draw ❌ @3.56 2 – 1 FT
04/08 21:00 DWWWW
Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris
WDWWW 79% 46.1% Home ✅ @1.12 5 – 0 FT
05/08 20:10 DDLWL
Aarhus Aarhus vs Sabah FA Sabah FA
LWWLW 81% 48.8% Away ❌ @4.72 2 – 1 FT
05/08 21:00 WDLWW
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe vs Sturm Graz Sturm Graz
DWWWW 68% 23.8% Draw ❌ @5.65 2 – 0 FT
11/08 18:00 LWLWW
Kairat Almaty Kairat Almaty vs Levski Sofia Levski Sofia
WDWWW 69% 26.1% Draw ❌ @3.08 0 – 1 FT
11/08 19:00 LWWLW
Sabah FA Sabah FA vs Aarhus Aarhus
WDDLW 78% 44.3% Away ❌ @3.84 4 – 0 FT
11/08 20:00 WLWDW
Kauno Žalgiris Kauno Žalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb Dinamo Zagreb
DWWWW 65% 19.7% Draw ❌ @4.91 1 – 2 FT
11/08 21:00 WLWWW
FK Crvena Zvezda FK Crvena Zvezda vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Hapoel Beer Sheva
WLWWW 89% 65.2% Home ❌ @1.21 0 – 2 FT
11/08 21:15 DWWWL
Celje Celje vs Ararat-Armenia Ararat-Armenia
WWWLW 80% 48.2% Home ✅ @1.42 2 – 0 FT
11/08 21:15 WDWWW
Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava vs Mjallby AIF Mjallby AIF
LLDLW 87% 60.1% Home ✅ @1.78 2 – 0 FT
11/08 21:30 WLDWW
Sturm Graz Sturm Graz vs Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
WDLWW 85% 57.2% Home ❌ @4.18 0 – 1 FT
11/08 22:00 WDWLL
Lyon Lyon vs Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
LWWLL 67% 23.4% Draw ❌ @5.27 3 – 0 FT