Viking have won their last 9 matches in a row
UEFA Champions League Predictions and Betting Tips
Upcoming Matches • Next 20 Days • 7 Matches • Play-offs • Updated 5 hours ago • UTC+3
Play-offs
Tuesday, August 18
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 22:00 | DWWWW |
Dinamo Zagreb
vs
Viking
|
DLWWD | 89% | 64.2% | Home ❌ | @1.70 | 2 – 2 FT |
| 18/08 22:00 | WDLWW |
Fenerbahçe
vs
Lyon
|
WDWLL | 82% | 50.2% | Home ❌ | @1.97 | 1 – 1 FT |
| 18/08 22:00 | WDWWW |
Levski Sofia
vs
AEK Athens FC
|
DWWLW | 83% | 53% | Home ❌ | @3.45 | 0 – 0 FT |
Wednesday, August 19
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 22:00 | WWWWD |
Celtic
vs
Lask Linz
|
LWWWW | 79% | 44.5% | Draw ❌ | @3.96 | 3 – 0 FT |
| 19/08 22:00 | WLWWW |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
vs
Sabah FA
|
LWWLW | 73% | 33.8% | Draw ❌ | @3.35 | 2 – 1 FT |
| 19/08 22:00 | LWLDL |
NEC Nijmegen
vs
Bodo/Glimt
|
WWDWW | 70% | 28.1% | Draw ❌ | @3.85 | 1 – 3 FT |
| 19/08 22:00 | WDWWW |
Slovan Bratislava
vs
Celje
|
DWWWL | 84% | 54.4% | Home ❌ | @1.88 | 1 – 1 FT |
Tuesday, August 25
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45 | LWWLW |
Sabah FA
vs
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
WLWWW | 79% | 46.3% | Home | 1.80 | — |
| 22:00 | WWDWW |
Bodo/Glimt
vs
NEC Nijmegen
|
LWLDL | 87% | 60.8% | Home | 1.49 | — |
| 22:00 | LWWWW |
Lask Linz
vs
Celtic
|
WWWWD | 77% | 41.3% | Home | 1.96 | — |
Wednesday, August 26
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:00 | WDWLL |
Lyon
vs
Fenerbahçe
|
WDLWW | 76% | 39.1% | Home | N/A | — |
| 22:00 | DWWLW |
AEK Athens FC
vs
Levski Sofia
|
WDWWW | 77% | 42.1% | Draw | N/A | — |
| 22:00 | DLWWD |
Viking
vs
Dinamo Zagreb
|
DWWWW | 76% | 39.6% | Home | N/A | — |
| 22:00 | DWWWL |
Celje
vs
Slovan Bratislava
|
WDWWW | 78% | 43% | Home | N/A | — |
Top Trends from UEFA Champions League Teams
Our model gives Bodo/Glimt win a 87% confidence rating
Levski Sofia are unbeaten in their last 10 matches
Dinamo Zagreb are unbeaten in their last 10 matches
Slovan Bratislava are unbeaten in their last 10 matches
Celtic are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
Fenerbahçe are unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches
Predictlix UEFA Champions League Insights
Data-driven football analysis updated on: August 22, 2026
Match Outcome Confidence Map
Bodo/Glimt versus NEC Nijmegen stands out as the clearest signal in this Champions League play-off window. PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine assigns the home win a 61.5% probability, the highest of any fixture here, backed by an 88% confidence rating. The attacking gap is stark, with a home lambda of 2.3648 against a modest 1.229 for the visitors. Sabah FA also earns a home nod at 46.4%, while AEK Athens and Levski Sofia look set for a tight, low-scoring draw with an 88.8% probability of under 2.5 goals. Back Bodo/Glimt to win at their listed confidence, as the model's strongest pick in this window.
Model Track Record in This League
PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine has settled 78 matches in this league, with results updated on 2026-08-19. The double chance market proved most reliable, landing correctly 69.2% of the time (54/78). Match winner picks hit at just 32.1% (25/78), a modest return. BTTS landed 48.7% (38/78), while Over/Under 2.5 hit 51.3% (40/78). Correct score predictions connected on only 5.1% (4/78). The sample for corners is tiny, just 17 matches, with 64.7% correct (11/17). High-confidence selections (75+) show 41.1% accuracy from 326 picks.
Goals Landscape — Over/Under Breakdown
Bodo/Glimt versus NEC Nijmegen stands out as the clearest Over 2.5 lean at 68.5%, powered by a home lambda of 2.3648 against a side in poor form. Viking and Celje also attract Over 2.5 attention at 61.4% and 61.5% respectively, with both home attacks expected to contribute. Conversely, Lyon versus Fenerbahçe leans Under 2.5 at 75.4%, while AEK Athens against Levski Sofia is the strongest Under pick at 88.8% with very low expected goals. Back Under 2.5 in the AEK Athens match as the highest-confidence goals market selection.
Streak & Momentum Signals
Viking enter this play-off tie on a remarkable nine-match winning run, the longest active streak in the window. Their opponents Dinamo Zagreb counter with an unbeaten sequence spanning their last ten outings, creating a fascinating clash of momentum. Celtic have avoided defeat in nine of their ten most recent matches, while AEK Athens FC boast the same impressive record. Bodo/Glimt carry an 88% confidence rating from PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine. Given the partial data quality, these streaks represent limited samples.
Standings Context & Match Motivation
Every tie in this window is a Champions League play-off, meaning a two-legged knockout with a place in the group stage on the line. Bodo/Glimt carry the strongest indicator of the round, with the PredictLix model awarding their home win an 88% confidence rating. Viking enter their clash riding a nine-match winning streak, while opponents Dinamo Zagreb counter with an unbeaten run of their own stretching ten games. Celtic have lost just one of their last ten, and AEK Athens match that resilience. With no standings available, the table offers no context, but the knockout stakes are absolute.
Accumulator Builder & Value Picks
Bodo/Glimt stands out as the strongest pick of this Champions League play-off slate, with PredictLix's enhanced Poisson engine assigning an 88% confidence rating to their home win. Their expected goals advantage is significant, and they carry the highest model probability in the window at 61.5%. However, no accumulator can be built here. The snapshot confirms there are not enough priced high-confidence legs, so no combined odds exist to quote. Instead, consider Bodo/Glimt as a single selection, though their odds were not fetched for this window.
AI Prediction Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Recent Form — Last 30 Days
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: 3rd Qualifying Round
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Confidence | Probability | Prediction | Odds | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 19:00 | WLWLW |
Ararat-Armenia
vs
Celje
|
DWWWL | 80% | 47.4% | Home ✅ | @2.83 | 2 – 1 FT |
| 04/08 19:00 | DLWDL |
Mjallby AIF
vs
Slovan Bratislava
|
WDWWW | 77% | 41.2% | Home ❌ | @2.07 | 1 – 2 FT |
| 04/08 20:30 | WLWWW |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
vs
FK Crvena Zvezda
|
WWWWL | 79% | 45.9% | Away ❌ | @1.60 | 1 – 0 FT |
| 04/08 20:30 | WDWWW |
Levski Sofia
vs
Kairat Almaty
|
WLWWW | 82% | 52% | Home ✅ | @1.63 | 1 – 0 FT |
| 04/08 21:00 | LLLWD |
Olympiakos Piraeus
vs
NEC Nijmegen
|
LWLDL | 79% | 45.1% | Home ❌ | @1.48 | 0 – 0 FT |
| 04/08 21:00 | WWLWW |
Union St. Gilloise
vs
Bodo/Glimt
|
WWDWW | 79% | 45.7% | Draw ✅ | @3.64 | 3 – 3 FT |
| 04/08 21:00 | WLLLW |
Sparta Praha
vs
Lyon
|
WDWLL | 67% | 22.4% | Draw ❌ | @3.56 | 2 – 1 FT |
| 04/08 21:00 | DWWWW |
Dinamo Zagreb
vs
Kauno Žalgiris
|
WDWWW | 79% | 46.1% | Home ✅ | @1.12 | 5 – 0 FT |
| 05/08 20:10 | DDLWL |
Aarhus
vs
Sabah FA
|
LWWLW | 81% | 48.8% | Away ❌ | @4.72 | 2 – 1 FT |
| 05/08 21:00 | WDLWW |
Fenerbahçe
vs
Sturm Graz
|
DWWWW | 68% | 23.8% | Draw ❌ | @5.65 | 2 – 0 FT |
| 11/08 18:00 | LWLWW |
Kairat Almaty
vs
Levski Sofia
|
WDWWW | 69% | 26.1% | Draw ❌ | @3.08 | 0 – 1 FT |
| 11/08 19:00 | LWWLW |
Sabah FA
vs
Aarhus
|
WDDLW | 78% | 44.3% | Away ❌ | @3.84 | 4 – 0 FT |
| 11/08 20:00 | WLWDW |
Kauno Žalgiris
vs
Dinamo Zagreb
|
DWWWW | 65% | 19.7% | Draw ❌ | @4.91 | 1 – 2 FT |
| 11/08 21:00 | WLWWW |
FK Crvena Zvezda
vs
Hapoel Beer Sheva
|
WLWWW | 89% | 65.2% | Home ❌ | @1.21 | 0 – 2 FT |
| 11/08 21:15 | DWWWL |
Celje
vs
Ararat-Armenia
|
WWWLW | 80% | 48.2% | Home ✅ | @1.42 | 2 – 0 FT |
| 11/08 21:15 | WDWWW |
Slovan Bratislava
vs
Mjallby AIF
|
LLDLW | 87% | 60.1% | Home ✅ | @1.78 | 2 – 0 FT |
| 11/08 21:30 | WLDWW |
Sturm Graz
vs
Fenerbahçe
|
WDLWW | 85% | 57.2% | Home ❌ | @4.18 | 0 – 1 FT |
| 11/08 22:00 | WDWLL |
Lyon
vs
Sparta Praha
|
LWWLL | 67% | 23.4% | Draw ❌ | @5.27 | 3 – 0 FT |