Leeds vs Tottenham
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 15:30 UTC+3 • Round 10 • Elland Road • 🌦 8.6°C, 11 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Draw | 1xBet3.62 | 26.5% | -4.1% |
| Double Chance | 1X | 1xBet1.48 | 64.3% | -4.8% |
| BTTS | Yes | William Hill1.70 | 62.3% · No 37.7% | +5.9% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 1xBet1.98 | 47.2% · Over 52.8% | -6.5% |
| Correct Score | 1-1 | Bet3657.00 | 12.1% | -15.3% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.3 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 56% · Under 44% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Leeds · Home
Leeds are winless across their last five with three draws, and they failed to score in three of those matches. Their latest H2H at home against Tottenham ended 1-2, showing they can score in this matchup even without winning it.
Tottenham · Away
Tottenham have won three of their last five, including 2-0 over Crystal Palace and 2-0 at Chelsea. The latest H2H between these sides finished 1-1, the second draw in three meetings.
Draw Pattern Holds Firm
Leeds have drawn three of their last five, with two of those finishes being 0-0, while Tottenham arrive with three wins from five. The latest H2H finished 1-1, following a 1-2 Leeds home defeat in the previous meeting. Leeds' recent record of 2 goals scored and 5 conceded across five matches points to a tight contest rather than an open one. The evidence supports Draw.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Leeds 1.49 – 1.56 Tottenham · expected total 3.05
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Leeds
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Leeds
Tottenham
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Premier League
Leeds
Tottenham
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 20 Premier League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Leeds at home · Tottenham away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Leeds (home)
Tottenham (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Leeds 2 wins · 1 draw · Tottenham 6 wins · avg 3.8 goals · BTTS in 7 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May 2026 | Tottenham | 1–1 | Leeds | Premier League |
| 04 Oct 2025 | Leeds | 1–2 | Tottenham | Premier League |
| 28 May 2023 | Leeds | 1–4 | Tottenham | Premier League |
| 12 Nov 2022 | Tottenham | 4–3 | Leeds | Premier League |
| 26 Feb 2022 | Leeds | 0–4 | Tottenham | Premier League |
| 21 Nov 2021 | Tottenham | 2–1 | Leeds | Premier League |
| 08 May 2021 | Leeds | 3–1 | Tottenham | Premier League |
| 02 Jan 2021 | Tottenham | 3–0 | Leeds | Premier League |
| 27 Jan 2013 | Leeds | 2–1 | Tottenham | FA Cup |
📈 Recent Form
Leeds
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bournemouth | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 25/10 | Sunderland | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 18/10 | Manchester United | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 10/10 | Arsenal | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 20/09 | Crystal Palace | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 14/09 | Newcastle | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 09/09 | Chelsea | Away | 3–6 | L |
| 05/09 | Brighton | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 30/08 | Brentford | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 25/08 | Nottingham Forest | Away | 2–0 | W |
Tottenham
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Crystal Palace | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Chelsea | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 19/10 | Coventry | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Manchester United | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Aston Villa | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 15/09 | Liverpool | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 12/09 | Everton | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 05/09 | Nottingham Forest | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 29/08 | Newcastle | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 26/08 | Charlton | Home | 5–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Premier League
Leeds #11 · 11 pts · Tottenham #8 · 12 pts
Leeds
Tottenham
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Leeds
Tottenham
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Leeds
- ❌ W. Gnonto: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ G. Gudmundsson: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ M. Joseph: Knee Injury
- ❌ I. Gruev: Knee Injury
- ❌ J. Rodon: Muscle Injury
- ❌ H. Wilson: Muscle Injury
- ❌ D. James: Back Injury
- ❌ N. Elvedi: Illness
Tottenham
- ❌ M. Kudus: Muscle Injury
- ❌ D. Kulusevski: Knee Injury
- ❌ W. Odobert: Knee Injury
- ❌ P. M. Sarr: Injury
- ❌ X. Simons: Knee Injury
- ❌ M. van de Ven: Injury
- ❌ J. Maddison: Knock
- ❌ M. Mudryk: Ankle Injury
- ❌ T. Adarabioyo: Calf Injury
- ❌ R. Bentancur: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ L. Bergvall: Knee Injury
- ❌ Unknown: Muscle Injury
- ❌ D. Udogie: Knee Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): P. Porro, Richarlison; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Premier League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws