Predictions β†’ England Premier League

Tottenham vs Crystal Palace

Next match: Sat, 31 Oct 2026 β€’ 17:30 UTC+3 β€’ Round 9 β€’ Tottenham Hotspur Stadium β€’ ☁️ 10.5Β°C, 10 km/h overcast

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 78% 39.7% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X 72% 72.5% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS No 82% 51.2% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 82% 50.8% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 1-0 71% 11.8% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.6 exp.) Over 9.5 63% 54.4% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Tottenham 1.19 – 0.84 Crystal Palace Β· expected total 2.03

🧠 Match Preview

Tottenham host Crystal Palace at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Saturday evening with both sides desperate for a lift. Spurs sit 20th on just 3 points from 6 games, while Palace are 14th with 7 points from 7. For a home side rooted to the bottom, this is close to a must-not-lose occasion.

The model still leans Tottenham, giving the home win a 39.7 percent probability at 78 confidence, with the double chance 1X at 72.5 percent. The expected goals tell a cautious story: 1.1895 for Spurs against 0.8371 for Palace, though recent xG reads 1.34 home and 1.73 away, a warning that Palace are creating more than their baseline suggests. Form is grim on both sides β€” Tottenham's DLLDD against Palace's LLWLD β€” and the injury lists are long, with Spurs missing the likes of Kudus, Kulusevski, Maddison and Richarlison, and Palace without Mateta, Nketiah and others.

The tips follow the low-scoring read: Under 2.5 at 50.8 percent, BTTS No at 51.2 percent, and a 1-0 correct score at 11.8 percent, with 1-0 the top scoreline at 14.37. Over 9.5 corners at 54.4 percent, on an expected 10.6, is the most comfortable angle. Value may hide in the double chance if bookmakers price Spurs shorter than the model's 72.5 percent implies.

The honest caveat: with 11 Spurs absentees and no win in five, the home edge is fragile, and Palace's recent xG of 1.73 makes the clean-sheet assumptions risky.

Updated 19 Oct 2026, 04:08 UTC+3 β€” refreshed when the underlying data changes.

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Tottenham

Form (last 5)
DManchester United (A) 1–1 Β· 10/10/2026LAston Villa (H) 2–3 Β· 19/09/2026LLiverpool (A) 1–3 Β· 15/09/2026DEverton (H) 0–0 Β· 12/09/2026DNottingham Forest (A) 0–0 Β· 05/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)0.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Win streak (best this season)0
xG for (recent avg)1.09
xG against (recent avg)0.80
Elo strength rating1330
Players out11

Crystal Palace

Form (last 5)
LBrighton (A) 0–5 Β· 18/10/2026LLyon (A) 2–3 Β· 15/10/2026WNottingham Forest (H) 3–1 Β· 11/10/2026LBristol City (H) 0–2 Β· 03/10/2026DLeeds (A) 0–0 Β· 20/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)2.40
Win streak (best this season)1
xG for (recent avg)1.43
xG against (recent avg)1.91
Elo strength rating1391
Players out8
TottenhamCrystal Palace
Goals scored (season avg)
0.50
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
2.40
Win streak (best this season)
0
1
xG for (recent avg)
1.09
1.43
xG against (recent avg)
0.80
1.91
Elo strength rating
1330
1391
Players out
11
8

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Tottenham

Winless 6
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Crystal Palace

Lost 2 in a row
BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
3/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” Premier League

Tottenham

Worst attack (0.50 goals/game)

Crystal Palace

Worst defence (2.40 conceded/game)

Rank among 20 Premier League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Tottenham at home Β· Crystal Palace away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Tottenham (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–2L
D 1
L 2
Played3
Goals scored (avg)0.70
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2

Crystal Palace (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–2L
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)2.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Tottenham (home)Crystal Palace (away)
D 1
L 2
W 1
D 1
L 2
Played
3
4
Goals scored (avg)
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
2.30
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
2
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–0
11.8%
2–0
7.7%
2–1
6.4%
3–0
3%
3–1
2.5%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Crystal Palace 4 wins Β· 0 draws Β· Tottenham 6 wins Β· avg 2.6 goals Β· BTTS in 3 of 10

4
6
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
05 Mar 2026 Tottenham 1–3 Crystal Palace Premier League
28 Dec 2025 Crystal Palace 0–1 Tottenham Premier League
11 May 2025 Tottenham 0–2 Crystal Palace Premier League
27 Oct 2024 Crystal Palace 1–0 Tottenham Premier League
02 Mar 2024 Tottenham 3–1 Crystal Palace Premier League
27 Oct 2023 Crystal Palace 1–2 Tottenham Premier League
06 May 2023 Tottenham 1–0 Crystal Palace Premier League
04 Jan 2023 Crystal Palace 0–4 Tottenham Premier League
26 Dec 2021 Tottenham 3–0 Crystal Palace Premier League
11 Sep 2021 Crystal Palace 3–0 Tottenham Premier League

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Tottenham

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Manchester United Away 1–1 D
19/09 Aston Villa Home 2–3 L
15/09 Liverpool Away 1–3 L
12/09 Everton Home 0–0 D
05/09 Nottingham Forest Away 0–0 D

Crystal Palace

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
18/10 Brighton Away 0–5 L
15/10 Lyon Away 2–3 L
11/10 Nottingham Forest Home 3–1 W
03/10 Bristol City Home 0–2 L
20/09 Leeds Away 0–0 D

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” Premier League

Tottenham #20 Β· 3 pts β€”  Crystal Palace #14 Β· 7 pts

Tottenham

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–3D–3L
D 3
L 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets2
Failed to score4
Yellow cards8
Red cards1
xG for (avg)1.09
xG against (avg)0.80
Corners for (avg)7.50
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Crystal Palace

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–4L
W 2
D 1
L 4
Played7
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)2.40
Clean sheets1
Failed to score3
Yellow cards9
Red cards1
xG for (avg)1.43
xG against (avg)1.91
Corners for (avg)4.10
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
TottenhamCrystal Palace
D 3
L 3
W 2
D 1
L 4
Played
6
7
Goals scored (avg)
0.50
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
2.40
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
4
3
Yellow cards
8
9
Red cards
1
1
xG for (avg)
1.09
1.43
xG against (avg)
0.80
1.91
Corners for (avg)
7.50
4.10
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Tottenham

1
0-15
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
4
61-75
1
76-90
3
scored conceded

Crystal Palace

4
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
31-45
3
5
46-60
2
61-75
1
3
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

πŸ₯ Injuries & Suspensions

Tottenham

  • ❌ M. Kudus β€” Muscle Injury
  • ❌ D. Kulusevski β€” Knee Injury
  • ❌ W. Odobert β€” Knee Injury
  • ❌ P. Porro β€” Inactive
  • ❌ P. M. Sarr β€” Injury
  • ❌ X. Simons β€” Knee Injury
  • ❌ M. van de Ven β€” Injury
  • ❌ J. Maddison β€” Knock
  • ❌ M. Mudryk β€” Ankle Injury
  • ❌ Richarlison β€” Inactive
  • ❌ R. Bentancur β€” Red Card

Crystal Palace

  • ❌ J. Mateta β€” Hamstring Injury
  • ❌ C. Riad β€” Knee Injury
  • ❌ I. Sarr β€” Injury
  • ❌ E. Nketiah β€” Injury
  • ❌ A. Disasi β€” Red Card
  • ❌ D. Henderson β€” Foot Injury
  • ❌ B. Chilwell β€” Injury
  • ❌ T. Tomiyasu β€” Calf Injury

More: Premier League predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws