UEFA Nations League Predictions and Betting Tips

Upcoming Matches • Next 20 Days • 20 Matches • Updated 48 minutes ago • UTC+3

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🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🚩 Corners O/U 🤝 Draws
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League A, Round 5

Thursday, November 12

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
20:00 LLLLW
Türkiye Türkiye vs Belgium Belgium
LWLWL 46.1% Away Betano1.98 -8.7% —
22:45 WWWLW
England England vs Croatia Croatia
LLLWL 77.3% Home 1xBet1.27 -1.8% —
22:45 WDWLW
Italy Italy vs France France
WDWWL 47.9% Away 1xBet1.86 -10.9% —
22:45 LLLLL
Czechia Czechia vs Spain Spain
WWWWW 75.5% Away Betano1.19 -10.2% —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

Friday, November 13

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
22:45 LLLLL
Serbia Serbia vs Germany Germany
DWLDL 66.3% Away Betano1.33 -11.8% —
22:45 WDWDW
Netherlands Netherlands vs Greece Greece
DDWWL 64.1% Home 1xBet1.46 -6.4% —

Saturday, November 14

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
20:00 LLLWW
Norway Norway vs Wales Wales
LWLLL 68.2% Home Betano1.27 -13.4% —

League B, Round 5

Friday, November 13

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
22:45 WLWDL
Slovenia Slovenia vs Switzerland Switzerland
WWWWW 55.3% Away Betano1.70 -6% —
22:45 LWLDL
Scotland Scotland vs FYR Macedonia FYR Macedonia
LLLLL 75.1% Home 1xBet1.24 -6.9% —

Saturday, November 14

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
17:00 DDLWW
Kosovo Kosovo vs Israel Israel
DDLLW 50.3% Home Betano1.98 -0.4% —

League C, Round 5

Thursday, November 12

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
20:00 DLLWD
Armenia Armenia vs Cyprus Cyprus
WWDLW 44.9% Home 1xBet2.26 +1.5% —
22:45 WLWWL
Albania Albania vs Finland Finland
LWDWL 46.8% Home 1xBet2.06 -3.6% —
22:45 DWWWD
Montenegro Montenegro vs Latvia Latvia
LLDLL 70.8% Home Betano1.38 -2.3% —
22:45 LLLLL
San Marino San Marino vs Belarus Belarus
WWDLD 76.2% Away Betano1.15 -12.4% —

Friday, November 13

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
20:00 LWDLD
Moldova Moldova vs Kazakhstan Kazakhstan
DLLDL 30.1% Draw Bet3653.10 -6.7% —
22:45 WDWWD
Slovakia Slovakia vs Faroe Islands Faroe Islands
DDDDW 67.3% Home 1xBet1.37 -7.8% —
22:45 LLLWW
Luxembourg Luxembourg vs Estonia Estonia
DWDDW 30.5% Draw 1xBet3.28 0% —
22:45 WLDLD
Bulgaria Bulgaria vs Iceland Iceland
DWWDL 49.6% Away 1xBet1.90 -5.8% —

League D, Round 5

Friday, November 13

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
22:45 LWLLL
Liechtenstein Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan Azerbaijan
WLLLL 61.7% Away Betano1.31 -19.2% —
22:45 LDLLW
Andorra Andorra vs Gibraltar Gibraltar
LLLLL 49.3% Home 1xBet1.82 -10.3% —

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — UEFA Nations League

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

PredictLix UEFA Nations League Facts and Insights

League facts from all completed matches · Updated: November 2, 2026, 21:16 UTC

Results and goal volume

Metric Current2026 · 92 matches Previous2024/26 · 188 matches Change
Home wins 37.0% 44.7% -7.7 pp
Draws 27.2% 23.4% +3.8 pp
Away wins 35.9% 31.9% +4.0 pp
Total goals per match 2.49 2.70 -0.21
Home goals per match 1.24 1.56 -0.32
Away goals per match 1.25 1.14 +0.11
First-half goals per match 1.14 1.19 -0.05
Over 1.5 goals 72.8% 73.4% -0.6 pp
Over 2.5 goals 48.9% 51.6% -2.7 pp
Over 3.5 goals 20.7% 29.3% -8.6 pp

Scoring and match patterns

Metric Current2026 · 92 matches Previous2024/26 · 188 matches Change
Over 4.5 goals 12.0% 14.4% -2.4 pp
First-half Over 1.5 goals 33.7% 35.3% -1.6 pp
First-half both teams scored 17.4% 18.7% -1.3 pp
Both teams scored 46.7% 45.7% +1.0 pp
BTTS and Over 2.5 34.8% 37.8% -3.0 pp
Goalless draws (0–0) 13.0% 8.5% +4.5 pp
Home clean sheets 33.7% 37.8% -4.1 pp
Away clean sheets 32.6% 25.0% +7.6 pp
One-goal winning margins 35.9% 33.5% +2.4 pp
Second-half Over 1.5 goals 44.6% 42.9% +1.7 pp

pp = percentage points. Final scores are listed with the home team first. First-half sample: 2024/26: 187 matches with half-time scores.

Most common final scores

Twelve scorelines in descending current-season frequency, continuing from the first table to the second.

Final score Current season2026 Previous season2024/26 Change
0–0 13.0%12 of 92 8.5%16 of 188 +4.5 pp
1–1 12.0%11 of 92 8.0%15 of 188 +4.0 pp
1–2 10.9%10 of 92 8.5%16 of 188 +2.4 pp
1–0 7.6%7 of 92 11.2%21 of 188 -3.6 pp
2–0 7.6%7 of 92 9.0%17 of 188 -1.4 pp
2–1 7.6%7 of 92 4.8%9 of 188 +2.8 pp
Final score Current season2026 Previous season2024/26 Change
0–1 6.5%6 of 92 6.9%13 of 188 -0.4 pp
0–3 6.5%6 of 92 4.3%8 of 188 +2.3 pp
3–1 5.4%5 of 92 3.7%7 of 188 +1.7 pp
0–2 4.3%4 of 92 4.8%9 of 188 -0.4 pp
3–0 3.3%3 of 92 4.8%9 of 188 -1.5 pp
2–2 2.2%2 of 92 5.3%10 of 188 -3.1 pp

Five key insights from the season data

  • Home wins fell to 37.0% this season from 44.7% last season, while away wins rose to 35.9% from 31.9%; the home advantage has visibly shrunk. One possible explanation is that hosts are being held level more often during cautious openings, with draws up to 27.2% from 23.4% this season.
  • Both teams scored in 46.7% of matches this season versus 45.7% last season, a near-flat rate despite total goals dropping to 2.49 from 2.70. One possible explanation is that scoring is being spread across both sides rather than concentrated in one, as away goals per match rose to 1.25 from 1.14 this season while home goals fell to 1.24 from 1.56.
  • Matches with over 3.5 goals dropped sharply to 20.7% this season from 29.3% last season, the largest decline among the goal lines. This could reflect more game states staying close after an early goal, since one-goal winning margins edged up to 35.9% from 33.5% this season.
  • Goalless draws rose to 13.0% this season from 8.5% last season, a clear jump in stalemates. One possible explanation is more cautious opening approaches, as first-half goals per match slipped only slightly to 1.14 from 1.19 this season while full-match scoring fell more.
  • Away clean sheets climbed to 32.6% this season from 25.0% last season, even as away goals per match rose to 1.25 from 1.14. One possible explanation is that visiting sides are conceding less while still scoring more, which could point to more compact away structures and quicker transitions this season.

AI-selected and written from the verified figures above · Published: October 31, 2026, 01:15 UTC

Current Standings

UEFA Nations League · 2026

Updated: Nov 7, 2026, 00:00 UTC
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Form
1
France Leader
 4 3 1 0 7 2 +5 10
W D W W
2
Italy
4 2 1 1 8 5 +3 7
W D W L
3
Belgium
4 2 0 2 6 5 +1 6
L W L W
4
Türkiye
4 0 0 4 2 11 -9 0
L L L L

League-only form: five most recent matches in this competition, newest first. Prediction tables show form across all competitions.

The current season is still in progress; the previous season is complete. Possible explanations are hypotheses based on score patterns, not verified causes. Regression towards last season’s level is a scenario, not a prediction.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

104 matches analysed Updated Oct 6, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
55.8% 58/104
⚽ Both Teams to Score
53.8% 56/104
📈 Over / Under 2.5
50.0% 52/104
🔢 Correct Score
7.7% 8/104
🛡️ Double Chance
76.0% 79/104
📐 Corners Over/Under
47.1% 49/104
🤝 Draw Predictions
60.0% 3/5
📌 1X2 · draw picks
60.0% 3/5
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
55.6% 55/99
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Corners Over/Under: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 3/5. Excluded: 2 without stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 43.5% 49.3% 75
Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% 74.4% 81.8% 11 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 64.8% 61.5% 13 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 80+% 86.4% 80.0% 5 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 62.5% 66.7% 3 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 51.8% 54.0% 100
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 73.1% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 62.2% 66.7% 6 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 51.5% 48.5% 97
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 70.6% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 9.5% 7.7% 104
Double Chance · 70-79% 74.3% 72.9% 59
Double Chance · 80+% 82.5% 93.8% 16 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 67.6% 72.4% 29 (small sample)
Corners Over/Under · 60-69% 64.0% 80.0% 10 (small sample)
Corners Over/Under · <60% 54.9% 43.6% 94
Draw Predictions · <60% 32.0% 66.7% 3 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: League A, Round 4

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
14/10 21:45 LWLWL
Belgium Belgium vs France France
WDWWL — No data N/A — 1 – 2 FT
14/10 21:45 DWLDL
Germany Germany vs Netherlands Netherlands
WDWDW — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
14/10 21:45 WDWLW
Italy Italy vs Israel Israel
DDLLW — No data N/A — 4 – 1 FT
14/10 21:45 -----
Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Hungary Hungary
----- — No data N/A — 0 – 2 FT
15/10 21:45 WWWWW
Spain Spain vs Serbia Serbia
LLLLL — No data N/A — 3 – 0 FT
15/10 21:45 WWWWW
Switzerland Switzerland vs Denmark Denmark
W — No data N/A — 2 – 2 FT
15/10 21:45 -----
Poland Poland vs Croatia Croatia
LLLWL — No data N/A — 3 – 3 FT
15/10 21:45 LWLDL
Scotland Scotland vs Portugal Portugal
W — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
04/10 21:45 DDWWL
Greece Greece vs Germany Germany
DWLDL 41% Away ❌ @1.91 -21.7% 0 – 0 FT
04/10 21:45 WDWDW
Netherlands Netherlands vs Serbia Serbia
LLLLL 88.1% Home ✅ @1.19 +4.8% 2 – 1 FT
04/10 21:45 W
Portugal Portugal vs Norway Norway
LLLWW 67.2% Home ✅ @1.66 +11.6% 2 – 1 FT
04/10 21:45 LWLLL
Wales Wales vs Denmark Denmark
W 46.5% Away ✅ @2.00 -7% 0 – 1 FT
05/10 21:45 WDWWL
France France vs Belgium Belgium
LWLWL 58.8% Home ✅ @1.58 -7.1% 4 – 1 FT
05/10 21:45 WDWLW
Italy Italy vs Türkiye Türkiye
LLLLW 71.2% Home ✅ @1.48 +5.4% 3 – 1 FT
06/10 21:45 LLLWL
Croatia Croatia vs Spain Spain
WWWWW 38.1% Home ❌ N/A — 1 – 2 FT
06/10 21:45 WWWLW
England England vs Czechia Czechia
LLLLL 59.8% Home ✅ N/A — 3 – 0 FT

Previous Round Results: League B, Round 4

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
13/10 16:00 DLLDL
Kazakhstan Kazakhstan vs Slovenia Slovenia
WLWDL — No data N/A — 0 – 1 FT
13/10 19:00 LWDWL
Finland Finland vs England England
WWWLW — No data N/A — 1 – 3 FT
13/10 21:45 DDWWL
Austria Austria vs Norway Norway
LLLWW — No data N/A — 5 – 1 FT
13/10 21:45 DDWWL
Greece Greece vs Rep. Of Ireland Rep. Of Ireland
DDWLD — No data N/A — 2 – 0 FT
14/10 19:00 -----
Georgia Georgia vs Albania Albania
WLWWL — No data N/A — 0 – 1 FT
14/10 21:45 DWWDL
Iceland Iceland vs Türkiye Türkiye
LLLLW — No data N/A — 2 – 4 FT
14/10 21:45 LWLLL
Wales Wales vs Montenegro Montenegro
DWWWD — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
14/10 21:45 -----
Ukraine Ukraine vs Czechia Czechia
LLLLL — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
04/10 19:00 DDLWW
Kosovo Kosovo vs Austria Austria
DDWWL 38% Away ❌ @2.19 -16.8% 1 – 1 FT
04/10 21:45 DDWLD
Rep. Of Ireland Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel Israel
DDLLW 47.7% Home ❌ @2.25 +7.3% 1 – 1 FT
05/10 21:45 LDWLW
Ukraine Ukraine vs Hungary Hungary
WDLWW 37.9% Home ❌ @2.62 -0.7% 1 – 2 FT
05/10 21:45 WDWLW
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland vs Georgia Georgia
LDLWD 55.4% Home ❌ @2.52 +39.6% 0 – 0 FT
05/10 21:45 DWDLW
Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland Poland
WLDDL 39.2% Home ✅ @3.46 +35.6% 1 – 0 FT
05/10 21:45 LLLWD
Romania Romania vs Sweden Sweden
DWWLD 35.7% Home ❌ @4.75 +69.6% 0 – 1 FT
06/10 21:45 WWWWW
Switzerland Switzerland vs FYR Macedonia FYR Macedonia
LLLLL 53.3% Home ✅ N/A — 3 – 0 FT
06/10 21:45 LWLDL
Scotland Scotland vs Slovenia Slovenia
WLWDL 41.3% Home ❌ N/A — 1 – 2 FT

Previous Round Results: League C, Round 4

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
13/10 19:00 DLLWD
Armenia Armenia vs FYR Macedonia FYR Macedonia
LLLLL — No data N/A — 0 – 2 FT
13/10 21:45 DDDDW
Faroe Islands Faroe Islands vs Latvia Latvia
LLDLL — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
14/10 19:00 WLLLL
Azerbaijan Azerbaijan vs Slovakia Slovakia
WDWWD — No data N/A — 1 – 3 FT
14/10 21:45 DWDDW
Estonia Estonia vs Sweden Sweden
----- — No data N/A — 0 – 3 FT
15/10 21:45 -----
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland vs Bulgaria Bulgaria
WLDLD — No data N/A — 5 – 0 FT
15/10 21:45 WDWLL
Lithuania Lithuania vs Romania Romania
----- — No data N/A — 1 – 2 FT
15/10 21:45 WWDLD
Belarus Belarus vs Luxembourg Luxembourg
LLLWW — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
15/10 21:45 DDLWW
Kosovo Kosovo vs Cyprus Cyprus
WWDLW — No data N/A — 3 – 0 FT
05/10 19:00 WWDLW
Cyprus Cyprus vs Latvia Latvia
LLDLL 39.7% Home ✅ @1.75 -30.5% 2 – 1 FT
05/10 21:45 DWWWD
Montenegro Montenegro vs Armenia Armenia
DLLWD 69.4% Home ❌ @1.60 +11% 0 – 0 FT
06/10 17:00 DLLDL
Kazakhstan Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands Faroe Islands
DDDDW 28.7% Draw ✅ @3.20 -8.2% 2 – 2 FT
06/10 21:45 WLWWL
Albania Albania vs San Marino San Marino
LLLLL 73.5% Home ✅ N/A — 2 – 1 FT
06/10 21:45 WWDLD
Belarus Belarus vs Finland Finland
LWDWL 34.9% Draw ❌ N/A — 1 – 0 FT
06/10 21:45 LWDLD
Moldova Moldova vs Slovakia Slovakia
WDWWD 42.8% Away ✅ N/A — 0 – 4 FT
06/10 21:45 DWDDW
Estonia Estonia vs Iceland Iceland
DWWDL 39.6% Home ❌ N/A — 0 – 0 FT
06/10 21:45 LLLWW
Luxembourg Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Bulgaria
WLDLD 41.9% Home ❌ N/A — 0 – 2 FT

Previous Round Results: League D, Round 4

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Prediction Odds Model EV Result
13/10 19:00 LWLLL
Liechtenstein Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar Gibraltar
LLLLL — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
13/10 19:00 LLLWL
Malta Malta vs Moldova Moldova
LWDLD — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
04/10 16:00 WLLLL
Azerbaijan Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Lithuania
WDWLL 34.2% Home ✅ @2.35 -19.6% 1 – 0 FT
04/10 19:00 LLLWL
Malta Malta vs Andorra Andorra
LDLLW 56% Home ✅ @1.73 -3.1% 1 – 0 FT