Predictions → World UEFA Nations League

Czechia vs Spain

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Thu, 12 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • League A - 5 • ☁️ 6.5°C, 16 km/h overcast

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Away Current price not available52% —
Double Chance X2 Current price not available76.1% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available62.6% · No 37.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available62.2% · Under 37.8% —
Correct Score 1-2 Current price not available9.7% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~7.1 exp.) Under 9.5 Current price not available69.7% · Over 30.3% —

🧠 Match Preview

Czechia · Home

Czechia have lost all five recent matches, failing to score in three of them and conceding 13 goals. Their latest home meeting with Spain ended 2-2, the one point of resistance in the recent head-to-head record.

Spain · Away

Spain have won all five recent matches, scoring 14 goals, including a 3-1 home win over Czechia in the latest head-to-head. Their recent xG for of 2.12 reflects that scoring run, and the model expected goals of 1.95 points to further attacking output.

Spain's head-to-head edge

The latest head-to-head, a 3-1 Spain home win, followed the earlier 2-0 success, and Spain have scored at least twice in all three recent meetings. Czechia's five-match losing run includes 13 goals conceded and three matches without scoring, while Spain have scored 14 across five wins. The 2-2 draw in Czechia from 5 Jun 2022 shows the hosts can score in this fixture, which supports both teams finding the net. The evidence supports Spain win.

Published 01 Nov 2026 16:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Czechia 1.27 – 1.95 Spain · expected total 3.22

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Czechia

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.50
Goals conceded (season avg)2.50
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.54
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.78
Elo strength rating1276

Spain

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)3.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.12
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.72
Elo strength rating1419
CzechiaSpain
Goals scored (season avg)
0.50
3.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.50
1.30
Best league winning streak this season
2
5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.54
2.12
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.78
0.72
Elo strength rating
1276
1419

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Czechia

Lost 5 in a row Winless 7
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Spain

Won 10 in a row Unbeaten 10
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: UEFA Nations League

Czechia

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Spain

2nd best attack (3.00 goals/game, season)

Rank among 44 UEFA Nations League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Czechia at home · Spain away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Czechia (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–2L
L 2
Played2
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1

Spain (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–0L
W 2
Played2
Goals scored (avg)2.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Czechia (home)Spain (away)
L 2
W 2
Played
2
2
Goals scored (avg)
0.50
2.50
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
1.50
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–2
9.69%
0–2
7.62%
0–1
6.83%
1–3
6.29%
0–3
4.95%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Czechia 0 wins · 1 draw · Spain 3 wins · avg 2.8 goals · BTTS in 2 of 4

1
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
03 Oct 2026 Spain 3–1 Czechia UEFA Nations League
12 Jun 2022 Spain 2–0 Czechia UEFA Nations League
05 Jun 2022 Czechia 2–2 Spain UEFA Nations League
13 Jun 2016 Spain 1–0 Czechia Euro Championship

📈 Recent Form

Czechia

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
06/10 England Away 0–3 L
03/10 Spain Away 1–3 L
29/09 England Home 0–2 L
26/09 Croatia Home 1–2 L
25/06 Mexico Home 0–3 L
18/06 South Africa Home 1–1 D
12/06 South Korea Away 1–2 L
05/06 Guatemala Home 3–1 W
31/05 Kosovo Home 2–1 W
17/11 Gibraltar Home 6–0 W

Spain

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
06/10 Croatia Away 2–1 W
03/10 Czechia Home 3–1 W
29/09 Croatia Home 4–1 W
26/09 England Away 3–2 W
14/07 France Away 2–0 W
10/07 Belgium Home 2–1 W
06/07 Portugal Away 1–0 W
02/07 Austria Home 3–0 W
27/06 Uruguay Away 1–0 W
21/06 Saudi Arabia Home 4–0 W

📊 Season Comparison: UEFA Nations League

Czechia

Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2
Yellow cards10
Red cards2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.54
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.78
Corners for (avg)—
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Spain

Played4
Goals scored (avg)3.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards4
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.12
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.72
Corners for (avg)4.70
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
CzechiaSpain
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
0.50
3.00
Goals conceded (avg)
2.50
1.30
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
2
0
Yellow cards
10
4
Red cards
2
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.54
2.12
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.78
0.72
Corners for (avg)
—
4.70
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Czechia

1
0-15
16-30
1
2
31-45
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
2
76-90
scored conceded

Spain

0-15
3
2
16-30
2
31-45
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🗂️ Prediction History

What PredictLix published before each meeting of these teams: frozen pre-match snapshots, not reconstructions from current data. Head-to-head above shows how the teams played; this block shows what we predicted.

DateFixtureOur pickProbabilityOddsScoreResult
03 Oct 2026 Spain vs Czechia Spain win (home) 93.1% 1.09 3–1 ✅

Our site-wide performance record is calculated from the final pre-match snapshot of each fixture. See Our Record.

More: UEFA Nations League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws