UEFA Nations League Over 2.5 Goals Football Predictions

Upcoming Matches • Next 20 Days • 20 Matches • Updated 23 minutes ago • UTC+3

📌 Prediction Type
🏆 Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS 📈 Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score 🔀 Double Chance 🚩 Corners O/U 🤝 Draws
🔍 More World League Tips
UEFA Champions League UEFA Europa League CONMEBOL Libertadores UEFA Conference League CONMEBOL Sudamericana CAF Champions League World Cup Friendlies
Value bets in UEFA Nations League: 12 bets · 58.3% win · profit +$254.75 (¼-Kelly stakes) Full portfolio →

League A, Round 5

Thursday, November 12

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
20:00 LLLLW
Türkiye Türkiye vs Belgium Belgium
LWLWL 43% Under 2.5 Betfair2.60 +11.8% —
22:45 WWWLW
England England vs Croatia Croatia
LLLWL 70% Over 2.5 Betano1.52 +6.4% —
22:45 WDWLW
Italy Italy vs France France
WDWWL 65.2% Over 2.5 1xBet1.64 +6.9% —
22:45 LLLLL
Czechia Czechia vs Spain Spain
WWWWW 61.9% Over 2.5 Betano1.57 -2.8% —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

Friday, November 13

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
22:45 LLLLL
Serbia Serbia vs Germany Germany
DWLDL 40.2% Under 2.5 Bet3653.10 +24.6% —
22:45 WDWDW
Netherlands Netherlands vs Greece Greece
DDWWL 61.4% Over 2.5 Bet3651.57 -3.6% —

Saturday, November 14

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
20:00 LLLWW
Norway Norway vs Wales Wales
LWLLL 60.8% Over 2.5 Betano1.53 -7% —

League B, Round 5

Friday, November 13

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
22:45 WLWDL
Slovenia Slovenia vs Switzerland Switzerland
WWWWW 47.8% Over 2.5 Pinnacle2.12 +1.3% —
22:45 LWLDL
Scotland Scotland vs FYR Macedonia FYR Macedonia
LLLLL 48.6% Under 2.5 Pinnacle2.11 +2.5% —

Saturday, November 14

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
17:00 DDLWW
Kosovo Kosovo vs Israel Israel
DDLLW 57.4% Under 2.5 1xBet1.94 +11.4% —

League C, Round 5

Thursday, November 12

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
20:00 DLLWD
Armenia Armenia vs Cyprus Cyprus
WWDLW 52.7% Over 2.5 1xBet2.10 +10.7% —
22:45 WLWWL
Albania Albania vs Finland Finland
LWDWL 48.6% Over 2.5 1xBet2.37 +15.2% —
22:45 DWWWD
Montenegro Montenegro vs Latvia Latvia
LLDLL 48.5% Under 2.5 1xBet2.00 -3% —
22:45 LLLLL
San Marino San Marino vs Belarus Belarus
WWDLD 61.9% Over 2.5 1xBet1.60 -1% —

Friday, November 13

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
20:00 LWDLD
Moldova Moldova vs Kazakhstan Kazakhstan
DLLDL 57.9% Under 2.5 Betfair1.57 -9.1% —
22:45 WDWWD
Slovakia Slovakia vs Faroe Islands Faroe Islands
DDDDW 53.7% Over 2.5 1xBet1.85 -0.7% —
22:45 LLLWW
Luxembourg Luxembourg vs Estonia Estonia
DWDDW 63.9% Under 2.5 1xBet1.61 +2.9% —
22:45 WLDLD
Bulgaria Bulgaria vs Iceland Iceland
DWWDL 50.2% Over 2.5 1xBet2.13 +6.9% —

League D, Round 5

Friday, November 13

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
22:45 LWLLL
Liechtenstein Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan Azerbaijan
WLLLL 67.1% Under 2.5 1xBet1.73 +16.1% —
22:45 LDLLW
Andorra Andorra vs Gibraltar Gibraltar
LLLLL 73.5% Under 2.5 Betano1.39 +2.2% —

How to Read the Prediction Table

Recent Team Trends — UEFA Nations League for Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.

📡

Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

104 matches analysed Updated Oct 6, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
55.8% 58/104
⚽ Both Teams to Score
53.8% 56/104
📈 Over / Under 2.5
50.0% 52/104
🔢 Correct Score
7.7% 8/104
🛡️ Double Chance
76.0% 79/104
📐 Corners Over/Under
47.1% 49/104
🤝 Draw Predictions
60.0% 3/5
📌 1X2 · draw picks
60.0% 3/5
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
55.6% 55/99
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Corners Over/Under: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 3/5. Excluded: 2 without stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 43.5% 49.3% 75
Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% 74.4% 81.8% 11 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 64.8% 61.5% 13 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 80+% 86.4% 80.0% 5 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 62.5% 66.7% 3 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 51.8% 54.0% 100
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 73.1% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 62.2% 66.7% 6 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 51.5% 48.5% 97
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 70.6% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 9.5% 7.7% 104
Double Chance · 70-79% 74.3% 72.9% 59
Double Chance · 80+% 82.5% 93.8% 16 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 67.6% 72.4% 29 (small sample)
Corners Over/Under · 60-69% 64.0% 80.0% 10 (small sample)
Corners Over/Under · <60% 54.9% 43.6% 94
Draw Predictions · <60% 32.0% 66.7% 3 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: League A, Round 4

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
14/10 21:45 LWLWL
Belgium Belgium vs France France
WDWWL — No data N/A — 1 – 2 FT
14/10 21:45 DWLDL
Germany Germany vs Netherlands Netherlands
WDWDW — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
14/10 21:45 WDWLW
Italy Italy vs Israel Israel
DDLLW — No data N/A — 4 – 1 FT
14/10 21:45 -----
Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Hungary Hungary
----- — No data N/A — 0 – 2 FT
15/10 21:45 WWWWW
Spain Spain vs Serbia Serbia
LLLLL — No data N/A — 3 – 0 FT
15/10 21:45 WWWWW
Switzerland Switzerland vs Denmark Denmark
W — No data N/A — 2 – 2 FT
15/10 21:45 -----
Poland Poland vs Croatia Croatia
LLLWL — No data N/A — 3 – 3 FT
15/10 21:45 LWLDL
Scotland Scotland vs Portugal Portugal
W — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
04/10 21:45 DDWWL
Greece Greece vs Germany Germany
DWLDL 48.5% Under 2.5 ✅ @2.25 +9.1% 0 – 0 FT
04/10 21:45 WDWDW
Netherlands Netherlands vs Serbia Serbia
LLLLL 47.1% Under 2.5 ❌ @3.10 +46% 2 – 1 FT
04/10 21:45 W
Portugal Portugal vs Norway Norway
LLLWW 53.4% Over 2.5 ✅ @1.50 -19.9% 2 – 1 FT
04/10 21:45 LWLLL
Wales Wales vs Denmark Denmark
W 48.8% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.78 -13.1% 0 – 1 FT
05/10 21:45 WDWWL
France France vs Belgium Belgium
LWLWL 52.2% Under 2.5 ❌ @2.69 +40.4% 4 – 1 FT
05/10 21:45 WDWLW
Italy Italy vs Türkiye Türkiye
LLLLW 51.2% Under 2.5 ❌ @2.64 +35.2% 3 – 1 FT
06/10 21:45 LLLWL
Croatia Croatia vs Spain Spain
WWWWW 58% Over 2.5 ✅ N/A — 1 – 2 FT
06/10 21:45 WWWLW
England England vs Czechia Czechia
LLLLL 49.5% Under 2.5 ❌ N/A — 3 – 0 FT

Previous Round Results: League B, Round 4

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
13/10 16:00 DLLDL
Kazakhstan Kazakhstan vs Slovenia Slovenia
WLWDL — No data N/A — 0 – 1 FT
13/10 19:00 LWDWL
Finland Finland vs England England
WWWLW — No data N/A — 1 – 3 FT
13/10 21:45 DDWWL
Austria Austria vs Norway Norway
LLLWW — No data N/A — 5 – 1 FT
13/10 21:45 DDWWL
Greece Greece vs Rep. Of Ireland Rep. Of Ireland
DDWLD — No data N/A — 2 – 0 FT
14/10 19:00 -----
Georgia Georgia vs Albania Albania
WLWWL — No data N/A — 0 – 1 FT
14/10 21:45 DWWDL
Iceland Iceland vs Türkiye Türkiye
LLLLW — No data N/A — 2 – 4 FT
14/10 21:45 LWLLL
Wales Wales vs Montenegro Montenegro
DWWWD — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
14/10 21:45 -----
Ukraine Ukraine vs Czechia Czechia
LLLLL — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
04/10 19:00 DDLWW
Kosovo Kosovo vs Austria Austria
DDWWL 51.6% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.87 -3.5% 1 – 1 FT
04/10 21:45 DDWLD
Rep. Of Ireland Rep. Of Ireland vs Israel Israel
DDLLW 50.1% Over 2.5 ❌ @2.16 +8.2% 1 – 1 FT
05/10 21:45 LDWLW
Ukraine Ukraine vs Hungary Hungary
WDLWW 49.6% Under 2.5 ❌ @1.78 -11.7% 1 – 2 FT
05/10 21:45 WDWLW
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland vs Georgia Georgia
LDLWD 53.6% Under 2.5 ✅ @1.62 -13.2% 0 – 0 FT
05/10 21:45 DWDLW
Bosnia & Herzegovina Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland Poland
WLDDL 50.6% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.98 +0.2% 1 – 0 FT
05/10 21:45 LLLWD
Romania Romania vs Sweden Sweden
DWWLD 47.3% Under 2.5 ✅ @2.30 +8.8% 0 – 1 FT
06/10 21:45 WWWWW
Switzerland Switzerland vs FYR Macedonia FYR Macedonia
LLLLL 52.4% Under 2.5 ❌ N/A — 3 – 0 FT
06/10 21:45 LWLDL
Scotland Scotland vs Slovenia Slovenia
WLWDL 50.2% Under 2.5 ❌ N/A — 1 – 2 FT

Previous Round Results: League C, Round 4

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
13/10 19:00 DLLWD
Armenia Armenia vs FYR Macedonia FYR Macedonia
LLLLL — No data N/A — 0 – 2 FT
13/10 21:45 DDDDW
Faroe Islands Faroe Islands vs Latvia Latvia
LLDLL — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
14/10 19:00 WLLLL
Azerbaijan Azerbaijan vs Slovakia Slovakia
WDWWD — No data N/A — 1 – 3 FT
14/10 21:45 DWDDW
Estonia Estonia vs Sweden Sweden
----- — No data N/A — 0 – 3 FT
15/10 21:45 -----
Northern Ireland Northern Ireland vs Bulgaria Bulgaria
WLDLD — No data N/A — 5 – 0 FT
15/10 21:45 WDWLL
Lithuania Lithuania vs Romania Romania
----- — No data N/A — 1 – 2 FT
15/10 21:45 WWDLD
Belarus Belarus vs Luxembourg Luxembourg
LLLWW — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
15/10 21:45 DDLWW
Kosovo Kosovo vs Cyprus Cyprus
WWDLW — No data N/A — 3 – 0 FT
05/10 19:00 WWDLW
Cyprus Cyprus vs Latvia Latvia
LLDLL 60.9% Under 2.5 ❌ @1.78 +8.4% 2 – 1 FT
05/10 21:45 DWWWD
Montenegro Montenegro vs Armenia Armenia
DLLWD 56.6% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.79 +1.3% 0 – 0 FT
06/10 17:00 DLLDL
Kazakhstan Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands Faroe Islands
DDDDW 59.3% Under 2.5 ❌ @1.71 +1.4% 2 – 2 FT
06/10 21:45 WLWWL
Albania Albania vs San Marino San Marino
LLLLL 50.8% Under 2.5 ❌ N/A — 2 – 1 FT
06/10 21:45 WWDLD
Belarus Belarus vs Finland Finland
LWDWL 54.7% Under 2.5 ✅ N/A — 1 – 0 FT
06/10 21:45 LWDLD
Moldova Moldova vs Slovakia Slovakia
WDWWD 50.2% Under 2.5 ❌ N/A — 0 – 4 FT
06/10 21:45 DWDDW
Estonia Estonia vs Iceland Iceland
DWWDL 53.4% Under 2.5 ✅ N/A — 0 – 0 FT
06/10 21:45 LLLWW
Luxembourg Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Bulgaria
WLDLD 52.8% Under 2.5 ✅ N/A — 0 – 2 FT

Previous Round Results: League D, Round 4

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Goals O/U Odds Model EV Result
13/10 19:00 LWLLL
Liechtenstein Liechtenstein vs Gibraltar Gibraltar
LLLLL — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
13/10 19:00 LLLWL
Malta Malta vs Moldova Moldova
LWDLD — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
04/10 16:00 WLLLL
Azerbaijan Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Lithuania
WDWLL 56% Under 2.5 ✅ @1.50 -16% 1 – 0 FT
04/10 19:00 LLLWL
Malta Malta vs Andorra Andorra
LDLLW 60.2% Under 2.5 ✅ @1.56 -6.1% 1 – 0 FT