Slovenia vs Switzerland
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Fri, 13 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • League B - 5 • ☁️ 9.1°C, 9 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | Current price not available | 44.8% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 72.6% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 56.3% · No 43.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 52.1% · Under 47.9% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Current price not available | 9.3% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.5 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 58% · Over 42% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Slovenia · Home
Slovenia have won two of their last five, including a 2-1 away win over Scotland, but they failed to score in the 0-0 home draw with Scotland and lost 1-2 in Switzerland in the latest H2H. Their recent xG for over up to five recorded matches is 0.82, well below the model expected goals of 1.19.
Switzerland · Away
Switzerland have won all five recent matches, scoring 13 and conceding 1, with four clean sheets. That run includes a 2-1 home win over Slovenia in the latest H2H and a 3-0 away win in Scotland.
Switzerland's H2H edge
The latest H2H is the clearest angle: Switzerland beat Slovenia 2-1 at home, and the earlier 0-0 in Slovenia shows this fixture can stay tight. Switzerland's five-win run with 13 goals and only 1 conceded supports the away side, while Slovenia's 0-0 home draw with Scotland and 0.82 recent xG for over up to five recorded matches show their scoring limit. The 1-2 correct score fits a narrow away win rather than a rout. The evidence supports Switzerland win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 22:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Slovenia 1.19 – 1.57 Switzerland · expected total 2.76
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Slovenia
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Slovenia
Switzerland
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: UEFA Nations League
Slovenia
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Switzerland
Rank among 44 UEFA Nations League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Slovenia at home · Switzerland away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Slovenia (home)
Switzerland (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Slovenia 0 wins · 1 draw · Switzerland 2 wins · avg 2 goals · BTTS in 1 of 3
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct 2026 | Switzerland | 2–1 | Slovenia | UEFA Nations League |
| 13 Oct 2025 | Slovenia | 0–0 | Switzerland | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| 08 Sep 2025 | Switzerland | 3–0 | Slovenia | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
📈 Recent Form
Slovenia
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Scotland | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 03/10 | Switzerland | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 29/09 | FYR Macedonia | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 26/09 | Scotland | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 07/06 | Croatia | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 04/06 | Cyprus | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 31/03 | Montenegro | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 28/03 | Hungary | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 18/11 | Sweden | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 15/11 | Kosovo | Home | 0–2 | L |
Switzerland
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | FYR Macedonia | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Slovenia | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 29/09 | Scotland | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 26/09 | FYR Macedonia | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 03/07 | Algeria | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 24/06 | Canada | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 18/06 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 13/06 | Qatar | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 06/06 | Australia | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 31/05 | Jordan | Home | 4–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: UEFA Nations League
Slovenia
Switzerland
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Slovenia
Switzerland
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🗂️ Prediction History
What PredictLix published before each meeting of these teams: frozen pre-match snapshots, not reconstructions from current data. Head-to-head above shows how the teams played; this block shows what we predicted.
| Date | Fixture | Our pick | Probability | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct 2026 | Switzerland vs Slovenia | Switzerland win (home) | 76.5% | 1.29 | 2–1 | ✅ |
Our site-wide performance record is calculated from the final pre-match snapshot of each fixture. See Our Record.
More: UEFA Nations League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws