Value Bets — where the model beats the market
A pick appears here only when our calibrated probability is at least +5 points above the best price we can find across every bookmaker in our feed (margin removed, favorite-longshot bias corrected). Every pick is snapshotted at publish — pick, best price and stake — and graded against the final result. The portfolio stakes by the quarter-Kelly criterion, and a pick is placed only when free cash covers it: the bank is real, so placements tie up money and settlements release it. Nothing is deleted. This is a public track record of the model's own money, not a marketing page.
How this page works
1
Scan
Every upcoming match is compared with the best price across all bookmakers in our feed. Two conditions must both hold: our probability is +5 points above the de-vigged market, and the pick is +EV at the actual price (probability × odds > 1.01).
2
Active picks
Qualifying picks land in the Active value picks table below, frozen at publish (pick + price). Click any odds chip to add the pick to your Lix Slip.
3
Settled history
After the match the pick is graded and moves to Settled history — the portfolio bank, ROI and win rate update from these results only.
💼 Model portfolio • Updated 1 minute ago
CLV (closing line value) compares our published price with the final market price — consistently beating the close is the honest signal of a real edge. ROI = profit ÷ staked units.
🔥 Active value picks
Every live qualifier — 29 placed (stake frozen, click an odds chip to add it to your Lix Slip) · 261 queued (waiting for free bank — the stake is placed automatically in kick-off order as settlements release cash).
| Kick-off | Placed | Match | Pick | Model | Edge, pp | Best odds | ¼ Kelly¹ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct, 17:00 | 12 Oct, 07:07 | El Mokawloon vs Masr Egypt, Premier League |
Double Chance · 1X | 71.9% | +9.0 | 1.52 at Betano | 3.9% |
| 12 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Future FC vs Enppi Egypt, Premier League |
Double Chance · 1X | 82.0% | +6.6 | 1.32 at Betano | — |
| 12 Oct, 17:15 | 11 Oct, 22:15 | Burgos vs Granada CF Spain, Segunda División |
Double Chance · 1X | 77.5% | +9.1 | 1.42 at Betano | 6.6% |
| 12 Oct, 17:15 | 11 Oct, 20:15 | Burgos vs Granada CF Spain, Segunda División |
O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 49.9% | +6.3 | 2.33 at Pinnacle | 2.5% |
| 12 Oct, 18:00 | queued | PAOK vs Kalamata Greece, Super League 1 |
1X2 · Home | 87.2% | +5.2 | 1.25 at Bet365 | — |
| 12 Oct, 18:00 | 11 Oct, 02:15 | VPS vs Gnistan Finland, Veikkausliiga |
BTTS · No | 48.3% | +6.4 | 2.25 at Betano | 1.1% |
| 12 Oct, 19:00 | 11 Oct, 20:15 | Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin Poland, Ekstraklasa |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 47.8% | +6.9 | 2.38 at Betfair | 2.8% |
| 12 Oct, 19:00 | 11 Oct, 22:15 | AC Oulu vs HJK Helsinki Finland, Veikkausliiga |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 51.0% | +6.7 | 2.19 at SBO | 2.4% |
| 12 Oct, 19:30 | 11 Oct, 22:15 | Atalanta vs Venezia Italy, Serie A |
BTTS · No | 53.9% | +12.7 | 2.30 at William Hill | 4.6% |
| 12 Oct, 19:30 | 11 Oct, 22:15 | Atalanta vs Venezia Italy, Serie A |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 53.8% | +16.2 | 2.61 at Pinnacle | 5.8% |
| 12 Oct, 20:00 | 12 Oct, 19:08 | IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad Sweden, Allsvenskan |
BTTS · No | 51.3% | +5.2 | 2.05 at BetVictor | 1.2% |
| 12 Oct, 20:00 | queued | IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad Sweden, Allsvenskan |
1X2 · Home | 76.6% | +5.4 | 1.42 at Bet365 | — |
| 12 Oct, 20:00 | 11 Oct, 23:08 | IF Elfsborg vs Halmstad Sweden, Allsvenskan |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 49.0% | +11.9 | 2.56 at Pinnacle | 3.1% |
| 12 Oct, 20:00 | 11 Oct, 23:08 | Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF Sweden, Allsvenskan |
BTTS · No | 53.6% | +11.3 | 2.25 at Betfair | 2.9% |
| 12 Oct, 20:00 | 12 Oct, 00:15 | Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF Sweden, Allsvenskan |
Double Chance · 1X | 84.6% | +5.3 | 1.23 at Betano | 5.8% |
| 12 Oct, 20:00 | 11 Oct, 23:08 | Malmo FF vs Kalmar FF Sweden, Allsvenskan |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 51.1% | +7.4 | 2.21 at Pinnacle | 1.5% |
| 12 Oct, 20:00 | 12 Oct, 00:15 | KFUM Oslo vs Valerenga Norway, Eliteserien |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 49.0% | +9.2 | 2.40 at Bet365 | 3.5% |
| 12 Oct, 20:00 | 12 Oct, 00:15 | Eyüpspor vs Göztepe Turkey, Süper Lig |
BTTS · No | 54.0% | +10.3 | 2.15 at Betfair | 3.9% |
| 12 Oct, 20:00 | 12 Oct, 00:15 | Eyüpspor vs Göztepe Turkey, Süper Lig |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 56.8% | +10.2 | 2.13 at 1xBet | 4.6% |
| 12 Oct, 20:00 | 12 Oct, 19:08 | Pyramids FC vs Ceramica Cleopatra Egypt, Premier League |
BTTS · Yes | 52.1% | +7.5 | 2.15 at Betfair | 2.6% |
| 12 Oct, 21:30 | 12 Oct, 02:15 | GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków Poland, Ekstraklasa |
Double Chance · 1X | 82.7% | +8.0 | 1.37 at Betano | 9.9% |
| 12 Oct, 21:45 | 12 Oct, 04:15 | Dijon vs Metz France, Ligue 2 |
Double Chance · 1X | 72.6% | +14.0 | 1.57 at Betfair | 6.1% |
| 12 Oct, 22:00 | 11 Oct, 23:08 | Coritiba vs Botafogo Brazil, Serie A |
BTTS · No | 48.5% | +8.8 | 2.38 at Betfair | 1.5% |
| 12 Oct, 22:00 | 12 Oct, 00:15 | Coritiba vs Botafogo Brazil, Serie A |
Double Chance · 1X | 69.6% | +5.3 | 1.53 at Betfair | 3.1% |
| 12 Oct, 22:00 | 12 Oct, 02:15 | Lanus vs Velez Sarsfield Argentina, Liga Profesional |
BTTS · Yes | 52.7% | +6.5 | 2.10 at Marathonbet | 2.9% |
| 12 Oct, 22:00 | 12 Oct, 07:07 | Coventry vs Newcastle England, Premier League |
BTTS · No | 50.6% | +12.0 | 2.50 at Betfair | 4.1% |
| 12 Oct, 22:00 | 12 Oct, 07:07 | Coventry vs Newcastle England, Premier League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 51.5% | +9.1 | 2.30 at 1xBet | 3.5% |
| 12 Oct, 23:00 | 12 Oct, 18:15 | Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat Morocco, Botola Pro |
BTTS · Yes | 56.7% | +7.1 | 1.91 at Bet365 | 1.9% |
| 12 Oct, 23:00 | 12 Oct, 18:15 | Hassania Agadir vs FAR Rabat Morocco, Botola Pro |
O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 52.8% | +6.6 | 2.10 at Betfair | 2.5% |
| 13 Oct, 17:00 | 12 Oct, 13:08 | Juventus U23 vs Lumezzane Italy, Serie C |
BTTS · No | 50.7% | +5.5 | 2.10 at Betfair | 1.2% |
| 13 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol Egypt, Premier League |
BTTS · No | 63.0% | +5.6 | 1.67 at William Hill | — |
| 13 Oct, 19:00 | queued | GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL Kenya, FKF Premier League |
BTTS · Yes | 49.5% | +10.6 | 2.36 at Marathonbet | — |
| 13 Oct, 19:00 | queued | GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL Kenya, FKF Premier League |
1X2 · Home | 70.4% | +6.0 | 1.50 at Betano | — |
| 13 Oct, 19:00 | queued | GOR Mahia vs Murang'a SEAL Kenya, FKF Premier League |
O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 47.9% | +6.9 | 2.30 at Bet365 | — |
| 13 Oct, 19:45 | queued | Sabah FA vs Slavia Praha UEFA Champions League |
BTTS · No | 50.0% | +11.9 | 2.55 at Betfair | — |
| 13 Oct, 20:00 | queued | Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen Germany, 3. Liga |
Double Chance · 1X | 84.7% | +6.0 | 1.24 at Betano | — |
| 13 Oct, 20:00 | queued | Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen Germany, 3. Liga |
1X2 · Home | 69.4% | +7.4 | 1.69 at Dafabet | — |
| 13 Oct, 20:00 | queued | Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln Germany, 3. Liga |
1X2 · Home | 70.1% | +5.0 | 1.52 at Betano | — |
| 13 Oct, 20:00 | 12 Oct, 00:15 | FC Saarbrücken vs MSV Duisburg Germany, 3. Liga |
O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 63.0% | +5.6 | 1.67 at Bet365 | 1.9% |
| 13 Oct, 20:00 | queued | Buchbach vs Augsburg II Germany, Regionalliga Bayern |
1X2 · Home | 64.4% | +7.7 | 1.65 at 1xBet | — |
| 13 Oct, 20:00 | queued | Greuther Fürth II vs Memmingen Germany, Regionalliga Bayern |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 51.8% | +10.5 | 2.23 at 1xBet | — |
| 13 Oct, 20:00 | queued | FC Schweinfurt 05 vs Ansbach Germany, Regionalliga Bayern |
Double Chance · 1X | 76.6% | +18.2 | 1.43 at 1xBet | — |
| 13 Oct, 20:00 | queued | Al Ittihad vs El Gouna FC Egypt, Premier League |
Double Chance · 1X | 84.3% | +6.3 | 1.26 at Betano | — |
| 13 Oct, 20:00 | queued | Petrojet vs Wadi Degla Egypt, Premier League |
Double Chance · 1X | 79.6% | +17.0 | 1.55 at William Hill | — |
| 13 Oct, 20:30 | queued | Orlando Pirates vs TS Galaxy South Africa, Premier Soccer League |
1X2 · Home | 82.2% | +7.2 | 1.26 at 1xBet | — |
| 13 Oct, 21:00 | 12 Oct, 02:15 | Renaissance Berkane vs CR Khemis Zemamra Morocco, Botola Pro |
1X2 · Home | 65.1% | +6.3 | 1.60 at Betano | 1.7% |
| 13 Oct, 21:45 | queued | Cardiff vs Watford England, Championship |
BTTS · No | 50.3% | +13.7 | 2.55 at Betfair | — |
| 13 Oct, 21:45 | queued | Cardiff vs Watford England, Championship |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 54.3% | +19.2 | 2.70 at Pinnacle | — |
| 13 Oct, 21:45 | queued | Millwall vs Swansea England, Championship |
Double Chance · 1X | 69.3% | +6.9 | 1.50 at Betano | — |
| 13 Oct, 21:45 | queued | Ebbsfleet United vs AFC Totton England, National League South |
1X2 · Home | 73.9% | +7.3 | 1.43 at Pinnacle | — |
| 13 Oct, 21:45 | queued | Ebbsfleet United vs AFC Totton England, National League South |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 49.1% | +7.1 | 2.25 at Bet365 | — |
| 13 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United UEFA Champions League |
BTTS · No | 49.7% | +16.5 | 2.88 at Betfair | — |
| 13 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United UEFA Champions League |
Double Chance · 1X | 83.2% | +9.1 | 1.32 at Marathonbet | — |
| 13 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United UEFA Champions League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 50.4% | +15.6 | 2.80 at Betfair | — |
| 13 Oct, 22:00 | queued | RB Leipzig vs PSV Eindhoven UEFA Champions League |
BTTS · No | 48.0% | +18.5 | 3.25 at Betfair | — |
| 13 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Villarreal vs Napoli UEFA Champions League |
Double Chance · 1X | 76.0% | +5.9 | 1.40 at 1xBet | — |
| 14 Oct, 03:30 | queued | Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
BTTS · Yes | 49.8% | +10.1 | 2.38 at Bet365 | — |
| 14 Oct, 03:30 | queued | Boca Juniors vs Vasco DA Gama CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 49.8% | +15.4 | 2.80 at Pinnacle | — |
| 14 Oct, 15:00 | queued | AFC Leopards vs Bandari Kenya, FKF Premier League |
Double Chance · 1X | 87.6% | +9.3 | 1.21 at 1xBet | — |
| 14 Oct, 19:45 | queued | Feyenoord vs Como UEFA Champions League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 47.6% | +13.6 | 2.85 at Pinnacle | — |
| 14 Oct, 20:00 | queued | Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 Germany, 3. Liga |
BTTS · No | 48.9% | +14.5 | 2.77 at 1xBet | — |
| 14 Oct, 20:00 | queued | Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 Germany, 3. Liga |
Double Chance · 1X | 77.3% | +7.8 | 1.42 at Betano | — |
| 14 Oct, 20:00 | queued | Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Germany, 3. Liga |
Double Chance · 1X | 73.0% | +14.7 | 1.65 at Betano | — |
| 14 Oct, 20:00 | queued | Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Germany, 3. Liga |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 49.5% | +6.3 | 2.20 at Betfair | — |
| 14 Oct, 20:00 | queued | FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany, 3. Liga |
BTTS · No | 48.5% | +15.6 | 2.70 at 1xBet | — |
| 14 Oct, 20:00 | queued | FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany, 3. Liga |
Double Chance · 1X | 90.9% | +15.9 | 1.27 at Betano | — |
| 14 Oct, 20:00 | queued | FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach Germany, 3. Liga |
1X2 · Home | 64.4% | +12.4 | 1.78 at Betano | — |
| 14 Oct, 20:00 | queued | SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen Germany, 3. Liga |
BTTS · No | 49.7% | +9.5 | 2.38 at 1xBet | — |
| 14 Oct, 20:00 | queued | SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen Germany, 3. Liga |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 50.7% | +8.2 | 2.30 at Betfair | — |
| 14 Oct, 21:45 | queued | Portsmouth vs Sheffield Utd England, Championship |
BTTS · No | 51.4% | +5.4 | 2.05 at Betfair | — |
| 14 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Lincoln vs West Ham England, Championship |
BTTS · No | 49.2% | +5.6 | 2.20 at Betfair | — |
| 14 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Lincoln vs West Ham England, Championship |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 54.1% | +12.1 | 2.30 at Betfair | — |
| 14 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe UEFA Champions League |
BTTS · No | 53.2% | +10.6 | 2.25 at Betfair | — |
| 14 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Aston Villa vs Fenerbahçe UEFA Champions League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 53.7% | +10.8 | 2.32 at Pinnacle | — |
| 14 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Real Betis vs FC Porto UEFA Champions League |
BTTS · No | 48.7% | +8.2 | 2.38 at Betfair | — |
| 14 Oct, 23:00 | queued | Ittihad Tanger vs Maghreb Fès Morocco, Botola Pro |
BTTS · Yes | 49.8% | +10.2 | 2.39 at 1xBet | — |
| 15 Oct, 01:00 | queued | Sarmiento Junin vs River Plate Argentina, Liga Profesional |
BTTS · Yes | 50.1% | +6.6 | 2.20 at Bet365 | — |
| 15 Oct, 01:00 | queued | Atletico-MG vs Atletico Torque CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
BTTS · Yes | 50.9% | +10.0 | 2.38 at Bet365 | — |
| 15 Oct, 02:30 | queued | CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC Usa, Major League Soccer |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 47.1% | +9.0 | 2.55 at Betfair | — |
| 15 Oct, 02:30 | queued | DC United vs New York Red Bulls Usa, Major League Soccer |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 47.0% | +11.1 | 2.67 at Betano | — |
| 15 Oct, 02:30 | queued | Santa Fe vs Jaguares Colombia, Primera A |
1X2 · Home | 75.6% | +6.7 | 1.38 at Bet365 | — |
| 15 Oct, 03:30 | queued | FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders Usa, Major League Soccer |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 48.5% | +11.6 | 2.60 at BetVictor | — |
| 15 Oct, 03:30 | queued | St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps Usa, Major League Soccer |
Double Chance · 1X | 75.2% | +15.6 | 1.62 at Betano | — |
| 15 Oct, 03:30 | queued | Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City Usa, Major League Soccer |
BTTS · No | 48.9% | +6.2 | 2.20 at William Hill | — |
| 15 Oct, 04:30 | queued | Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC Usa, Major League Soccer |
Double Chance · 1X | 76.8% | +5.4 | 1.36 at Betano | — |
| 15 Oct, 05:30 | queued | Los Angeles FC vs Austin Usa, Major League Soccer |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 52.7% | +13.2 | 2.43 at Pinnacle | — |
| 15 Oct, 18:15 | queued | Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh Saudi Arabia, Pro League |
BTTS · No | 52.3% | +11.2 | 2.38 at Betfair | — |
| 15 Oct, 18:15 | queued | Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh Saudi Arabia, Pro League |
Double Chance · 1X | 76.5% | +16.2 | 1.57 at Betfair | — |
| 15 Oct, 18:15 | queued | Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh Saudi Arabia, Pro League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 54.2% | +10.5 | 2.20 at Betano | — |
| 15 Oct, 19:45 | queued | AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva UEFA Europa League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 53.4% | +16.9 | 2.65 at Pinnacle | — |
| 15 Oct, 19:45 | queued | Celje vs Omonia Nicosia UEFA Europa League |
BTTS · No | 51.4% | +8.2 | 2.20 at William Hill | — |
| 15 Oct, 19:45 | queued | Celje vs Omonia Nicosia UEFA Europa League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 55.4% | +7.5 | 2.03 at Pinnacle | — |
| 15 Oct, 19:45 | queued | Lyon vs Crystal Palace UEFA Europa League |
BTTS · No | 48.7% | +9.0 | 2.38 at Betfair | — |
| 15 Oct, 19:45 | queued | Lyon vs Crystal Palace UEFA Europa League |
Double Chance · 1X | 76.2% | +6.5 | 1.40 at Bet365 | — |
| 15 Oct, 19:45 | queued | Union St. Gilloise vs Real Sociedad UEFA Europa League |
Double Chance · 1X | 78.8% | +12.6 | 1.46 at Marathonbet | — |
| 15 Oct, 19:45 | queued | Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom UEFA Europa League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 48.7% | +8.7 | 2.43 at Pinnacle | — |
| 15 Oct, 19:45 | queued | Torreense vs Sunderland UEFA Europa League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 48.4% | +11.0 | 2.62 at Bet365 | — |
| 15 Oct, 19:45 | queued | KuPS vs Trabzonspor UEFA Conference League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 51.4% | +6.0 | 2.14 at Pinnacle | — |
| 15 Oct, 19:45 | queued | FC Lugano vs FK Crvena Zvezda UEFA Conference League |
Double Chance · 1X | 75.6% | +16.7 | 1.62 at Betfair | — |
| 15 Oct, 19:45 | queued | Mjallby AIF vs Inter Club d'Escaldes UEFA Conference League |
BTTS · Yes | 51.3% | +8.1 | 2.30 at William Hill | — |
| 15 Oct, 19:45 | queued | Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe UEFA Conference League |
Double Chance · 1X | 81.0% | +22.7 | 1.62 at Betfair | — |
| 15 Oct, 19:45 | queued | Universitatea Craiova vs Getafe UEFA Conference League |
O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 48.2% | +6.8 | 2.35 at Betano | — |
| 15 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Benfica vs Celtic UEFA Europa League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 48.2% | +13.8 | 2.80 at Pinnacle | — |
| 15 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz UEFA Europa League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 51.8% | +21.7 | 3.20 at Bet365 | — |
| 15 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht UEFA Europa League |
BTTS · No | 52.5% | +8.9 | 2.20 at Betfair | — |
| 15 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Dinamo Zagreb vs Anderlecht UEFA Europa League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 52.3% | +5.3 | 2.06 at 1xBet | — |
| 15 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen UEFA Europa League |
BTTS · No | 53.0% | +13.2 | 2.45 at Betfair | — |
| 15 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen UEFA Europa League |
Double Chance · 1X | 85.6% | +10.9 | 1.30 at Betano | — |
| 15 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Ferencvarosi TC vs Plzen UEFA Europa League |
1X2 · Home | 56.3% | +5.3 | 2.00 at Dafabet | — |
| 15 Oct, 22:00 | queued | 1899 Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş UEFA Europa League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 47.4% | +12.1 | 2.75 at Bet365 | — |
| 15 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Jagiellonia vs Ararat-Armenia UEFA Europa League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 48.7% | +7.1 | 2.33 at Pinnacle | — |
| 15 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus UEFA Europa League |
BTTS · No | 51.1% | +10.6 | 2.38 at William Hill | — |
| 15 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Marseille vs Olympiakos Piraeus UEFA Europa League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 52.6% | +8.3 | 2.20 at Betfair | — |
| 15 Oct, 22:00 | queued | NEC Nijmegen vs Levski Sofia UEFA Europa League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 52.9% | +7.1 | 2.12 at 1xBet | — |
| 15 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Rennes vs OFI UEFA Europa League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 48.4% | +10.3 | 2.55 at Betfair | — |
| 15 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Atalanta vs Pafos UEFA Conference League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 53.1% | +13.9 | 2.48 at Pinnacle | — |
| 15 Oct, 22:00 | queued | FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga UEFA Conference League |
Double Chance · 1X | 82.8% | +14.0 | 1.44 at William Hill | — |
| 15 Oct, 22:00 | queued | FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga UEFA Conference League |
1X2 · Home | 45.9% | +5.2 | 2.50 at William Hill | — |
| 15 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Heart Of Midlothian vs FC Nordsjaelland UEFA Conference League |
Double Chance · 1X | 72.3% | +14.0 | 1.67 at Betano | — |
| 15 Oct, 22:00 | queued | St. Truiden vs FC Iberia 1999 UEFA Conference League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 52.0% | +12.0 | 2.40 at Betano | — |
| 16 Oct, 11:30 | queued | PSIM Yogyakarta vs PSM Makassar Indonesia, Liga 1 |
BTTS · No | 56.0% | +10.7 | 2.05 at William Hill | — |
| 16 Oct, 11:30 | queued | PSIM Yogyakarta vs PSM Makassar Indonesia, Liga 1 |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 59.0% | +9.3 | 1.90 at Pinnacle | — |
| 16 Oct, 12:00 | queued | Sydney vs Western Sydney Wanderers Australia, A-League |
Double Chance · 1X | 80.3% | +8.0 | 1.36 at Bet365 | — |
| 16 Oct, 19:00 | queued | Wieczysta Kraków vs Raków Częstochowa Poland, Ekstraklasa |
Double Chance · 1X | 76.3% | +15.4 | 1.50 at Betano | — |
| 16 Oct, 19:00 | queued | APR vs Zamalek SC CAF Champions League |
BTTS · Yes | 48.8% | +8.3 | 2.26 at 1xBet | — |
| 16 Oct, 19:00 | queued | APR vs Zamalek SC CAF Champions League |
O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 51.2% | +9.9 | 2.22 at 1xBet | — |
| 16 Oct, 19:00 | queued | Star Sport Academy vs Renaissance Berkane CAF Champions League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 51.6% | +7.4 | 2.07 at 1xBet | — |
| 16 Oct, 19:30 | queued | Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC Germany, 2. Bundesliga |
Double Chance · X2 | 74.2% | +8.4 | 1.45 at Betano | — |
| 16 Oct, 20:00 | queued | IF Brommapojkarna vs Djurgardens IF Sweden, Allsvenskan |
BTTS · No | 48.7% | +5.4 | 2.20 at William Hill | — |
| 16 Oct, 20:00 | queued | IF Brommapojkarna vs Djurgardens IF Sweden, Allsvenskan |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 48.9% | +10.2 | 2.45 at Pinnacle | — |
| 16 Oct, 20:00 | queued | AC Horsens vs Randers FC Denmark, Superliga |
Double Chance · 1X | 76.9% | +16.6 | 1.60 at Betano | — |
| 16 Oct, 20:00 | queued | Fortuna Köln vs Stuttgart II Germany, 3. Liga |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 49.1% | +9.9 | 2.40 at Betano | — |
| 16 Oct, 20:00 | queued | Çorum FK vs Rizespor Turkey, Süper Lig |
BTTS · No | 49.0% | +5.8 | 2.20 at Bet365 | — |
| 16 Oct, 21:00 | queued | Annecy vs Nancy France, Ligue 2 |
O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 53.2% | +5.8 | 2.05 at Bet365 | — |
| 16 Oct, 21:00 | queued | Grenoble vs Boulogne France, Ligue 2 |
Double Chance · 1X | 75.8% | +9.7 | 1.50 at Betfair | — |
| 16 Oct, 21:00 | queued | Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab Saudi Arabia, Pro League |
Double Chance · 1X | 82.3% | +9.0 | 1.32 at Betano | — |
| 16 Oct, 21:00 | queued | Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab Saudi Arabia, Pro League |
1X2 · Home | 57.3% | +6.5 | 1.95 at Betano | — |
| 16 Oct, 21:30 | queued | Ayr Utd vs Partick Scotland, Championship |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 56.4% | +6.9 | 1.95 at Betano | — |
| 16 Oct, 21:30 | queued | Leganes vs Cordoba Spain, Segunda División |
BTTS · No | 50.5% | +12.2 | 2.50 at 1xBet | — |
| 16 Oct, 21:30 | queued | Leganes vs Cordoba Spain, Segunda División |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 52.3% | +10.7 | 2.39 at 1xBet | — |
| 16 Oct, 21:30 | queued | Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro Italy, Serie B |
Double Chance · 1X | 86.9% | +9.8 | 1.27 at Betano | — |
| 16 Oct, 21:30 | queued | Hellas Verona vs Catanzaro Italy, Serie B |
1X2 · Home | 61.1% | +8.7 | 1.91 at Pinnacle | — |
| 16 Oct, 21:45 | queued | Frosinone vs Sassuolo Italy, Serie A |
Double Chance · 1X | 75.3% | +7.5 | 1.47 at Betano | — |
| 16 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante Spain, La Liga |
Double Chance · 1X | 79.5% | +6.2 | 1.34 at 1xBet | — |
| 17 Oct, 02:00 | queued | Mirassol vs Internacional Brazil, Serie A |
Double Chance · 1X | 78.1% | +8.1 | 1.39 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 07:00 | queued | Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka Japan, J1 League |
BTTS · No | 52.1% | +10.2 | 2.25 at BetVictor | — |
| 17 Oct, 07:00 | queued | Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka Japan, J1 League |
Double Chance · 1X | 77.7% | +7.8 | 1.39 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 07:00 | queued | Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka Japan, J1 League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 54.9% | +9.3 | 2.10 at 1xBet | — |
| 17 Oct, 07:00 | queued | Auckland vs Melbourne City Australia, A-League |
Double Chance · 1X | 75.3% | +8.1 | 1.47 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 08:00 | queued | Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga Japan, J1 League |
1X2 · Home | 80.1% | +6.6 | 1.36 at 1xBet | — |
| 17 Oct, 09:00 | queued | Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale Japan, J1 League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 50.6% | +12.7 | 2.54 at Pinnacle | — |
| 17 Oct, 09:00 | queued | Kashima vs V-varen Nagasaki Japan, J1 League |
1X2 · Home | 71.9% | +6.2 | 1.52 at 1xBet | — |
| 17 Oct, 10:30 | queued | Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 South Korea, K League 1 |
BTTS · No | 52.6% | +7.3 | 2.05 at William Hill | — |
| 17 Oct, 10:30 | queued | Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 South Korea, K League 1 |
Double Chance · 1X | 90.3% | +8.6 | 1.20 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 10:30 | queued | Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Bucheon FC 1995 South Korea, K League 1 |
1X2 · Home | 67.8% | +9.1 | 1.70 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 13:00 | queued | Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus Japan, J1 League |
BTTS · No | 52.3% | +9.9 | 2.20 at William Hill | — |
| 17 Oct, 13:00 | queued | Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus Japan, J1 League |
Double Chance · 1X | 89.1% | +6.8 | 1.20 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 13:00 | queued | Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus Japan, J1 League |
1X2 · Home | 70.6% | +9.0 | 1.62 at 1xBet | — |
| 17 Oct, 14:00 | queued | 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs VfL Bochum Germany, 2. Bundesliga |
Double Chance · 1X | 75.1% | +10.5 | 1.50 at Betfair | — |
| 17 Oct, 14:00 | queued | FF Jaro vs Mariehamn Finland, Veikkausliiga |
Double Chance · 1X | 77.0% | +6.5 | 1.40 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 14:30 | queued | Everton vs Chelsea England, Premier League |
BTTS · No | 49.4% | +10.0 | 2.55 at Betfair | — |
| 17 Oct, 14:30 | queued | Middlesbrough vs Cardiff England, Championship |
1X2 · Home | 71.9% | +5.9 | 1.49 at Dafabet | — |
| 17 Oct, 14:30 | queued | Fleetwood Town vs Rotherham England, League Two |
Double Chance · 1X | 77.3% | +12.6 | 1.50 at Bet365 | — |
| 17 Oct, 14:30 | queued | Shrewsbury vs Bristol Rovers England, League Two |
BTTS · No | 53.7% | +5.7 | 1.95 at William Hill | — |
| 17 Oct, 15:00 | queued | Hannover 96 II vs Schöningen Germany, Regionalliga North |
Double Chance · 1X | 81.9% | +10.9 | 1.27 at 1xBet | — |
| 17 Oct, 15:00 | queued | Hannover 96 II vs Schöningen Germany, Regionalliga North |
1X2 · Home | 56.6% | +6.9 | 1.87 at 1xBet | — |
| 17 Oct, 15:00 | queued | VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II Germany, Regionalliga North |
Double Chance · 1X | 77.9% | +11.1 | 1.34 at 1xBet | — |
| 17 Oct, 15:00 | queued | Persita vs Persija Indonesia, Liga 1 |
O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 58.3% | +5.0 | 1.77 at Pinnacle | — |
| 17 Oct, 15:45 | queued | Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw Poland, Ekstraklasa |
BTTS · No | 49.5% | +11.6 | 2.37 at 1xBet | — |
| 17 Oct, 15:45 | queued | Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw Poland, Ekstraklasa |
Double Chance · 1X | 80.2% | +7.8 | 1.35 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 15:45 | queued | Motor Lublin vs Slask Wroclaw Poland, Ekstraklasa |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 50.7% | +9.4 | 2.25 at Marathonbet | — |
| 17 Oct, 15:45 | queued | Quevilly vs Orleans France, National |
Double Chance · 1X | 74.1% | +9.4 | 1.50 at Bet365 | — |
| 17 Oct, 16:00 | queued | Venezia vs Napoli Italy, Serie A |
BTTS · No | 58.0% | +13.8 | 2.20 at Betfair | — |
| 17 Oct, 16:00 | queued | Venezia vs Napoli Italy, Serie A |
Double Chance · X2 | 85.9% | +5.4 | 1.23 at 1xBet | — |
| 17 Oct, 16:00 | queued | Venezia vs Napoli Italy, Serie A |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 62.9% | +18.4 | 2.26 at 1xBet | — |
| 17 Oct, 16:00 | queued | Amed vs Konyaspor Turkey, Süper Lig |
Double Chance · 1X | 84.6% | +7.4 | 1.28 at 1xBet | — |
| 17 Oct, 16:00 | queued | Amed vs Konyaspor Turkey, Süper Lig |
1X2 · Home | 54.4% | +5.6 | 1.98 at 1xBet | — |
| 17 Oct, 16:00 | queued | Ascoli vs Empoli Italy, Serie B |
Double Chance · 1X | 83.5% | +6.1 | 1.26 at Marathonbet | — |
| 17 Oct, 16:00 | queued | Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus Italy, Serie B |
Double Chance · 1X | 85.1% | +11.3 | 1.32 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 16:00 | queued | Benevento vs Vicenza Virtus Italy, Serie B |
1X2 · Home | 56.0% | +7.3 | 2.02 at Pinnacle | — |
| 17 Oct, 16:00 | queued | Carrarese vs Modena Italy, Serie B |
BTTS · No | 52.7% | +8.5 | 2.15 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 16:00 | queued | Carrarese vs Modena Italy, Serie B |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 54.0% | +7.1 | 2.07 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 16:30 | queued | FC Schalke 04 vs FSV Mainz 05 Germany, Bundesliga |
BTTS · No | 50.0% | +14.1 | 2.55 at Betfair | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Kristiansund BK vs Aalesund Norway, Eliteserien |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 49.6% | +11.8 | 2.55 at Betfair | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Aberdeen vs ST Mirren Scotland, Premiership |
BTTS · No | 50.8% | +7.6 | 2.10 at BetVictor | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Kilmarnock vs Motherwell Scotland, Premiership |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 50.6% | +11.3 | 2.40 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | ST Johnstone vs Dundee Utd Scotland, Premiership |
BTTS · No | 49.8% | +7.7 | 2.32 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Dunfermline vs Livingston Scotland, Championship |
BTTS · No | 52.0% | +8.6 | 2.20 at William Hill | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Dunfermline vs Livingston Scotland, Championship |
Double Chance · 1X | 72.8% | +12.1 | 1.57 at Betfair | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Dunfermline vs Livingston Scotland, Championship |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 55.3% | +7.6 | 2.01 at Pinnacle | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Inverness CT vs Arbroath Scotland, Championship |
BTTS · No | 57.8% | +6.0 | 1.87 at Betfair | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Inverness CT vs Arbroath Scotland, Championship |
1X2 · Home | 68.6% | +6.4 | 1.57 at Betfair | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Morton vs Queen's Park Scotland, Championship |
BTTS · No | 55.4% | +5.9 | 1.91 at 1xBet | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Morton vs Queen's Park Scotland, Championship |
Double Chance · 1X | 77.6% | +13.9 | 1.52 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers Scotland, Championship |
Double Chance · 1X | 72.1% | +11.9 | 1.57 at Betfair | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Stenhousemuir vs Raith Rovers Scotland, Championship |
O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 48.9% | +7.4 | 2.28 at Pinnacle | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Fulham vs Hull City England, Premier League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 51.0% | +6.3 | 2.15 at Pinnacle | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Grimsby vs Northampton England, League Two |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 54.7% | +6.0 | 1.95 at Bet365 | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Salford City vs Crawley Town England, League Two |
1X2 · Home | 76.8% | +6.2 | 1.45 at Dafabet | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Swindon Town vs Walsall England, League Two |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 51.1% | +8.5 | 2.22 at Pinnacle | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Bradford vs Stevenage England, League One |
O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 49.2% | +5.6 | 2.20 at Betfair | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Leicester vs Doncaster England, League One |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 48.2% | +9.0 | 2.44 at Pinnacle | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Leyton Orient vs Blackpool England, League One |
BTTS · No | 50.5% | +10.8 | 2.38 at BetVictor | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Leyton Orient vs Blackpool England, League One |
Double Chance · 1X | 77.1% | +7.0 | 1.42 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Leyton Orient vs Blackpool England, League One |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 52.1% | +10.0 | 2.27 at Pinnacle | — |
| 17 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Stockport County vs Bromley England, League One |
1X2 · Home | 86.4% | +6.5 | 1.26 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 18:40 | queued | NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq Saudi Arabia, Pro League |
BTTS · No | 52.2% | +12.0 | 2.38 at Betfair | — |
| 17 Oct, 18:40 | queued | NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq Saudi Arabia, Pro League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 51.7% | +7.6 | 2.18 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 19:00 | queued | Viking vs Fredrikstad Norway, Eliteserien |
1X2 · Home | 85.4% | +8.0 | 1.31 at 1xBet | — |
| 17 Oct, 19:00 | queued | Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor Turkey, Süper Lig |
BTTS · Yes | 56.8% | +7.7 | 1.93 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 19:30 | queued | Sporting Gijon vs Albacete Spain, Segunda División |
BTTS · No | 50.0% | +5.9 | 2.12 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 19:30 | queued | Sporting Gijon vs Albacete Spain, Segunda División |
Double Chance · 1X | 83.4% | +12.8 | 1.39 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 19:30 | queued | Sporting Gijon vs Albacete Spain, Segunda División |
1X2 · Home | 56.4% | +5.6 | 2.35 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 19:30 | queued | Atromitos vs AEK Athens FC Greece, Super League 1 |
BTTS · Yes | 51.5% | +5.0 | 2.05 at Bet365 | — |
| 17 Oct, 20:30 | queued | Ried vs Austria Vienna Austria, Bundesliga |
Double Chance · 1X | 75.8% | +11.3 | 1.45 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 21:00 | queued | RED Star FC 93 vs Saint Etienne France, Ligue 2 |
O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 55.7% | +5.7 | 1.93 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 21:00 | queued | Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon Saudi Arabia, Pro League |
BTTS · No | 50.5% | +8.6 | 2.25 at Betfair | — |
| 17 Oct, 21:00 | queued | Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon Saudi Arabia, Pro League |
Double Chance · 1X | 82.1% | +10.4 | 1.35 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 21:00 | queued | Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon Saudi Arabia, Pro League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 52.4% | +6.5 | 2.10 at Betfair | — |
| 17 Oct, 21:45 | queued | AS Roma vs Genoa Italy, Serie A |
1X2 · Home | 81.8% | +5.6 | 1.40 at 1xBet | — |
| 17 Oct, 21:45 | queued | Estac Troyes vs Lens France, Ligue 1 |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 47.3% | +7.4 | 2.47 at Betano | — |
| 17 Oct, 22:00 | queued | Valencia vs Athletic Club Spain, La Liga |
BTTS · No | 54.6% | +6.6 | 1.95 at William Hill | — |
| 17 Oct, 23:00 | queued | Chico vs Atletico Nacional Colombia, Primera A |
BTTS · Yes | 54.9% | +8.8 | 2.10 at Bet365 | — |
| 17 Oct, 23:00 | queued | Chico vs Atletico Nacional Colombia, Primera A |
O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 56.5% | +7.1 | 2.00 at Bet365 | — |
| 18 Oct, 00:00 | queued | Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc Brazil, Serie A |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 53.7% | +13.6 | 2.42 at Betano | — |
| 18 Oct, 02:07 | queued | Guadalajara Chivas vs Tigres UANL Mexico, Liga MX |
BTTS · No | 50.3% | +6.1 | 2.12 at Betano | — |
| 18 Oct, 02:30 | queued | New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC Usa, Major League Soccer |
BTTS · No | 51.2% | +10.6 | 2.30 at BetVictor | — |
| 18 Oct, 02:30 | queued | New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC Usa, Major League Soccer |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 53.6% | +8.8 | 2.15 at Betano | — |
| 18 Oct, 02:30 | queued | New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Usa, Major League Soccer |
BTTS · No | 48.9% | +17.0 | 3.00 at BetVictor | — |
| 18 Oct, 02:30 | queued | New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Usa, Major League Soccer |
Double Chance · 1X | 76.2% | +6.0 | 1.38 at Marathonbet | — |
| 18 Oct, 02:30 | queued | New York Red Bulls vs Toronto FC Usa, Major League Soccer |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 47.4% | +14.9 | 3.00 at BetVictor | — |
| 18 Oct, 07:55 | queued | Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe Japan, J1 League |
O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 53.6% | +7.6 | 2.09 at Pinnacle | — |
| 18 Oct, 08:00 | queued | Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC South Korea, K League 1 |
1X2 · Home | 76.3% | +5.2 | 1.41 at Dafabet | — |
| 18 Oct, 10:00 | queued | Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka Japan, J1 League |
Double Chance · 1X | 85.4% | +5.8 | 1.24 at Betano | — |
| 18 Oct, 10:00 | queued | Machida Zelvia vs Avispa Fukuoka Japan, J1 League |
1X2 · Home | 60.7% | +6.6 | 1.83 at Pinnacle | — |
| 18 Oct, 10:30 | queued | FC Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea, K League 1 |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 47.2% | +5.1 | 2.27 at Pinnacle | — |
| 18 Oct, 13:15 | queued | PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles Netherlands, Eredivisie |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 48.4% | +13.6 | 2.77 at Betano | — |
| 18 Oct, 13:30 | queued | Udinese vs Lecce Italy, Serie A |
BTTS · No | 54.7% | +7.3 | 2.02 at Betano | — |
| 18 Oct, 13:30 | queued | Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor Turkey, Süper Lig |
BTTS · No | 54.5% | +7.5 | 2.00 at William Hill | — |
| 18 Oct, 13:30 | queued | Kasımpaşa vs Samsunspor Turkey, Süper Lig |
Double Chance · 1X | 82.2% | +17.8 | 1.50 at Betano | — |
| 18 Oct, 15:00 | queued | Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF Sweden, Allsvenskan |
BTTS · No | 54.2% | +11.7 | 2.26 at 1xBet | — |
| 18 Oct, 15:00 | queued | Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF Sweden, Allsvenskan |
Double Chance · 1X | 75.2% | +8.3 | 1.44 at Bet365 | — |
| 18 Oct, 15:00 | queued | Vasteras SK FK vs Mjallby AIF Sweden, Allsvenskan |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 57.7% | +11.4 | 2.09 at Pinnacle | — |
| 18 Oct, 15:00 | queued | Osasuna vs Racing Santander Spain, La Liga |
BTTS · No | 54.2% | +13.9 | 2.40 at Betfair | — |
| 18 Oct, 15:00 | queued | Osasuna vs Racing Santander Spain, La Liga |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 55.9% | +12.7 | 2.27 at 1xBet | — |
| 18 Oct, 15:00 | queued | Hamburger SV II vs VfB Oldenburg Germany, Regionalliga North |
BTTS · No | 50.4% | +17.9 | 2.82 at 1xBet | — |
| 18 Oct, 15:00 | queued | Hamburger SV II vs VfB Oldenburg Germany, Regionalliga North |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 47.1% | +16.4 | 2.98 at 1xBet | — |
| 18 Oct, 15:00 | queued | KuPS vs VPS Finland, Veikkausliiga |
1X2 · Home | 63.3% | +7.6 | 1.71 at 1xBet | — |
| 18 Oct, 15:30 | queued | Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar Netherlands, Eredivisie |
BTTS · No | 50.1% | +10.2 | 2.40 at William Hill | — |
| 18 Oct, 15:30 | queued | Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar Netherlands, Eredivisie |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 48.0% | +17.5 | 3.21 at Pinnacle | — |
| 18 Oct, 15:30 | queued | Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach Austria, Bundesliga |
BTTS · No | 55.4% | +11.6 | 2.20 at William Hill | — |
| 18 Oct, 15:30 | queued | Red Bull Salzburg vs SCR Altach Austria, Bundesliga |
1X2 · Home | 82.6% | +8.9 | 1.37 at 1xBet | — |
| 18 Oct, 15:30 | queued | Wolfsberger AC vs WSG Wattens Austria, Bundesliga |
BTTS · No | 48.7% | +12.3 | 2.60 at 1xBet | — |
| 18 Oct, 15:45 | queued | Zaglebie Lubin vs Jagiellonia Poland, Ekstraklasa |
Double Chance · 1X | 74.4% | +14.7 | 1.60 at Betano | — |
| 18 Oct, 16:00 | queued | Angers vs Marseille France, Ligue 1 |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 47.6% | +5.8 | 2.38 at 1xBet | — |
| 18 Oct, 16:00 | queued | Brighton vs Crystal Palace England, Premier League |
BTTS · No | 52.1% | +9.4 | 2.30 at Betfair | — |
| 18 Oct, 16:00 | queued | Leeds vs Manchester United England, Premier League |
BTTS · No | 48.4% | +10.8 | 2.55 at Betfair | — |
| 18 Oct, 16:00 | queued | Leeds vs Manchester United England, Premier League |
Double Chance · 1X | 75.1% | +10.8 | 1.52 at 1xBet | — |
| 18 Oct, 16:00 | queued | Leeds vs Manchester United England, Premier League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 52.8% | +10.9 | 2.34 at 1xBet | — |
| 18 Oct, 16:00 | queued | Kocaelispor vs Göztepe Turkey, Süper Lig |
Double Chance · 1X | 82.0% | +17.2 | 1.50 at Bet365 | — |
| 18 Oct, 17:00 | queued | Panetolikos vs Olympiakos Piraeus Greece, Super League 1 |
BTTS · Yes | 50.5% | +5.9 | 2.15 at Marathonbet | — |
| 18 Oct, 17:30 | queued | Halmstad vs Hammarby FF Sweden, Allsvenskan |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 55.8% | +23.1 | 2.88 at Bet365 | — |
| 18 Oct, 17:30 | queued | Orgryte IS vs Gais Sweden, Allsvenskan |
BTTS · No | 51.4% | +9.5 | 2.25 at William Hill | — |
| 18 Oct, 17:30 | queued | Orgryte IS vs Gais Sweden, Allsvenskan |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 53.1% | +11.5 | 2.30 at Bet365 | — |
| 18 Oct, 17:30 | queued | Panathinaikos vs Asteras Tripolis Greece, Super League 1 |
BTTS · Yes | 49.0% | +10.7 | 2.50 at Bet365 | — |
| 18 Oct, 18:00 | queued | Molde vs Start Norway, Eliteserien |
1X2 · Home | 79.9% | +6.4 | 1.37 at Pinnacle | — |
| 18 Oct, 18:00 | queued | Sandefjord vs Lillestrom Norway, Eliteserien |
BTTS · No | 49.3% | +12.0 | 2.52 at Betano | — |
| 18 Oct, 18:00 | queued | Sandefjord vs Lillestrom Norway, Eliteserien |
Double Chance · 1X | 70.2% | +9.6 | 1.57 at Betano | — |
| 18 Oct, 18:00 | queued | Sturm Graz vs Grazer AK Austria, Bundesliga |
1X2 · Home | 65.2% | +6.2 | 1.70 at Betano | — |
| 18 Oct, 18:15 | queued | Paris FC vs Rennes France, Ligue 1 |
BTTS · No | 48.5% | +9.0 | 2.42 at 1xBet | — |
| 18 Oct, 18:30 | queued | Lech Poznan vs Korona Kielce Poland, Ekstraklasa |
1X2 · Home | 71.2% | +5.3 | 1.52 at Betano | — |
| 18 Oct, 19:00 | queued | FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus Denmark, Superliga |
1X2 · Home | 71.2% | +7.3 | 1.55 at 1xBet | — |
| 18 Oct, 19:00 | queued | AC Milan vs Atalanta Italy, Serie A |
BTTS · No | 52.6% | +8.6 | 2.20 at Betfair | — |
| 18 Oct, 19:00 | queued | Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK Turkey, Süper Lig |
BTTS · No | 48.3% | +6.4 | 2.25 at William Hill | — |
| 18 Oct, 19:00 | queued | Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK Turkey, Süper Lig |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 47.1% | +6.3 | 2.38 at 1xBet | — |
| 18 Oct, 19:30 | queued | Valladolid vs Eldense Spain, Segunda División |
BTTS · No | 57.6% | +7.9 | 1.90 at Betano | — |
| 18 Oct, 19:30 | queued | Malaga vs Real Sociedad Spain, La Liga |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 53.2% | +5.9 | 2.10 at 1xBet | — |
| 18 Oct, 20:00 | queued | Kifisia vs Aris Thessalonikis Greece, Super League 1 |
BTTS · No | 52.3% | +5.2 | 2.00 at William Hill | — |
| 18 Oct, 20:15 | queued | Tromso vs KFUM Oslo Norway, Eliteserien |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 47.7% | +5.0 | 2.25 at Bet365 | — |
| 18 Oct, 21:00 | queued | Twente vs Utrecht Netherlands, Eredivisie |
BTTS · No | 52.0% | +10.7 | 2.35 at Betano | — |
| 18 Oct, 21:00 | queued | PAOK vs Iraklis 1908 Greece, Super League 1 |
BTTS · Yes | 48.2% | +5.3 | 2.20 at Bet365 | — |
| 18 Oct, 21:45 | queued | Lyon vs Nice France, Ligue 1 |
BTTS · No | 52.2% | +7.4 | 2.20 at William Hill | — |
| 18 Oct, 23:00 | queued | Defensa Y Justicia vs Instituto Cordoba Argentina, Liga Profesional |
O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 48.1% | +9.0 | 2.49 at 1xBet | — |
| 18 Oct, 23:00 | queued | Estudiantes L.P. vs San Lorenzo Argentina, Liga Profesional |
Double Chance · 1X | 83.1% | +5.1 | 1.28 at Bet365 | — |
| 18 Oct, 23:00 | queued | Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre Argentina, Liga Profesional |
BTTS · Yes | 51.9% | +6.9 | 2.10 at William Hill | — |
| 18 Oct, 23:00 | queued | Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre Argentina, Liga Profesional |
1X2 · Home | 61.2% | +7.4 | 1.94 at Pinnacle | — |
| 18 Oct, 23:00 | queued | Independ. Rivadavia vs Tigre Argentina, Liga Profesional |
O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 51.9% | +12.3 | 2.47 at Pinnacle | — |
| 18 Oct, 23:00 | queued | Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. Argentina, Liga Profesional |
BTTS · Yes | 54.3% | +8.2 | 2.05 at William Hill | — |
| 18 Oct, 23:00 | queued | Velez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia M. Argentina, Liga Profesional |
O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 57.7% | +16.9 | 2.35 at Betano | — |
| 19 Oct, 00:30 | queued | Bahia vs Flamengo Brazil, Serie A |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 48.2% | +5.0 | 2.27 at Pinnacle | — |
- ¹ ¼ Kelly
- — the actual staking method of this portfolio. Full Kelly: f* = (b·p − q) / b, where p = our model probability, q = 1 − p (probability the pick loses), b = best odds − 1 (net win per 1 staked), f* = the fraction of the bank Kelly would risk. We stake f* ÷ 4 (quarter-Kelly damps volatility). Key point: the stake depends on the odds, not on the edge alone — an edge of +35 points at a short price (~1.20) stakes far less (~1.3%) than an edge of +6 points at ~2.20 (~4.2%), because b sits in the denominator. The stake is frozen at publish — later price moves don't resize it. Backing several picks at once? Kelly fractions are per-pick; if their sum exceeds your exposure cap, scale every stake proportionally — and never stake full Kelly on correlated picks (e.g. BTTS + Over 2.5 on the same match tend to win or lose together).
- Edge, pp
- — difference in percentage points between our probability and the de-vigged market consensus. Bookmaker odds include margin (overround), so we remove it before comparing. For most markets: take the best price on every outcome, invert each to an implied probability, and scale them so they sum to exactly 100% — example (BTTS): best odds No = 2.19, Yes = 1.62 → raw implied 45.7% + 61.7% = 107.4% (7.4% is the margin) → de-vigged No = 45.7 ÷ 107.4 = 42.5%; our model at 61.4% gives edge = 61.4 − 42.5 ≈ +19 pp. Double Chance is different: its implied is built from the de-vigged 1X2 market (1X = P(Home) + P(Draw)) — de-vigging the DC market directly would distort it, because DC outcomes overlap and the margin is loaded unevenly. A pick must also clear the Kaunitz EV check against the real price: probability × best odds > 1.01.
- Best odds
- — the best quote across every bookmaker in our aggregation feed; the name next to the number is who offers it. Prices move constantly — always confirm at the bookmaker.
Pick, price and stake were frozen the moment the pick first qualified («Placed»). «Best odds» keeps refreshing while the pick is live — grading uses the placed price and stake. Late-arriving factors (weather, referee appointments, team news) refine the probabilities, but a placed bet stands: only if the model changes the pick itself is it closed as a public void and re-placed at the new terms — nothing is silently re-priced.
📜 Settled history
Picks that have already been played and graded — these results drive the portfolio numbers above.
| Settled | Match | Pick | Price | Stake | Result | P/L | CLV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | Valladolid vs Albacete Spain, Segunda División |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 1.98 | $47.80 | L | $-47.80 | +1.04% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Valladolid vs Albacete Spain, Segunda División |
BTTS · No | 2.10 | $50.61 | W | +$55.67 | +0.69% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | CF Pachuca vs Necaxa Mexico, Liga MX |
1X2 · Home | 1.70 | $55.84 | L | $-55.84 | -1.68% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Talleres Cordoba vs Independiente Argentina, Liga Profesional |
O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 2.40 | $61.86 | L | $-61.86 | -0.51% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Racing Club vs Belgrano Cordoba Argentina, Liga Profesional |
O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 2.50 | $59.23 | L | $-59.23 | +2.19% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | St. Louis City vs Los Angeles Galaxy Usa, Major League Soccer |
1X2 · Home | 1.65 | $86.31 | W | +$56.10 | +4.75% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Wydad AC vs CODM Meknès Morocco, Botola Pro |
O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 2.35 | $50.77 | L | $-50.77 | — |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Wydad AC vs CODM Meknès Morocco, Botola Pro |
BTTS · Yes | 2.15 | $45.69 | L | $-45.69 | — |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Palmeiras vs Corinthians Brazil, Serie A |
1X2 · Home | 1.56 | $67.69 | W | +$37.91 | -4.22% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Gremio vs Internacional Brazil, Serie A |
Double Chance · 1X | 1.55 | $91.38 | W | +$50.26 | +2.15% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Al Shabab vs Al Taawon Saudi Arabia, Pro League |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 2.39 | $52.46 | L | $-52.46 | -1.02% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Estac Troyes vs Marseille France, Ligue 1 |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 2.45 | $99.84 | W | +$145 | +2.29% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | Estac Troyes vs Marseille France, Ligue 1 |
BTTS · No | 2.40 | $66.00 | W | +$92.40 | -1.67% |
| 12 Oct 2026 | San Lorenzo vs Deportivo Riestra Argentina, Liga Profesional |
Double Chance · 1X | 1.31 | $86.31 | W | +$26.76 | -2.26% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Lecco vs Alcione Italy, Serie C |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 1.87 | $35.54 | W | +$30.92 | +0% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Lecco vs Alcione Italy, Serie C |
BTTS · No | 2.10 | $38.92 | L | $-38.92 | +0% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Aris Thessalonikis vs Volos NFC Greece, Super League 1 |
1X2 · Home | 1.58 | $77.84 | W | +$45.15 | +0.4% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 Germany, Bundesliga |
1X2 · Home | 1.71 | $99.84 | W | +$70.89 | -2.3% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | SC Freiburg vs FC Schalke 04 Germany, Bundesliga |
BTTS · No | 2.30 | $32.47 | L | $-32.47 | +0% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Real Betis vs Osasuna Spain, La Liga |
1X2 · Home | 1.64 | $99.84 | W | +$63.90 | +3.13% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Rio Ave vs Nacional Portugal, Primeira Liga |
BTTS · No | 2.15 | $29.65 | L | $-29.65 | -1.06% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | 1. FC Köln vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Germany, Bundesliga |
Double Chance · 1X | 1.34 | $73.34 | W | +$24.94 | +1.13% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Almeria vs Leganes Spain, Segunda División |
1X2 · Home | 1.70 | $81.88 | W | +$57.32 | +1.42% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Union St. Gilloise vs OH Leuven Belgium, Jupiler Pro League |
1X2 · Home | 1.27 | $172 | L | $-172 | -1.82% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Excelsior vs Groningen Netherlands, Eredivisie |
Double Chance · 1X | 1.53 | $53.65 | L | $-53.65 | +0% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Brondby vs Lyngby Denmark, Superliga |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 2.38 | $34.33 | L | $-34.33 | -1.37% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Brondby vs Lyngby Denmark, Superliga |
BTTS · No | 2.30 | $32.77 | L | $-32.77 | +0% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Start vs Ham-Kam Norway, Eliteserien |
BTTS · No | 2.38 | $46.59 | L | $-46.59 | +1.46% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Renate vs Giana Erminio Italy, Serie C |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 1.62 | $21.63 | L | $-21.63 | -6.48% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Renate vs Giana Erminio Italy, Serie C |
BTTS · No | 1.80 | $20.12 | L | $-20.12 | -3.2% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Hallescher FC vs RSV Eintracht Germany, Regionalliga Northeast |
BTTS · No | 2.64 | $94.41 | W | +$155 | — |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Phönix Lübeck vs Eintracht Norderstedt Germany, Regionalliga North |
1X2 · Home | 1.45 | $51.08 | W | +$22.99 | +1.46% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Elche vs Celta Vigo Spain, La Liga |
BTTS · No | 2.20 | $34.56 | W | +$41.47 | -0.81% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC Austria, Bundesliga |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 2.32 | $43.27 | L | $-43.27 | -1.44% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | SCR Altach vs Wolfsberger AC Austria, Bundesliga |
BTTS · No | 2.40 | $55.72 | W | +$78.01 | +0% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest England, Premier League |
BTTS · No | 2.10 | $31.56 | L | $-31.56 | -2.16% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone Scotland, Premiership |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 1.91 | $43.69 | W | +$39.76 | -1.59% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Aberdeen vs ST Johnstone Scotland, Premiership |
BTTS · No | 2.05 | $48.26 | W | +$50.67 | +0% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Piast Gliwice vs Widzew Łódź Poland, Ekstraklasa |
Double Chance · 1X | 1.55 | $98.18 | W | +$54.00 | -0.82% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Telstar vs ADO Den Haag Netherlands, Eredivisie |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 2.50 | $75.84 | L | $-75.84 | +4.44% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Telstar vs ADO Den Haag Netherlands, Eredivisie |
Double Chance · 1X | 1.37 | $53.58 | W | +$19.82 | -1.56% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Telstar vs ADO Den Haag Netherlands, Eredivisie |
BTTS · No | 2.63 | $89.77 | L | $-89.77 | +3.64% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Randers FC vs Viborg Denmark, Superliga |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 2.32 | $24.24 | W | +$32.00 | -0.55% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Hammarby FF vs Djurgardens IF Sweden, Allsvenskan |
BTTS · No | 2.44 | $47.98 | W | +$69.09 | +0.68% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Konyaspor vs Başakşehir Turkey, Süper Lig |
BTTS · No | 2.25 | $43.34 | W | +$54.18 | -0.39% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Southampton vs Portsmouth England, Championship |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 2.27 | $44.89 | W | +$57.01 | -4.84% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Southampton vs Portsmouth England, Championship |
BTTS · No | 2.15 | $21.67 | W | +$24.92 | -4.49% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus Japan, J1 League |
1X2 · Home | 1.85 | $76.33 | L | $-76.33 | -1.42% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Kawasaki Frontale vs Nagoya Grampus Japan, J1 League |
Double Chance · 1X | 1.28 | $159 | L | $-159 | +1.24% |
| 11 Oct 2026 | Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC South Korea, K League 1 |
O/U 2.5 · Under 2.5 | 2.33 | $49.91 | L | $-49.91 | -1.93% |
207 picks were withdrawn before kick-off (the value disappeared or the model changed its mind) — never staked, excluded from ROI. The void records stay in the ledger: nothing is deleted here.
Last 50 settled picks, newest first — the table keeps the most recent 50, the ledger itself is append-only and complete. Nothing is edited or removed.
🏆 Value by league
| League | Bets | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| UEFA Nations League | 12 | 58.3% | +25.48u ($255) |
| Friendlies | 5 | 60% | +3.88u ($39) |
| Segunda División | 10 | 50% | -11.23u ($-112) |
| Botola Pro | 11 | 36.4% | -13.34u ($-133) |
| Liga Profesional | 12 | 66.7% | +4.83u ($48) |
| Primera A | 4 | 25% | -8.34u ($-83) |
| Regionalliga Bayern | 2 | 100% | +17.83u ($178) |
| Regionalliga North | 2 | 100% | +6.03u ($60) |
| Regionalliga Southwest | 8 | 37.5% | +8.31u ($83) |
| Regionalliga West | 4 | 75% | +14.82u ($148) |
| Championship | 2 | 0% | -6.5u ($-65) |
| League Two | 9 | 55.6% | -2.39u ($-24) |
| National League | 14 | 42.9% | -5.49u ($-55) |
| NPFL | 3 | 66.7% | +1.67u ($17) |
| Serie C | 10 | 50% | +4.83u ($48) |
| Eerste Divisie | 5 | 60% | +3.46u ($35) |
| Serie A | 9 | 66.7% | +17.53u ($175) |
| Veikkausliiga | 3 | 33.3% | -3.71u ($-37) |
| Ekstraklasa | 3 | 33.3% | +1.78u ($18) |
| Regionalliga Northeast | 5 | 60% | +13.11u ($131) |
| Ligue 2 | 5 | 60% | +6.37u ($64) |
| Jupiler Pro League | 5 | 20% | -25.91u ($-259) |
| Bundesliga | 5 | 60% | +3.72u ($37) |
| Primeira Liga | 4 | 50% | +3.15u ($31) |
| Championship | 5 | 80% | +10.97u ($110) |
| League One | 1 | 100% | +1.89u ($19) |
| Liga 1 | 3 | 33.3% | -2.13u ($-21) |
| Super League | 2 | 100% | +3.4u ($34) |
| Premiership | 3 | 100% | +9.86u ($99) |
| Allsvenskan | 2 | 50% | +3.61u ($36) |
| Eliteserien | 2 | 0% | -7.56u ($-76) |
| Premier League | 3 | 33.3% | -0.14u ($-1) |
| Major League Soccer | 7 | 42.9% | +1.41u ($14) |
| Ligue 1 | 5 | 60% | +24.69u ($247) |
| Liga MX | 3 | 33.3% | -9.11u ($-91) |
| K League 1 | 1 | 0% | -4.99u ($-50) |
| J1 League | 2 | 0% | -23.49u ($-235) |
| Süper Lig | 1 | 100% | +5.42u ($54) |
| Superliga | 3 | 33.3% | -3.51u ($-35) |
| Eredivisie | 4 | 25% | -19.94u ($-199) |
| Bundesliga | 2 | 50% | +3.47u ($35) |
| La Liga | 2 | 100% | +10.54u ($105) |
| Super League 1 | 1 | 100% | +4.52u ($45) |
| Pro League | 1 | 0% | -5.25u ($-52) |
How this works — and what the units mean
Our probability for each market is compared with the best available price across every bookmaker in the API feed (9 at smaller leagues, up to 33 at top competitions). The bookmaker margin is removed and the favorite-longshot bias corrected, so the comparison is honest. A pick qualifies only when BOTH hold: +5 points of edge vs the de-vigged market (model says 58%, market consensus 53% or less) and positive expectation against the actual best price (probability × odds > 1.01 — the Kaunitz criterion: no pick is taken at a price that is itself -EV). Qualifying picks are frozen at publish (pick + price) and staked by quarter-Kelly from the live bank — the stake size you see in the ¼ Kelly column is the real stake the portfolio makes. If the value disappears before kick-off, the pick is closed as a public void — the record stays complete.
- ¼ Kelly stake
- — the portfolio's staking method: the fraction of the current bank the Kelly criterion would risk on a pick (f* = (b·p − q)/b), divided by 4 to damp volatility. The stake is frozen at publish; wins and losses move the virtual bank, and the next pick is sized from the new bank level.
- ROI
- — profit ÷ total units staked, in percent. Profit is the sum of all settled picks in units (+0.95u for a win at odds 1.95, −1u for a loss).
- Max drawdown
- — the largest peak-to-trough drop of the bankroll across the settle history. Shown on purpose: a genuine value process can lose for weeks and still be mathematically sound.
Related: All predictions — full record · How to verify any prediction site · Responsible gambling