Millonarios vs America de Cali
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Thu, 05 Nov 2026 • 04:30 UTC+3 • Clausura - 17 • 🌤 14.8°C, 0 km/h mostly clear
Snapshotted at publish: Yes at 1.85 (58.9%, Model EV +9.0%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 1.88 → 1.9 ▲1% | Betfair1.90 | 50.1% | -4.8% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.25 | 76.8% | -4% |
| BTTS | Yes | Bet3651.91 | 58.9% · No 41.1% | +12.5% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Betfair2.10 | 48.5% · Under 51.5% | +1.8% |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Bet3659.00 | 9.3% | -16.3% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.9 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Bet3651.67 | 54.6% · Over 45.4% | -8.8% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Millonarios · Home
Millonarios are unbeaten in their last five, drawing four, and scored in every one of those matches, including 4-1 against Jaguares. Their recent xG for of 2.09 over up to five recent matches with recorded statistics supports a home side that creates enough to win rather than merely draw.
America de Cali · Away
America de Cali won three of their last five, but the 3-1 reverse at home to Millonarios in the latest H2H (20 Apr 2026) is the telling result. Their recent xG for of 0.82 over up to five recent matches with recorded statistics sits well below Millonarios' output.
H2H swing favours home
The latest H2H, a 3-1 America de Cali home win on 20 Apr 2026, was followed by Millonarios' 2-1 home win in the previous meeting, and the pair also drew 0-0. Millonarios have drawn four of five but scored in all five, while America's recent xG for of 0.82 over up to five recent matches with recorded statistics trails Millonarios' 2.09. The model expected goals of 1.64 for Millonarios against 1.26 for America de Cali fits a narrow home edge rather than a repeat of the away win. The evidence supports Millonarios win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Millonarios 1.64 – 1.26 America de Cali · expected total 2.90
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Millonarios
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Millonarios
America de Cali
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Primera A
Millonarios
America de Cali
Rank among 20 Primera A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Millonarios at home · America de Cali away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Millonarios (home)
America de Cali (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
America de Cali 4 wins · 2 draws · Millonarios 4 wins · avg 2.1 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr 2026 | America de Cali | 3–1 | Millonarios | Primera A |
| 08 Oct 2025 | Millonarios | 2–1 | America de Cali | Primera A |
| 17 Apr 2025 | America de Cali | 0–0 | Millonarios | Primera A |
| 20 Jan 2025 | Millonarios | 1–1 | America de Cali | Friendlies Clubs |
| 12 Oct 2024 | America de Cali | 2–1 | Millonarios | Primera A |
| 08 Feb 2024 | Millonarios | 1–0 | America de Cali | Primera A |
| 04 Dec 2023 | America de Cali | 1–0 | Millonarios | Primera A |
| 20 Nov 2023 | Millonarios | 2–1 | America de Cali | Primera A |
| 31 Oct 2023 | America de Cali | 1–0 | Millonarios | Primera A |
| 04 Jun 2023 | Millonarios | 2–1 | America de Cali | Primera A |
📈 Recent Form
Millonarios
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Once Caldas | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Jaguares | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 09/10 | Fortaleza FC | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 30/09 | Independiente Medellin | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 25/09 | Atletico Nacional | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Chico | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 14/09 | Cucuta | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 11/09 | Deportivo Cali | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 07/09 | Deportivo Pereira | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 03/09 | Santa Fe | Away | 2–3 | L |
America de Cali
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Fortaleza FC | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 25/10 | Cucuta | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 22/10 | Barranquilla | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 19/10 | Bucaramanga | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 12/10 | Independiente Medellin | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 05/10 | Llaneros | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 24/09 | Águilas Doradas | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 21/09 | Deportes Tolima | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 15/09 | Deportivo Pasto | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 10/09 | Deportivo Pereira | Home | 4–1 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Primera A
Millonarios #10 · 26 pts · America de Cali #4 · 33 pts
Millonarios
America de Cali
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Millonarios
America de Cali
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: Primera A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws