Predictions → Colombia Primera A

Independiente Medellin vs Millonarios

Independiente Medellin
2:2
Full Time · 30 Sep 2026
Millonarios

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 78% 40.5% @2.24 — 43.5% -3 pp ❌
Double Chance 1X 69% 69.4% @1.32 — 69.1% +0.3 pp ✅
BTTS Yes 82% 51.7% @1.73 — 53.6% -1.9 pp ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81% 49% @1.84 — 51.7% -2.7 pp ❌
Correct Score 1-0 64% 8.2% @8.90 — 5.4% +2.8 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Under 9.5 61% 52.3% @1.74 — 53.2% -0.9 pp ✅

⚽ Model expected goals: Independiente Medellin 1.41 – 1.09 Millonarios · expected total 2.50

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

Independiente Medellin

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Millonarios

Unbeaten 7 Winless 3
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Primera A

Independiente Medellin

2nd best attack (1.50 goals/game)

Millonarios

2nd best attack (1.50 goals/game) Best BTTS rate (83%)

Rank among 20 Primera A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Independiente Medellin at home · Millonarios away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Independiente Medellin (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses8W–3D–6L
W 8
D 3
L 6
Played17
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2

Millonarios (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–7D–7L
W 4
D 7
L 7
Played18
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Independiente Medellin (home)Millonarios (away)
W 8
D 3
L 6
W 4
D 7
L 7
Played
17
18
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.40
Clean sheets
4
3
Failed to score
2
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Independiente Medellin

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
12/10 America de Cali Away 2–1 W
06/10 Santa Fe Home 0–1 L
30/09 Millonarios Home 2–2 D
27/09 Junior Away 0–2 L
22/09 Jaguares Home 2–1 W

Millonarios

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
09/10 Fortaleza FC Away 1–1 D
30/09 Independiente Medellin Away 2–2 D
25/09 Atletico Nacional Away 1–1 D
19/09 Chico Home 3–0 W
14/09 Cucuta Away 2–1 W

📊 Season Comparison — Primera A

Independiente Medellin #11 · 26 pts —  Millonarios #10 · 26 pts

Independiente Medellin

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–5D–7L
W 7
D 5
L 7
Played19
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets7
Failed to score5
Yellow cards91
Red cards8
xG for (avg)2.04
xG against (avg)0.77
Corners for (avg)6.10
Penalties (scored/missed)4/0

Millonarios

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–5D–7L
W 7
D 5
L 7
Played19
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.10
Clean sheets11
Failed to score5
Yellow cards103
Red cards5
xG for (avg)0.63
xG against (avg)0.32
Corners for (avg)4.40
Penalties (scored/missed)3/1
Independiente MedellinMillonarios
W 7
D 5
L 7
W 7
D 5
L 7
Played
19
19
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
1.10
Clean sheets
7
11
Failed to score
5
5
Yellow cards
91
103
Red cards
8
5
xG for (avg)
2.04
0.63
xG against (avg)
0.77
0.32
Corners for (avg)
6.10
4.40
Penalties (scored/missed)
4/0
3/1

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Independiente Medellin

5
0-15
4
9
16-30
10
12
31-45
6
4
46-60
9
3
61-75
6
7
76-90
13
scored conceded

Millonarios

2
0-15
4
4
16-30
6
9
31-45
8
7
46-60
14
7
61-75
7
7
76-90
11
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: Primera A predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws