Predictions → Colombia Primera A

America de Cali vs Independiente Medellin

America de Cali
1:2
Full Time · 12 Oct 2026
Independiente Medellin

No upcoming fixture scheduled — showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions — pre-match vs actual

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdgeResult
Match Result (1X2) Home 85% 58.8% @1.83 — 55.2% +3.6 pp ❌
Double Chance 1X 77% 79.2% @1.22 — 81.1% -1.9 pp ❌
BTTS Yes 81% 48.5% @1.83 — 51.1% -2.6 pp ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81% 49.8% @2.00 — 48.1% +1.7 pp ✅
Correct Score 2-0 64% 8.1% @8.75 — 5.7% +2.4 pp ❌
Corners O/U 9.5 (~? exp.) Over 9.5 61% 52.6% @2.37 — 40.2% +12.4 pp ❌

⚽ Model expected goals: America de Cali 1.92 – 0.98 Independiente Medellin · expected total 2.90

Predictions made before kick-off, shown against the actual result. Odds are the best price across every bookmaker in our feed — the Bookmaker column says who offers it. Market implied = the bookmaker's probability with margin removed (proportional de-vig across all outcomes — critical on Correct Score, where the book margin is huge; for Double Chance it is derived from the de-vigged 1X2 market instead). Positive edge = the model rates this outcome higher than the market.

📈 Team Trends

America de Cali

Won 2 in a row Unbeaten 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Independiente Medellin

Winless 3
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — Primera A

America de Cali

2nd best attack (1.50 goals/game) Best defence (0.80 conceded/game) Best clean sheets (16)

Independiente Medellin

2nd best attack (1.50 goals/game)

Rank among 20 Primera A teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

America de Cali at home · Independiente Medellin away — the split that matters for this fixture.

America de Cali (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses11W–4D–1L
W 11
D 4
L 1
Played16
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.40
Clean sheets10
Failed to score2

Independiente Medellin (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–4D–5L
W 5
D 4
L 5
Played14
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
America de Cali (home)Independiente Medellin (away)
W 11
D 4
L 1
W 5
D 4
L 5
Played
16
14
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
1.40
Goals conceded (avg)
0.40
1.40
Clean sheets
10
3
Failed to score
2
3

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

America de Cali 4 wins · 3 draws · Independiente Medellin 3 wins · avg 2.6 goals · BTTS in 7 of 10

4
3
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
30 Mar 2026 Independiente Medellin 2–1 America de Cali Primera A
02 Dec 2025 Independiente Medellin 1–1 America de Cali Primera A
27 Nov 2025 America de Cali 2–1 Independiente Medellin Primera A
14 Nov 2025 Independiente Medellin 3–0 America de Cali Primera A
20 Jun 2025 America de Cali 1–1 Independiente Medellin Primera A
01 Jun 2025 Independiente Medellin 1–1 America de Cali Primera A
25 May 2025 America de Cali 2–0 Independiente Medellin Primera A
15 Oct 2024 America de Cali 1–0 Independiente Medellin Primera A
01 Apr 2024 Independiente Medellin 1–4 America de Cali Primera A
07 Dec 2023 Independiente Medellin 2–1 America de Cali Primera A

📈 Recent Form

America de Cali

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
05/10 Llaneros Away 2–1 W
24/09 Águilas Doradas Home 1–0 W
20/09 Deportes Tolima Away 1–1 D
15/09 Deportivo Pasto Home 0–1 L
09/09 Deportivo Pereira Home 4–1 W

Independiente Medellin

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
06/10 Santa Fe Home 0–1 L
30/09 Millonarios Home 2–2 D
27/09 Junior Away 0–2 L
22/09 Jaguares Home 2–1 W
18/09 Bucaramanga Away 2–2 D

📊 Season Comparison — Primera A

America de Cali #4 · 33 pts —  Independiente Medellin #11 · 26 pts

America de Cali

Wins–Draws–Losses10W–3D–6L
W 10
D 3
L 6
Played19
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets16
Failed to score7
Yellow cards101
Red cards9
xG for (avg)0.45
xG against (avg)0.84
Corners for (avg)5.40
Penalties (scored/missed)9/0

Independiente Medellin

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–5D–7L
W 7
D 5
L 7
Played19
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets7
Failed to score5
Yellow cards88
Red cards8
xG for (avg)2.04
xG against (avg)0.77
Corners for (avg)6.10
Penalties (scored/missed)4/0
America de CaliIndependiente Medellin
W 10
D 3
L 6
W 7
D 5
L 7
Played
19
19
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
1.30
Clean sheets
16
7
Failed to score
7
5
Yellow cards
101
88
Red cards
9
8
xG for (avg)
0.45
2.04
xG against (avg)
0.84
0.77
Corners for (avg)
5.40
6.10
Penalties (scored/missed)
9/0
4/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

America de Cali

8
0-15
3
2
16-30
13
5
31-45
7
1
46-60
9
2
61-75
11
9
76-90
7
scored conceded

Independiente Medellin

4
0-15
4
9
16-30
9
11
31-45
6
5
46-60
9
3
61-75
6
7
76-90
12
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

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