Greece
Drew 5 of 10
Greece have drawn 5 of their last 10 matches
UEFA Nations League Draw Football Predictions
Round 5 • 2 Upcoming This Round • Updated 23 minutes ago • UTC+3
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League C, Round 5
Friday, November 13
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Draw | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00 | LWDLD | DLLDL | 30.1% | Draw | Bet3653.10 | -6.7% | — | |
| 22:45 | LLLWW | DWDDW | 30.5% | Draw | 1xBet3.28 | 0% | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — UEFA Nations League for Draws
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
Greece
Drew 5 of 10
Belarus
Drew 4 of 10
Belarus have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches
Kazakhstan
Drew 4 of 10
Kazakhstan have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches
Faroe Islands
Drew 4 of 10
Faroe Islands have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches
Estonia
Drew 4 of 10
Estonia have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches
Iceland
Drew 4 of 10
Iceland have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches
Israel
Drew 4 of 10
Israel have drawn 4 of their last 10 matches
📡
Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
🎯
Match Result (1X2)
55.8%
58/104
⚽
Both Teams to Score
53.8%
56/104
📈
Over / Under 2.5
50.0%
52/104
🔢
Correct Score
7.7%
8/104
🛡️
Double Chance
76.0%
79/104
📐
Corners Over/Under
47.1%
49/104
🤝
Draw Predictions
60.0%
3/5
📌
1X2 · draw picks
60.0%
3/5
📌
1X2 · home/away picks
55.6%
55/99
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Corners Over/Under: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Draw Predictions: 3/5. Excluded: 2 without stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 43.5% | 49.3% | 75 |
| Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% | 74.4% | 81.8% | 11 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% | 64.8% | 61.5% | 13 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · 80+% | 86.4% | 80.0% | 5 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 62.5% | 66.7% | 3 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 51.8% | 54.0% | 100 |
| Both Teams to Score · 70-79% | 73.1% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 62.2% | 66.7% | 6 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 51.5% | 48.5% | 97 |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% | 70.6% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 104 |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 74.3% | 72.9% | 59 |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 82.5% | 93.8% | 16 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 60-69% | 67.6% | 72.4% | 29 (small sample) |
| Corners Over/Under · 60-69% | 64.0% | 80.0% | 10 (small sample) |
| Corners Over/Under · <60% | 54.9% | 43.6% | 94 |
| Draw Predictions · <60% | 32.0% | 66.7% | 3 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
