Predictions → World UEFA Nations League

Kosovo vs Israel

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 17:00 UTC+3 • League B - 5

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available47.4% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available81.7% —
BTTS No Current price not available68.1% · Yes 31.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available74.7% · Over 25.3% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available18.8% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~6.6 exp.) Under 9.5 Current price not available73.9% · Over 26.1% —

🧠 Match Preview

Kosovo · Home

Kosovo's recent record reads two wins, two draws and one loss from five, including a 1-1 home draw with Austria and a 1-0 home win over Rep. Of Ireland. Their latest H2H meeting with Israel finished 0-0 in Israel, while the previous meeting in Kosovo ended 1-0 to the hosts.

Israel · Away

Israel have one win, two draws and two losses from five, with three goals scored and seven conceded, and they failed to score in two of those matches. Their most recent away outing produced a 1-1 draw with Rep. Of Ireland, and their latest H2H against Kosovo ended 0-0.

Kosovo's Home Edge Holds

The three H2H meetings produced 0-0, 1-0 and 1-1, so no meeting has seen more than two total goals, and Kosovo won the only one staged on their own soil. Kosovo's recent record includes three clean sheets in five, while Israel failed to score in two of their last five. The model expected goals of 1.14 for Kosovo against 0.6 for Israel point to a low-scoring contest settled by a single goal. The evidence supports Kosovo win.

Published 31 Oct 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Kosovo 1.14 – 0.60 Israel · expected total 1.74

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Kosovo

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season4
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.29
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.83
Elo strength rating1344

Israel

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.30
Goals conceded (season avg)2.00
Best league winning streak this season1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.73
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.69
Elo strength rating1304
KosovoIsrael
Goals scored (season avg)
0.80
0.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.00
2.00
Best league winning streak this season
4
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.29
0.73
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.83
1.69
Elo strength rating
1344
1304

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Kosovo

Winless 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Israel

Winless 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Kosovo at home · Israel away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Kosovo (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–1D–0L
W 1
D 1
Played2
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Israel (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–1L
L 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)3.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Kosovo (home)Israel (away)
W 1
D 1
L 1
Played
2
1
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.50
3.00
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
18.78%
2–0
11.35%
2–1
6.83%
3–0
4.29%
3–1
2.59%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Israel 0 wins · 2 draws · Kosovo 1 win · avg 1 goals · BTTS in 1 of 3

2
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
01 Oct 2026 Israel 0–0 Kosovo UEFA Nations League
12 Nov 2023 Kosovo 1–0 Israel Euro Championship - Qualification
25 Mar 2023 Israel 1–1 Kosovo Euro Championship - Qualification

📈 Recent Form

Kosovo

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
04/10 Austria Home 1–1 D
01/10 Israel Away 0–0 D
27/09 Austria Away 1–3 L
24/09 Rep. Of Ireland Home 1–0 W
07/06 Andorra Home 3–0 W
31/05 Czechia Away 1–2 L
31/03 Türkiye Home 0–1 L
26/03 Slovakia Away 4–3 W
18/11 Switzerland Home 1–1 D
15/11 Slovenia Away 2–0 W

Israel

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
04/10 Rep. Of Ireland Away 1–1 D
01/10 Kosovo Home 0–0 D
27/09 Rep. Of Ireland Home 0–3 L
24/09 Austria Away 1–3 L
03/06 Albania Away 1–0 W
26/03 Georgia Away 2–2 D
16/11 Moldova Home 4–1 W
13/11 Lithuania Away 0–0 D
14/10 Italy Away 0–3 L
11/10 Norway Away 0–5 L

📊 Season Comparison: UEFA Nations League

Kosovo

Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Yellow cards3
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.29
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.83
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Israel

Played3
Goals scored (avg)0.30
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Yellow cards4
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.73
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.69
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
KosovoIsrael
Played
4
3
Goals scored (avg)
0.80
0.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
2.00
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
1
2
Yellow cards
3
4
Red cards
0
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.29
0.73
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.83
1.69
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Kosovo

0-15
1
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
1
76-90
2
scored conceded

Israel

1
0-15
2
16-30
1
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
2
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🗂️ Prediction History

What PredictLix published before each meeting of these teams: frozen pre-match snapshots, not reconstructions from current data. Head-to-head above shows how the teams played; this block shows what we predicted.

DateFixtureOur pickProbabilityOddsScoreResult
01 Oct 2026 Israel vs Kosovo Kosovo win (away) 33.7% 2.38 0–0 ❌

Our site-wide performance record is calculated from the final pre-match snapshot of each fixture. See Our Record.

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