Moldova vs Kazakhstan
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Fri, 13 Nov 2026 • 20:00 UTC+3 • League C - 5 • ⛅ 4.1°C, 4 km/h partly cloudy
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 47.9% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 74.9% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 55.4% · No 44.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 51.8% · Under 48.2% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.5% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.7 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 64.3% · Under 35.7% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Moldova · Home
Moldova's most recent home match ended in a 0-4 loss to Slovakia, yet they scored twice in the away win over Kazakhstan shown in their recent results. Their model expected goals of 1.63 is the higher of the two forecasts.
Kazakhstan · Away
Kazakhstan have no win in five recent matches, with 2 draws and 3 losses, and their recent xG for of 0.61 is well below Moldova's 1.2. They did score in every one of those five matches, including 2-2 at home to the Faroe Islands.
Moldova edge recent H2H
The latest head-to-head, on 2 Oct 2026, finished 1-2 to Moldova away from home, and Moldova also won 1-2 in the earlier meeting in this list. Kazakhstan's recent record of 0 wins in 5, with 10 goals conceded, sits behind Moldova's model expected goals of 1.63 against Kazakhstan's 1.12. The 2-1 correct score is consistent with both teams scoring, and Kazakhstan have scored in each of their last five. The evidence supports Moldova win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 22:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Moldova 1.63 – 1.12 Kazakhstan · expected total 2.75
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Moldova
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Moldova
Kazakhstan
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: UEFA Nations League
Moldova
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Kazakhstan
Rank among 44 UEFA Nations League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Moldova at home · Kazakhstan away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Moldova (home)
Kazakhstan (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Kazakhstan 2 wins · 0 draws · Moldova 1 win · avg 2.3 goals · BTTS in 2 of 3
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct 2026 | Kazakhstan | 1–2 | Moldova | UEFA Nations League |
| 24 Mar 2022 | Moldova | 1–2 | Kazakhstan | UEFA Nations League |
| 21 Feb 2019 | Kazakhstan | 1–0 | Moldova | Friendlies |
📈 Recent Form
Moldova
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Slovakia | Home | 0–4 | L |
| 02/10 | Kazakhstan | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 29/09 | Faroe Islands | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 26/09 | Slovakia | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 09/06 | Armenia | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 05/06 | Bulgaria | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 30/03 | Cyprus | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 26/03 | Lithuania | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 16/11 | Israel | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 13/11 | Italy | Home | 0–2 | L |
Kazakhstan
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Faroe Islands | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 02/10 | Moldova | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 29/09 | Slovakia | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 26/09 | Faroe Islands | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 09/06 | Hungary | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 06/06 | Armenia | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 31/03 | Comoros | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 25/03 | Namibia | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 18/11 | Faroe Islands | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 15/11 | Belgium | Home | 1–1 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: UEFA Nations League
Moldova
Kazakhstan
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Moldova
Kazakhstan
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🗂️ Prediction History
What PredictLix published before each meeting of these teams: frozen pre-match snapshots, not reconstructions from current data. Head-to-head above shows how the teams played; this block shows what we predicted.
| Date | Fixture | Our pick | Probability | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct 2026 | Kazakhstan vs Moldova | Kazakhstan win (home) | 55.6% | 1.93 | 1–2 | ❌ |
Our site-wide performance record is calculated from the final pre-match snapshot of each fixture. See Our Record.
More: UEFA Nations League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws