UEFA Nations League Double Chance Football Predictions

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League A, Round 5

Thursday, November 12

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Double Chance Odds Model EV Result
20:00 LLLLW LWLWL 74.4% 12 Marathonbet1.27 -5.5% —
22:45 WWWLW LLLWL 90.7% 1X Bet3651.08 -2% —
22:45 WDWLW WDWWL 76.8% 12 William Hill1.29 -0.9% —
22:45 LLLLL WWWWW 90% X2 Betano1.04 -6.4% —

Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.

Friday, November 13

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Double Chance Odds Model EV Result
22:45 LLLLL DWLDL 85.4% X2 Betano1.10 -6.1% —
22:45 WDWDW DDWWL 83.9% 1X Betano1.14 -4.4% —

Saturday, November 14

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Double Chance Odds Model EV Result
20:00 LLLWW LWLLL 85.7% 1X Bet3651.07 -8.3% —

League B, Round 5

Friday, November 13

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Double Chance Odds Model EV Result
22:45 WLWDL WWWWW 80.8% X2 Betano1.17 -5.5% —
22:45 LWLDL LLLLL 92.1% 1X Betano1.05 -3.3% —

Saturday, November 14

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Double Chance Odds Model EV Result
17:00 DDLWW DDLLW 78.7% 1X Betano1.28 +0.7% —

League C, Round 5

Thursday, November 12

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Double Chance Odds Model EV Result
20:00 DLLWD WWDLW 74.1% 12 William Hill1.33 -1.4% —
22:45 WLWWL LWDWL 74.2% 1X Betano1.27 -5.8% —
22:45 DWWWD LLDLL 89.5% 1X Betano1.09 -2.4% —
22:45 LLLLL WWDLD 89.5% X2 Betano1.03 -7.8% —

Friday, November 13

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Double Chance Odds Model EV Result
20:00 LWDLD DLLDL 69.9% 1X Betano1.45 +1.4% —
22:45 WDWWD DDDDW 86.5% 1X Betano1.09 -5.7% —
22:45 LLLWW DWDDW 68.4% 1X Betano1.32 -9.7% —
22:45 WLDLD DWWDL 75.6% X2 Marathonbet1.24 -6.3% —

League D, Round 5

Friday, November 13

Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Double Chance Odds Model EV Result
22:45 LWLLL WLLLL 88.4% X2 Betano1.06 -6.3% —
22:45 LDLLW LLLLL 82.3% 1X Betano1.17 -3.7% —

How to Read the Prediction Table

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Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

104 matches analysed Updated Oct 6, 2026 Full record — wins and losses → Value bets →
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
55.8% 58/104
⚽ Both Teams to Score
53.8% 56/104
📈 Over / Under 2.5
50.0% 52/104
🔢 Correct Score
7.7% 8/104
🛡️ Double Chance
76.0% 79/104
📐 Corners Over/Under
47.1% 49/104
🤝 Draw Predictions
60.0% 3/5
📌 1X2 · draw picks
60.0% 3/5
📌 1X2 · home/away picks
55.6% 55/99
Calibration coverage
  • Match Result (1X2): 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Both Teams to Score: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Over / Under 2.5: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Correct Score: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Double Chance: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Corners Over/Under: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
  • Draw Predictions: 3/5. Excluded: 2 without stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) · <60% 43.5% 49.3% 75
Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% 74.4% 81.8% 11 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% 64.8% 61.5% 13 (small sample)
Match Result (1X2) · 80+% 86.4% 80.0% 5 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · 60-69% 62.5% 66.7% 3 (small sample)
Both Teams to Score · <60% 51.8% 54.0% 100
Both Teams to Score · 70-79% 73.1% 0.0% 1 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% 62.2% 66.7% 6 (small sample)
Over / Under 2.5 · <60% 51.5% 48.5% 97
Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% 70.6% 100.0% 1 (small sample)
Correct Score · <60% 9.5% 7.7% 104
Double Chance · 70-79% 74.3% 72.9% 59
Double Chance · 80+% 82.5% 93.8% 16 (small sample)
Double Chance · 60-69% 67.6% 72.4% 29 (small sample)
Corners Over/Under · 60-69% 64.0% 80.0% 10 (small sample)
Corners Over/Under · <60% 54.9% 43.6% 94
Draw Predictions · <60% 32.0% 66.7% 3 (small sample)

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: League A, Round 4

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Double Chance Odds Model EV Result
14/10 21:45 LWLWL WDWWL — No data N/A — 1 – 2 FT
14/10 21:45 DWLDL WDWDW — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
14/10 21:45 WDWLW DDLLW — No data N/A — 4 – 1 FT
14/10 21:45 ----- ----- — No data N/A — 0 – 2 FT
15/10 21:45 WWWWW LLLLL — No data N/A — 3 – 0 FT
15/10 21:45 WWWWW W — No data N/A — 2 – 2 FT
15/10 21:45 ----- LLLWL — No data N/A — 3 – 3 FT
15/10 21:45 LWLDL W — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
04/10 21:45 DDWWL DWLDL 69.5% 12 ❌ @1.28 -11% 0 – 0 FT
04/10 21:45 WDWDW LLLLL 84.6% 1X ✅ @1.04 -12% 2 – 1 FT
04/10 21:45 W LLLWW 81.8% 1X ✅ @1.22 -0.2% 2 – 1 FT
04/10 21:45 LWLLL W 69.5% 12 ✅ @1.30 -9.7% 0 – 1 FT
05/10 21:45 WDWWL LWLWL 78.3% 1X ✅ @1.18 -7.6% 4 – 1 FT
05/10 21:45 WDWLW LLLLW 84.2% 1X ✅ @1.15 -3.2% 3 – 1 FT
06/10 21:45 LLLWL WWWWW 74.6% 12 ✅ N/A — 1 – 2 FT
06/10 21:45 WWWLW LLLLL 79.9% 1X ✅ N/A — 3 – 0 FT

Previous Round Results: League B, Round 4

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Double Chance Odds Model EV Result
13/10 16:00 DLLDL WLWDL — No data N/A — 0 – 1 FT
13/10 19:00 LWDWL WWWLW — No data N/A — 1 – 3 FT
13/10 21:45 DDWWL LLLWW — No data N/A — 5 – 1 FT
13/10 21:45 DDWWL DDWLD — No data N/A — 2 – 0 FT
14/10 19:00 ----- WLWWL — No data N/A — 0 – 1 FT
14/10 21:45 DWWDL LLLLW — No data N/A — 2 – 4 FT
14/10 21:45 LWLLL DWWWD — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
14/10 21:45 ----- LLLLL — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
04/10 19:00 DDLWW DDWWL 72.5% 12 ❌ @1.31 -5% 1 – 1 FT
04/10 21:45 DDWLD DDLLW 77.3% 1X ✅ @1.36 +5.1% 1 – 1 FT
05/10 21:45 LDWLW WDLWW 68.6% 1X ❌ @1.42 -2.6% 1 – 2 FT
05/10 21:45 WDWLW LDLWD 78.7% 1X ✅ @1.42 +11.8% 0 – 0 FT
05/10 21:45 DWDLW WLDDL 70.4% 12 ✅ @1.33 -6.4% 1 – 0 FT
05/10 21:45 LLLWD DWWLD 67.3% 12 ✅ @1.28 -13.9% 0 – 1 FT
06/10 21:45 WWWWW LLLLL 77.3% 1X ✅ N/A — 3 – 0 FT
06/10 21:45 LWLDL WLWDL 70.6% 1X ❌ N/A — 1 – 2 FT

Previous Round Results: League C, Round 4

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Double Chance Odds Model EV Result
13/10 19:00 DLLWD LLLLL — No data N/A — 0 – 2 FT
13/10 21:45 DDDDW LLDLL — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
14/10 19:00 WLLLL WDWWD — No data N/A — 1 – 3 FT
14/10 21:45 DWDDW ----- — No data N/A — 0 – 3 FT
15/10 21:45 ----- WLDLD — No data N/A — 5 – 0 FT
15/10 21:45 WDWLL ----- — No data N/A — 1 – 2 FT
15/10 21:45 WWDLD LLLWW — No data N/A — 1 – 1 FT
15/10 21:45 DDLWW WWDLW — No data N/A — 3 – 0 FT
05/10 19:00 WWDLW LLDLL 77.7% 1X ✅ @1.21 -6% 2 – 1 FT
05/10 21:45 DWWWD DLLWD 80.8% 1X ✅ @1.16 -6.3% 0 – 0 FT
06/10 17:00 DLLDL DDDDW 65.5% 1X ✅ @1.44 -5.7% 2 – 2 FT
06/10 21:45 WLWWL LLLLL 85% 1X ✅ N/A — 2 – 1 FT
06/10 21:45 WWDLD LWDWL 73.5% X2 ❌ N/A — 1 – 0 FT
06/10 21:45 LWDLD WDWWD 71.4% X2 ✅ N/A — 0 – 4 FT
06/10 21:45 DWDDW DWWDL 71.3% 1X ✅ N/A — 0 – 0 FT
06/10 21:45 LLLWW WLDLD 74.2% 1X ❌ N/A — 0 – 2 FT

Previous Round Results: League D, Round 4

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Probability Double Chance Odds Model EV Result
13/10 19:00 LWLLL LLLLL — No data N/A — 0 – 0 FT
13/10 19:00 LLLWL LWDLD — No data N/A — 1 – 0 FT
04/10 16:00 WLLLL WDWLL 62.9% 12 ✅ @1.37 -13.8% 1 – 0 FT
04/10 19:00 LLLWL LDLLW 80.7% 1X ✅ @1.17 -5.6% 1 – 0 FT