Spain have won their last 10 matches in a row
UEFA Nations League Double Chance Football Predictions
Upcoming Matches • Next 20 Days • 20 Matches • Updated 23 minutes ago • UTC+3
League A, Round 5
Thursday, November 12
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Double Chance | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00 | LLLLW | LWLWL | 74.4% | 12 | Marathonbet1.27 | -5.5% | — | |
| 22:45 | WWWLW | LLLWL | 90.7% | 1X | Bet3651.08 | -2% | — | |
| 22:45 | WDWLW | WDWWL | 76.8% | 12 | William Hill1.29 | -0.9% | — | |
| 22:45 | LLLLL | WWWWW | 90% | X2 | Betano1.04 | -6.4% | — |
Form: last 5 matches in all competitions, newest first.
Friday, November 13
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Double Chance | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:45 | LLLLL | DWLDL | 85.4% | X2 | Betano1.10 | -6.1% | — | |
| 22:45 | WDWDW | DDWWL | 83.9% | 1X | Betano1.14 | -4.4% | — |
Saturday, November 14
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Double Chance | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00 | LLLWW | LWLLL | 85.7% | 1X | Bet3651.07 | -8.3% | — |
League B, Round 5
Friday, November 13
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Double Chance | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:45 | WLWDL | WWWWW | 80.8% | X2 | Betano1.17 | -5.5% | — | |
| 22:45 | LWLDL | LLLLL | 92.1% | 1X | Betano1.05 | -3.3% | — |
Saturday, November 14
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Double Chance | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:00 | DDLWW | DDLLW | 78.7% | 1X | Betano1.28 | +0.7% | — |
League C, Round 5
Thursday, November 12
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Double Chance | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00 | DLLWD | WWDLW | 74.1% | 12 | William Hill1.33 | -1.4% | — | |
| 22:45 | WLWWL | LWDWL | 74.2% | 1X | Betano1.27 | -5.8% | — | |
| 22:45 | DWWWD | LLDLL | 89.5% | 1X | Betano1.09 | -2.4% | — | |
| 22:45 | LLLLL | WWDLD | 89.5% | X2 | Betano1.03 | -7.8% | — |
Friday, November 13
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Double Chance | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00 | LWDLD | DLLDL | 69.9% | 1X | Betano1.45 | +1.4% | — | |
| 22:45 | WDWWD | DDDDW | 86.5% | 1X | Betano1.09 | -5.7% | — | |
| 22:45 | LLLWW | DWDDW | 68.4% | 1X | Betano1.32 | -9.7% | — | |
| 22:45 | WLDLD | DWWDL | 75.6% | X2 | Marathonbet1.24 | -6.3% | — |
League D, Round 5
Friday, November 13
| Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Double Chance | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22:45 | LWLLL | WLLLL | 88.4% | X2 | Betano1.06 | -6.3% | — | |
| 22:45 | LDLLW | LLLLL | 82.3% | 1X | Betano1.17 | -3.7% | — |
How to Read the Prediction Table
Recent Team Trends — UEFA Nations League for Double Chance
Historical team trends, not probabilities for the next match. Cards are picked by transparent rules: the upcoming match, confirmed results, a declared sample size (e.g. last 10 matches, all competitions) and the most distinctive fact versus the league baseline.
San Marino have failed to win in their last 10 matches
Switzerland are unbeaten in their last 10 matches
FYR Macedonia have failed to win in their last 10 matches
Gibraltar have failed to win in their last 10 matches
In their 10 most recent matches, Armenia have achieved just 1 win
In their 10 most recent matches, Moldova have achieved just 1 win
In their 10 most recent matches, Liechtenstein have achieved just 1 win
Model Accuracy — Season 2026/27
Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types — wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.
Calibration coverage
- Match Result (1X2): 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Both Teams to Score: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Over / Under 2.5: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Correct Score: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Double Chance: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Corners Over/Under: 104/104. All settled predictions have a stored probability.
- Draw Predictions: 3/5. Excluded: 2 without stored probability.
Probability Calibration — Does 70% Really Mean 70%?
Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.
| Market | Predicted | Actual | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) · <60% | 43.5% | 49.3% | 75 |
| Match Result (1X2) · 70-79% | 74.4% | 81.8% | 11 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · 60-69% | 64.8% | 61.5% | 13 (small sample) |
| Match Result (1X2) · 80+% | 86.4% | 80.0% | 5 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · 60-69% | 62.5% | 66.7% | 3 (small sample) |
| Both Teams to Score · <60% | 51.8% | 54.0% | 100 |
| Both Teams to Score · 70-79% | 73.1% | 0.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 60-69% | 62.2% | 66.7% | 6 (small sample) |
| Over / Under 2.5 · <60% | 51.5% | 48.5% | 97 |
| Over / Under 2.5 · 70-79% | 70.6% | 100.0% | 1 (small sample) |
| Correct Score · <60% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 104 |
| Double Chance · 70-79% | 74.3% | 72.9% | 59 |
| Double Chance · 80+% | 82.5% | 93.8% | 16 (small sample) |
| Double Chance · 60-69% | 67.6% | 72.4% | 29 (small sample) |
| Corners Over/Under · 60-69% | 64.0% | 80.0% | 10 (small sample) |
| Corners Over/Under · <60% | 54.9% | 43.6% | 94 |
| Draw Predictions · <60% | 32.0% | 66.7% | 3 (small sample) |
Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.
Previous Round Results: League A, Round 4
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Double Chance | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 21:45 | LWLWL | WDWWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 2 FT | |
| 14/10 21:45 | DWLDL | WDWDW | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 0 FT | |
| 14/10 21:45 | WDWLW | DDLLW | — | No data | N/A | — | 4 – 1 FT | |
| 14/10 21:45 | ----- | ----- | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 2 FT | |
| 15/10 21:45 | WWWWW | LLLLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 3 – 0 FT | |
| 15/10 21:45 | WWWWW | W | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 2 FT | |
| 15/10 21:45 | ----- | LLLWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 3 – 3 FT | |
| 15/10 21:45 | LWLDL | W | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 0 FT | |
| 04/10 21:45 | DDWWL | DWLDL | 69.5% | 12 ❌ | @1.28 | -11% | 0 – 0 FT | |
| 04/10 21:45 | WDWDW | LLLLL | 84.6% | 1X ✅ | @1.04 | -12% | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 04/10 21:45 | W | LLLWW | 81.8% | 1X ✅ | @1.22 | -0.2% | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 04/10 21:45 | LWLLL | W | 69.5% | 12 ✅ | @1.30 | -9.7% | 0 – 1 FT | |
| 05/10 21:45 | WDWWL | LWLWL | 78.3% | 1X ✅ | @1.18 | -7.6% | 4 – 1 FT | |
| 05/10 21:45 | WDWLW | LLLLW | 84.2% | 1X ✅ | @1.15 | -3.2% | 3 – 1 FT | |
| 06/10 21:45 | LLLWL | WWWWW | 74.6% | 12 ✅ | N/A | — | 1 – 2 FT | |
| 06/10 21:45 | WWWLW | LLLLL | 79.9% | 1X ✅ | N/A | — | 3 – 0 FT |
Previous Round Results: League B, Round 4
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Double Chance | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 16:00 | DLLDL | WLWDL | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 1 FT | |
| 13/10 19:00 | LWDWL | WWWLW | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 3 FT | |
| 13/10 21:45 | DDWWL | LLLWW | — | No data | N/A | — | 5 – 1 FT | |
| 13/10 21:45 | DDWWL | DDWLD | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 0 FT | |
| 14/10 19:00 | ----- | WLWWL | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 1 FT | |
| 14/10 21:45 | DWWDL | LLLLW | — | No data | N/A | — | 2 – 4 FT | |
| 14/10 21:45 | LWLLL | DWWWD | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 0 FT | |
| 14/10 21:45 | ----- | LLLLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 04/10 19:00 | DDLWW | DDWWL | 72.5% | 12 ❌ | @1.31 | -5% | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 04/10 21:45 | DDWLD | DDLLW | 77.3% | 1X ✅ | @1.36 | +5.1% | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 05/10 21:45 | LDWLW | WDLWW | 68.6% | 1X ❌ | @1.42 | -2.6% | 1 – 2 FT | |
| 05/10 21:45 | WDWLW | LDLWD | 78.7% | 1X ✅ | @1.42 | +11.8% | 0 – 0 FT | |
| 05/10 21:45 | DWDLW | WLDDL | 70.4% | 12 ✅ | @1.33 | -6.4% | 1 – 0 FT | |
| 05/10 21:45 | LLLWD | DWWLD | 67.3% | 12 ✅ | @1.28 | -13.9% | 0 – 1 FT | |
| 06/10 21:45 | WWWWW | LLLLL | 77.3% | 1X ✅ | N/A | — | 3 – 0 FT | |
| 06/10 21:45 | LWLDL | WLWDL | 70.6% | 1X ❌ | N/A | — | 1 – 2 FT |
Previous Round Results: League C, Round 4
| Date / Time | Home Form | Match | Away Form | Probability | Double Chance | Odds | Model EV | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 19:00 | DLLWD | LLLLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 2 FT | |
| 13/10 21:45 | DDDDW | LLDLL | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 14/10 19:00 | WLLLL | WDWWD | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 3 FT | |
| 14/10 21:45 | DWDDW | ----- | — | No data | N/A | — | 0 – 3 FT | |
| 15/10 21:45 | ----- | WLDLD | — | No data | N/A | — | 5 – 0 FT | |
| 15/10 21:45 | WDWLL | ----- | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 2 FT | |
| 15/10 21:45 | WWDLD | LLLWW | — | No data | N/A | — | 1 – 1 FT | |
| 15/10 21:45 | DDLWW | WWDLW | — | No data | N/A | — | 3 – 0 FT | |
| 05/10 19:00 | WWDLW | LLDLL | 77.7% | 1X ✅ | @1.21 | -6% | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 05/10 21:45 | DWWWD | DLLWD | 80.8% | 1X ✅ | @1.16 | -6.3% | 0 – 0 FT | |
| 06/10 17:00 | DLLDL | DDDDW | 65.5% | 1X ✅ | @1.44 | -5.7% | 2 – 2 FT | |
| 06/10 21:45 | WLWWL | LLLLL | 85% | 1X ✅ | N/A | — | 2 – 1 FT | |
| 06/10 21:45 | WWDLD | LWDWL | 73.5% | X2 ❌ | N/A | — | 1 – 0 FT | |
| 06/10 21:45 | LWDLD | WDWWD | 71.4% | X2 ✅ | N/A | — | 0 – 4 FT | |
| 06/10 21:45 | DWDDW | DWWDL | 71.3% | 1X ✅ | N/A | — | 0 – 0 FT | |
| 06/10 21:45 | LLLWW | WLDLD | 74.2% | 1X ❌ | N/A | — | 0 – 2 FT |