Montenegro vs Latvia
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Thu, 12 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • League C - 5 • ☀️ 16.5°C, 7 km/h clear
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 62.7% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 86% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 51.6% · Yes 48.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 48.5% · Over 51.5% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-0 | Current price not available | 12.1% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.4 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 58.9% · Over 41.1% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Montenegro · Home
Montenegro are unbeaten across their last five matches, with 3 wins and 2 draws, scoring 9 goals. Their most recent outing was a 0-0 draw at home to Armenia, one of only two occasions in that run when they failed to score.
Latvia · Away
Latvia have lost 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring just 2 goals and failing to score in 3 of them. Their latest result was a 1-2 defeat away to Cyprus.
Montenegro's edge in the H2H
The latest head-to-head, on 2 Oct 2026, ended 1-2 in Latvia's favour, but Montenegro had won the previous meeting 2-1 in March 2021. Montenegro's recent record of 3 wins and 2 draws contrasts with Latvia's 1 draw and 4 defeats, and Latvia failed to score in 3 of their last 5. Montenegro's recent xG for of 1.7 against Latvia's 0.7 points to a home advantage, and the model expected goals of 1.93 versus 0.81 support that. The evidence supports Montenegro win.
Published 31 Oct 2026 10:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Montenegro 1.93 – 0.81 Latvia · expected total 2.74
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Montenegro
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Montenegro
Latvia
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Montenegro at home · Latvia away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Montenegro (home)
Latvia (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Latvia 0 wins · 2 draws · Montenegro 2 wins · avg 2 goals · BTTS in 3 of 4
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct 2026 | Latvia | 1–2 | Montenegro | UEFA Nations League |
| 07 Sep 2021 | Montenegro | 0–0 | Latvia | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| 24 Mar 2021 | Latvia | 1–2 | Montenegro | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| 07 Oct 2020 | Montenegro | 1–1 | Latvia | Friendlies |
📈 Recent Form
Montenegro
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Armenia | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 02/10 | Latvia | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 28/09 | Armenia | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 25/09 | Cyprus | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 05/06 | Slovakia | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 01/06 | Bulgaria | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 31/03 | Slovenia | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 27/03 | Andorra | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 17/11 | Croatia | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 14/11 | Gibraltar | Away | 2–1 | W |
Latvia
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Cyprus | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 02/10 | Montenegro | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 28/09 | Cyprus | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 25/09 | Armenia | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 09/06 | Faroe Islands | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 31/03 | Gibraltar | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 26/03 | Gibraltar | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 16/11 | Serbia | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 13/11 | FYR Macedonia | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 14/10 | England | Home | 0–5 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: UEFA Nations League
Montenegro
Latvia
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Montenegro
Latvia
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🗂️ Prediction History
What PredictLix published before each meeting of these teams: frozen pre-match snapshots, not reconstructions from current data. Head-to-head above shows how the teams played; this block shows what we predicted.
| Date | Fixture | Our pick | Probability | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct 2026 | Latvia vs Montenegro | Montenegro win (away) | 33.5% | — | 1–2 | ✅ |
Our site-wide performance record is calculated from the final pre-match snapshot of each fixture. See Our Record.
More: UEFA Nations League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws