Predictions → World UEFA Nations League

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania

Final result and the pre-match prediction on record. This page updates when the next fixture is scheduled.

Azerbaijan
1:0
Full Time · 04 Oct 2026
Lithuania

No upcoming fixture scheduled. Showing the last meeting result and the pre-match predictions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions: pre-match vs actual

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EVResult
Match Result (1X2) Home @2.3534.2% -19.6% ✅
Double Chance 12 @1.3762.9% -13.8% ✅
BTTS No @1.7352.7% · Yes 47.3% -8.8% ✅
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 @1.5056% · Over 44% -16% ✅
Correct Score 1-0 @6.1010% -39% ✅
Corners O/U 9.5 Under 9.5 @1.4455.7% · Over 44.3% -19.8% —

⚽ Model expected goals: Azerbaijan 0.89 – 0.98 Lithuania · expected total 1.87

Latest available team statistics: these blocks are refreshed independently of the frozen pre-match prediction and may include this match. They are shown for context, not as inputs to that prediction.

📈 Team Trends

Azerbaijan

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Lithuania

Unbeaten 3
BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Azerbaijan at home · Lithuania away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Azerbaijan (home)

Played0
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Lithuania (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–0L
W 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Azerbaijan (home)Lithuania (away)
W 1
Played
0
1
Goals scored (avg)
0.00
2.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.00
0.00
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

📈 Recent Form

Azerbaijan

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27/03 — Home 6–1 W
16/11 — Home 1–3 L
13/11 — Home 0–2 L
13/10 — Away 1–2 L
10/10 — Away 0–3 L
09/09 — Home 1–1 D
05/09 — Away 0–5 L
10/06 — Home 1–2 L
07/06 — Away 0–0 D
25/03 — Home 0–2 L

Lithuania

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30/09 Andorra Home 3–0 W
27/09 Azerbaijan Home 1–1 D
24/09 Liechtenstein Away 2–0 W
09/06 Estonia Away 0–1 L
29/03 Georgia Home 0–2 L
26/03 Moldova Away 2–0 W
17/11 Netherlands Away 0–4 L
13/11 Israel Home 0–0 D
12/10 Poland Home 0–2 L
09/10 Finland Away 1–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: UEFA Nations League

Azerbaijan

Played1
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards3
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.39
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.29
Corners for (avg)—
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Lithuania

Played2
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Yellow cards2
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.31
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.50
Corners for (avg)3.60
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
AzerbaijanLithuania
Played
1
2
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
0.50
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
0
0
Yellow cards
3
2
Red cards
0
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.39
1.31
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.29
0.50
Corners for (avg)
—
3.60
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Azerbaijan

1
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Lithuania

1
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
46-60
1
61-75
1
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🗂️ Prediction History

What PredictLix published before each meeting of these teams: frozen pre-match snapshots, not reconstructions from current data. Head-to-head above shows how the teams played; this block shows what we predicted.

DateFixtureOur pickProbabilityOddsScoreResult
27 Sep 2026 Lithuania vs Azerbaijan Draw 41.4% 3.08 1–1 ✅

Our site-wide performance record is calculated from the final pre-match snapshot of each fixture. See Our Record.

More: UEFA Nations League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws