Predictions → World UEFA Nations League

Slovakia vs Faroe Islands

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Fri, 13 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • League C - 5 • ⛅ 4°C, 3 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available51.3% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available76.9% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available57.3% · No 42.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Current price not available55.4% · Under 44.6% —
Correct Score 2-1 Current price not available9.8% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.7 exp.) Over 9.5 Current price not available58.2% · Under 41.8% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Slovakia 51.3% · Draw 25.6% · Faroe Islands 23.1%. Selected outcome: Slovakia win.

Goals

Model expected goals: Slovakia 1.78, Faroe Islands 1.13, expected total 2.91.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Slovakia: W-D-W-W-D in their last five matches.
Faroe Islands: D-D-D-D-W in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Slovakia

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)2.30
Goals conceded (season avg)0.50
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.45
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.84
Elo strength rating1417

Faroe Islands

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.15
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.92
Elo strength rating1349
SlovakiaFaroe Islands
Goals scored (season avg)
2.30
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.50
1.30
Best league winning streak this season
2
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.45
1.15
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.84
0.92
Elo strength rating
1417
1349

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Slovakia

Unbeaten 7
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
6/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Faroe Islands

Unbeaten 5 Winless 4
BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
1/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Slovakia at home · Faroe Islands away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Slovakia (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–0L
W 2
Played2
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Faroe Islands (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–2D–0L
D 2
Played2
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Slovakia (home)Faroe Islands (away)
W 2
D 2
Played
2
2
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
0.50
1.50
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

2–1
9.77%
2–0
8.65%
1–0
8.64%
3–1
5.79%
3–0
5.12%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Slovakia

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
06/10 Moldova Away 4–0 W
02/10 Faroe Islands Away 1–1 D
29/09 Kazakhstan Home 2–1 W
26/09 Moldova Home 2–0 W
05/06 Montenegro Home 2–2 D
01/06 Malta Home 2–1 W
31/03 Romania Home 2–0 W
26/03 Kosovo Home 3–4 L
17/11 Germany Away 0–6 L
14/11 Northern Ireland Home 1–0 W

Faroe Islands

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
06/10 Kazakhstan Away 2–2 D
02/10 Slovakia Home 1–1 D
29/09 Moldova Away 1–1 D
26/09 Kazakhstan Home 1–1 D
09/06 Latvia Away 1–0 W
06/06 Estonia Away 0–1 L
28/03 San Marino Away 2–1 W
18/11 Kazakhstan Home 1–0 W
14/11 Croatia Away 1–3 L
12/10 Czechia Home 2–1 W

📊 Season Comparison: UEFA Nations League

Slovakia

Played4
Goals scored (avg)2.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets2
Failed to score0
Yellow cards4
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.45
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.84
Corners for (avg)6.70
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Faroe Islands

Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards6
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.15
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.92
Corners for (avg)4.90
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
SlovakiaFaroe Islands
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
2.30
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
0.50
1.30
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
0
0
Yellow cards
4
6
Red cards
0
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.45
1.15
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.84
0.92
Corners for (avg)
6.70
4.90
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Slovakia

0-15
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
76-90
1
scored conceded

Faroe Islands

0-15
1
1
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
2
61-75
2
1
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🗂️ Prediction History

What PredictLix published before each meeting of these teams: frozen pre-match snapshots, not reconstructions from current data. Head-to-head above shows how the teams played; this block shows what we predicted.

DateFixtureOur pickProbabilityOddsScoreResult
02 Oct 2026 Faroe Islands vs Slovakia Slovakia win (away) 56.5% 1.57 1–1 ❌

Our site-wide performance record is calculated from the final pre-match snapshot of each fixture. See Our Record.

More: UEFA Nations League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws