Predictions → World UEFA Nations League

Andorra vs Gibraltar

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Fri, 13 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • League D - 5 • ☀️ 9°C, 1 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available42.3% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available77.7% —
BTTS No Current price not available77.3% · Yes 22.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available86.3% · Over 13.7% —
Correct Score 0-0 Current price not available29% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.3 exp.) Under 9.5 Current price not available59.4% · Over 40.6% —

🧠 Match Preview

Andorra · Home

Andorra's recent record is 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses from 5, with 3 goals scored and 8 conceded. Their most recent meeting with Gibraltar, on 27 Sep 2026, finished 0-0.

Gibraltar · Away

Gibraltar lost all 5 recent matches, scored 1 goal and conceded 13, failing to score in 4 of them. Their recent weighted xG for is 0.09, against a model expected goals figure of 0.53 for this fixture.

Low-scoring H2H points to draw

The latest head-to-head finished 0-0, and the two before it were settled by a single goal, so this pairing has produced very little. Gibraltar's recent record shows 1 goal in 5 matches and 4 failures to score, while Andorra scored 3 in 5. With the model expected goals at 0.74 for Andorra and 0.53 for Gibraltar, a tight, low-scoring contest is realistic. The evidence supports Draw.

Published 31 Oct 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Andorra 0.74 – 0.53 Gibraltar · expected total 1.28

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Andorra

Form (last 5)
LDLLW
Goals scored (season avg)0.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.76
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.70
Elo strength rating1323

Gibraltar

Form (last 5)
LLLLL
Goals scored (season avg)0.00
Goals conceded (season avg)0.00
Best league winning streak this season1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.09
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)3.47
Elo strength rating1350
AndorraGibraltar
LDLLW
LLLLL
Goals scored (season avg)
0.50
0.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.00
0.00
Best league winning streak this season
0
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.76
0.09
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.70
3.47
Elo strength rating
1323
1350

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Andorra

Winless 4
BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
2/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Gibraltar

Lost 10 in a row Winless 10
BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
1/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Andorra at home · Gibraltar away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Andorra (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–1L
L 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

Gibraltar (away)

Played0
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Andorra (home)Gibraltar (away)
L 1
Played
1
0
Goals scored (avg)
1.00
0.00
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
0.00
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

0–0
29.05%
1–1
12.15%
2–2
1.09%
3–3
<0.1%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Andorra 0 wins · 2 draws · Gibraltar 2 wins · avg 0.5 goals · BTTS in 0 of 4

2
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
27 Sep 2026 Gibraltar 0–0 Andorra UEFA Nations League
04 Sep 2024 Gibraltar 1–0 Andorra Friendlies
19 Nov 2022 Gibraltar 1–0 Andorra Friendlies
07 Jun 2021 andorra 0–0 Gibraltar Friendlies

📈 Recent Form

Andorra

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
30/09 Lithuania Away 0–3 L
27/09 Gibraltar Away 0–0 D
24/09 Malta Home 1–2 L
07/06 Kosovo Away 0–3 L
04/06 Liechtenstein Home 2–0 W
29/05 Iraq Away 0–1 L
31/03 San Marino Away 0–0 D
27/03 Montenegro Away 0–2 L
17/11 Finland Away 0–4 L
13/11 Albania Home 0–1 L

Gibraltar

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
31/03 — Away 0–1 L
26/03 — Home 0–1 L
17/11 — Away 0–6 L
14/11 — Home 1–2 L
12/10 — Away 0–3 L
08/10 — Home 0–2 L
08/09 — Home 0–1 L
04/09 — Home 0–1 L
09/06 — Away 1–2 L
06/06 — Home 0–7 L

📊 Season Comparison: UEFA Nations League

Andorra

Played2
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Yellow cards8
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.76
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.70
Corners for (avg)4.20
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Gibraltar

Played1
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Yellow cards2
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.09
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)3.47
Corners for (avg)—
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
AndorraGibraltar
Played
2
1
Goals scored (avg)
0.50
0.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
0.00
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
1
1
Yellow cards
8
2
Red cards
0
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.76
0.09
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.70
3.47
Corners for (avg)
4.20
—
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Andorra

0-15
16-30
1
1
31-45
46-60
61-75
1
76-90
scored conceded

Gibraltar

0-15
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🗂️ Prediction History

What PredictLix published before each meeting of these teams: frozen pre-match snapshots, not reconstructions from current data. Head-to-head above shows how the teams played; this block shows what we predicted.

DateFixtureOur pickProbabilityOddsScoreResult
27 Sep 2026 Gibraltar vs Andorra Draw 32.1% 2.74 0–0 ✅

Our site-wide performance record is calculated from the final pre-match snapshot of each fixture. See Our Record.

More: UEFA Nations League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws