Predictions → World UEFA Nations League

Türkiye vs Belgium

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Thu, 12 Nov 2026 • 20:00 UTC+3 • League A - 5 • ☀️ 19.3°C, 17 km/h clear

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available30.3% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available66% —
BTTS Yes Current price not available50.1% · No 49.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available57% · Over 43% —
Correct Score 1-1 Current price not available14.4% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~9.1 exp.) Under 9.5 Current price not available53.4% · Over 46.6% —

🧠 Match Preview

Model view

Model 1X2 split: Türkiye 35.7% · Draw 30.3% · Belgium 34.0%. Selected outcome: Draw.

Goals

Model expected goals: Türkiye 1.22, Belgium 1.18, expected total 2.40.

Price check

No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.

Form / H2H

Türkiye: L-L-L-L-W in their last five matches.
Belgium: L-W-L-W-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.

Limitations

Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Türkiye

Form (last 5)
LLLLW
Goals scored (season avg)0.50
Goals conceded (season avg)2.80
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.61
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.75
Elo strength rating1265

Belgium

Form (last 5)
LWLWL
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.26
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.77
Elo strength rating1353
TürkiyeBelgium
Goals scored (season avg)
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.80
1.30
Best league winning streak this season
3
2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.61
1.26
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.75
1.77
Elo strength rating
1265
1353

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Türkiye

Lost 4 in a row Winless 4
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Belgium

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
5/6
No goals conceded
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Türkiye at home · Belgium away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Türkiye (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–2L
L 2
Played2
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1

Belgium (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–0D–1L
W 1
L 1
Played2
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Türkiye (home)Belgium (away)
L 2
W 1
L 1
Played
2
2
Goals scored (avg)
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
2.50
2.00
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–1
14.38%
0–0
10.39%
2–2
4.7%
3–3
0.75%
4–4
<0.1%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

📈 Recent Form

Türkiye

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
05/10 Italy Away 1–3 L
02/10 Belgium Away 0–3 L
28/09 Italy Home 1–4 L
25/09 France Home 0–1 L
26/06 USA Home 3–2 W
20/06 Paraguay Home 0–1 L
14/06 Australia Away 0–2 L
07/06 Venezuela Away 2–1 W
01/06 FYR Macedonia Home 4–0 W
31/03 Kosovo Away 1–0 W

Belgium

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
05/10 France Away 1–4 L
02/10 Türkiye Home 3–0 W
28/09 France Home 0–1 L
25/09 Italy Away 2–0 W
10/07 Spain Away 1–2 L
07/07 USA Away 4–1 W
27/06 New Zealand Away 5–1 W
21/06 Iran Home 0–0 D
15/06 Egypt Home 1–1 D
06/06 Tunisia Home 5–0 W

📊 Season Comparison: UEFA Nations League

Türkiye #4 · 0 pts ·  Belgium #3 · 6 pts

Türkiye

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–4L
L 4
Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2
Yellow cards10
Red cards1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.61
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.75
Corners for (avg)6.00
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Belgium

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–2L
W 2
L 2
Played4
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Yellow cards14
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.26
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.77
Corners for (avg)—
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
TürkiyeBelgium
L 4
W 2
L 2
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
0.50
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
2.80
1.30
Clean sheets
0
2
Failed to score
2
1
Yellow cards
10
14
Red cards
1
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.61
1.26
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.75
1.77
Corners for (avg)
6.00
—
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Türkiye

2
0-15
3
16-30
31-45
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
1
2
76-90
scored conceded

Belgium

0-15
1
16-30
1
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
1
5
76-90
1
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🗂️ Prediction History

What PredictLix published before each meeting of these teams: frozen pre-match snapshots, not reconstructions from current data. Head-to-head above shows how the teams played; this block shows what we predicted.

DateFixtureOur pickProbabilityOddsScoreResult
02 Oct 2026 Belgium vs Türkiye Belgium win (home) 66.4% 1.62 3–0 ✅

Our site-wide performance record is calculated from the final pre-match snapshot of each fixture. See Our Record.

More: UEFA Nations League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws