Armenia vs Cyprus
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Thu, 12 Nov 2026 • 20:00 UTC+3 • League C - 5 • 🌦 7.7°C, 1 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 47.1% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 76.6% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 69.4% · No 30.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 69.2% · Under 30.8% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 8.9% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.2 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 61.3% · Under 38.7% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Armenia · Home
Armenia's recent home record offers encouragement: they beat Latvia 2-0 and drew Moldova 1-1, though they lost 2-3 to Montenegro at home. Their weighted recent xG of 0.71 sits well below the model expectation of 2.01 for this fixture.
Cyprus · Away
Cyprus arrive with three wins in five, including a 2-0 home win over Armenia 2-0, and kept three clean sheets in that run. Their weighted recent xG of 0.97 is modest, yet the model gives them 1.57 expected goals here.
Armenia's Home Edge
The latest head-to-head in this data was a 2-2 draw in Yerevan 2-2, and the previous home meeting finished 3-2 to Armenia 3-2, so this fixture has produced goals at both ends. Armenia's home results include a 2-0 win over Latvia 2-0, showing they can convert home advantage into a win. Cyprus won the most recent meeting 2-0 on their own ground 2-0, but that was not in Yerevan. The evidence supports Armenia win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 16:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Armenia 2.01 – 1.57 Cyprus · expected total 3.58
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Armenia
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Armenia
Cyprus
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Armenia at home · Cyprus away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Armenia (home)
Cyprus (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Armenia 1 win · 1 draw · Cyprus 0 wins · avg 4.5 goals · BTTS in 2 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2023 | Armenia | 2–2 | Cyprus | Friendlies |
| 13 Nov 2017 | Armenia | 3–2 | Cyprus | Friendlies |
📈 Recent Form
Armenia
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Montenegro | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 02/10 | Cyprus | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 28/09 | Montenegro | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 25/09 | Latvia | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 09/06 | Moldova | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 06/06 | Kazakhstan | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 29/03 | Belarus | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 16/11 | Portugal | Away | 1–9 | L |
| 13/11 | Hungary | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 14/10 | Rep. Of Ireland | Away | 0–1 | L |
Cyprus
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Latvia | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 02/10 | Armenia | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 28/09 | Latvia | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 25/09 | Montenegro | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 07/06 | Liechtenstein | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 04/06 | Slovenia | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 30/03 | Moldova | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 26/03 | Belarus | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 18/11 | Estonia | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 15/11 | Austria | Home | 0–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: UEFA Nations League
Armenia
Cyprus
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Armenia
Cyprus
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🗂️ Prediction History
What PredictLix published before each meeting of these teams: frozen pre-match snapshots, not reconstructions from current data. Head-to-head above shows how the teams played; this block shows what we predicted.
| Date | Fixture | Our pick | Probability | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct 2026 | Cyprus vs Armenia | Cyprus win (home) | 56.5% | — | 2–0 | ✅ |
Our site-wide performance record is calculated from the final pre-match snapshot of each fixture. See Our Record.
More: UEFA Nations League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws