Predictions → World UEFA Nations League

Scotland vs FYR Macedonia

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Fri, 13 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • League B - 5 • ⛅ 6.2°C, 10 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Home Current price not available60.2% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available85.4% —
BTTS No Current price not available54.9% · Yes 45.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available54% · Over 46% —
Correct Score 1-0 Current price not available13.1% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.2 exp.) Under 9.5 Current price not available60.4% · Over 39.6% —

🧠 Match Preview

Scotland · Home

Scotland's recent 1-2 home loss to Slovenia sits alongside a 2-0 away win over FYR Macedonia, the same opponent they beat 0-2 in the latest head-to-head. Scotland failed to score in three of their last five, yet their recent xG of 1.84 and model expected goals of 1.76 point to a steadier attacking base here.

FYR Macedonia · Away

FYR Macedonia lost all five recent matches and failed to score in every one, conceding 14 goals across that run. Their recent xG of 0.32 is the clearest sign of a side struggling to create, and the model gives them just 0.76 expected goals.

Macedonia's Scoreless Run

The latest head-to-head, a 0-2 FYR Macedonia home defeat to Scotland on 3 Oct 2026, matches the wider pattern: FYR Macedonia have failed to score in five straight matches, including 0-2 losses to Scotland and Slovenia. Scotland's own form is mixed, with three scoreless defeats in five, but the model expected goals split of 1.76 to 0.76 frames a home side with far more scoring scope. A 1-0 correct score at 13.1% and Under 2.5 at 54% both fit a low-scoring home edge. The evidence supports Scotland win.

Published 31 Oct 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Scotland 1.76 – 0.76 FYR Macedonia · expected total 2.52

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Scotland

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.80
Goals conceded (season avg)1.30
Best league winning streak this season3
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.84
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.42
Elo strength rating1329

FYR Macedonia

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)0.00
Goals conceded (season avg)2.50
Best league winning streak this season5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.32
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.59
Elo strength rating1262
ScotlandFYR Macedonia
Goals scored (season avg)
0.80
0.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.30
2.50
Best league winning streak this season
3
5
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.84
0.32
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.42
2.59
Elo strength rating
1329
1262

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Scotland

BTTS
1/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
2/6
No goals conceded
2/6

FYR Macedonia

Lost 5 in a row Winless 10
BTTS
0/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored a goal
0/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks: UEFA Nations League

Scotland

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

FYR Macedonia

Worst attack (0.00 goals/game, season) Worst BTTS rate (0%, last 6)

Rank among 44 UEFA Nations League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Scotland at home · FYR Macedonia away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Scotland (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–2L
L 2
Played2
Goals scored (avg)0.50
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1

FYR Macedonia (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–2L
L 2
Played2
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score2
Scotland (home)FYR Macedonia (away)
L 2
L 2
Played
2
2
Goals scored (avg)
0.50
0.00
Goals conceded (avg)
2.50
2.50
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

1–0
13.13%
2–0
12.52%
2–1
9.49%
3–0
7.36%
3–1
5.58%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

FYR Macedonia 0 wins · 0 draws · Scotland 1 win · avg 2 goals · BTTS in 0 of 1

1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
03 Oct 2026 FYR Macedonia 0–2 Scotland UEFA Nations League

📈 Recent Form

Scotland

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
06/10 Slovenia Home 1–2 L
03/10 FYR Macedonia Away 2–0 W
29/09 Switzerland Home 0–3 L
26/09 Slovenia Away 0–0 D
25/06 Brazil Home 0–3 L
20/06 Morocco Home 0–1 L
14/06 Haiti Away 1–0 W
06/06 Bolivia Away 4–0 W
30/05 Curaçao Home 4–1 W
31/03 Ivory Coast Home 0–1 L

FYR Macedonia

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
06/10 Switzerland Away 0–3 L
03/10 Scotland Home 0–2 L
29/09 Slovenia Away 0–2 L
26/09 Switzerland Home 0–3 L
01/06 Türkiye Away 0–4 L
29/05 Bosnia & Herzegovina Away 0–0 D
31/03 Rep. Of Ireland Away 0–0 D
26/03 Denmark Away 0–4 L
18/11 Wales Away 1–7 L
13/11 Latvia Home 0–0 D

📊 Season Comparison: UEFA Nations League

Scotland

Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards5
Red cards2
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.84
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)1.42
Corners for (avg)4.30
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

FYR Macedonia

Played4
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets0
Failed to score4
Yellow cards12
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.32
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.59
Corners for (avg)—
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
ScotlandFYR Macedonia
Played
4
4
Goals scored (avg)
0.80
0.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.30
2.50
Clean sheets
2
0
Failed to score
2
4
Yellow cards
5
12
Red cards
2
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.84
0.32
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
1.42
2.59
Corners for (avg)
4.30
—
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Scotland

1
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
61-75
1
1
76-90
scored conceded

FYR Macedonia

1
0-15
1
16-30
2
31-45
1
46-60
3
61-75
2
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🗂️ Prediction History

What PredictLix published before each meeting of these teams: frozen pre-match snapshots, not reconstructions from current data. Head-to-head above shows how the teams played; this block shows what we predicted.

DateFixtureOur pickProbabilityOddsScoreResult
03 Oct 2026 FYR Macedonia vs Scotland Scotland win (away) 50.9% 1.70 0–2 ✅

Our site-wide performance record is calculated from the final pre-match snapshot of each fixture. See Our Record.

More: UEFA Nations League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws