England vs Croatia
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Thu, 12 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • League A - 5 • ⛅ 7.2°C, 9 km/h partly cloudy
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 69.1% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 84.8% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 76.5% · No 23.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 85.6% · Under 14.4% | — |
| Correct Score | 3-1 | Current price not available | 7.6% | — |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.4 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 58.5% · Over 41.5% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
England · Home
England have scored 20 goals across their last five matches, including a 7-0 win away to Croatia and a 6-4 win away to France. Their only defeat in that run was a 2-3 home loss to Spain, and they failed to score in none of those five games.
Croatia · Away
Croatia have lost four of their last five, conceding 16 goals, and failed to score in the 0-7 home defeat to England. Their lone win in that stretch was 2-1 away to Czechia, and they have no clean sheet in the five.
England's scoring edge over Croatia
The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: England won 0-7 away in Croatia, following a 4-2 home win and a 1-0 home win in the previous meetings. England's recent record of 20 goals for and 7 against across five matches, with three clean sheets, contrasts with Croatia's 5 goals for and 16 against. England's historical weighted recent xG of 3.4 and model expected goals of 3.29 both point to sustained attacking output, while Croatia's recent xG of 1.23 suggests they can contribute to a high-scoring game. The evidence supports England win.
Published 31 Oct 2026 04:45 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: England 3.29 – 1.57 Croatia · expected total 4.86
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
England
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
England
Croatia
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: UEFA Nations League
England
Croatia
Rank among 44 UEFA Nations League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
England at home · Croatia away, the split that matters for this fixture.
England (home)
Croatia (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Croatia 0 wins · 1 draw · England 4 wins · avg 3.4 goals · BTTS in 2 of 5
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct 2026 | Croatia | 0–7 | England | UEFA Nations League |
| 17 Jun 2026 | England | 4–2 | Croatia | World Cup |
| 13 Jun 2021 | England | 1–0 | Croatia | Euro Championship |
| 18 Nov 2018 | England | 2–1 | Croatia | UEFA Nations League |
| 12 Oct 2018 | Croatia | 0–0 | England | UEFA Nations League |
📈 Recent Form
England
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Czechia | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Croatia | Away | 7–0 | W |
| 29/09 | Czechia | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 26/09 | Spain | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 19/07 | France | Away | 6–4 | W |
| 15/07 | Argentina | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 06/07 | Mexico | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 01/07 | Congo DR | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 28/06 | Panama | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 23/06 | Ghana | Home | 0–0 | D |
Croatia
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Spain | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 03/10 | England | Home | 0–7 | L |
| 29/09 | Spain | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 26/09 | Czechia | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 03/07 | Portugal | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 28/06 | Ghana | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 24/06 | Panama | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 17/06 | England | Away | 2–4 | L |
| 07/06 | Slovenia | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 02/06 | Belgium | Home | 0–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: UEFA Nations League
England
Croatia
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
England
Croatia
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🗂️ Prediction History
What PredictLix published before each meeting of these teams: frozen pre-match snapshots, not reconstructions from current data. Head-to-head above shows how the teams played; this block shows what we predicted.
| Date | Fixture | Our pick | Probability | Odds | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct 2026 | Croatia vs England | Croatia win (home) | 41.7% | 4.85 | 0–7 | ❌ |
Our site-wide performance record is calculated from the final pre-match snapshot of each fixture. See Our Record.
More: UEFA Nations League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws