Predictions → World UEFA Nations League

Liechtenstein vs Azerbaijan

This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.

Next match: Fri, 13 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • League D - 5 • ⛅ 10.8°C, 0 km/h partly cloudy

No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3

MarketTipOddsProbabilityModel EV
Match Result (1X2) Draw Current price not available49.4% —
Double Chance 1X Current price not available75.6% —
BTTS No Current price not available84.6% · Yes 15.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Current price not available92.7% · Over 7.3% —
Correct Score 0-0 Current price not available39.2% —
Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.5 exp.) Under 9.5 Current price not available57.8% · Over 42.2% —

🧠 Match Preview

Liechtenstein · Home

Liechtenstein's recent record shows one win in five, with 3 goals scored and 14 conceded; they failed to score in two of those matches. Their latest head-to-head with Azerbaijan ended 0-0, the most recent meeting in the supplied data.

Azerbaijan · Away

Azerbaijan also have one win in five, scoring 8 and conceding 11, and they failed to score in two matches. Their most recent outing was a 6-1 home win, but the four matches before it brought defeats.

Low-scoring H2H points to draw

The latest head-to-head between these teams finished 0-0, and the model's 0-0 correct-score pick at 39.2% fits that pattern. Liechtenstein's recent xG for is 0.1 and Azerbaijan's is 0.39, while the model expected goals are 0.49 and 0.47, so neither side is projected to create much. Azerbaijan's 6-1 win stands out, but their other four recent matches produced 2 goals scored and 11 conceded. The evidence supports Draw.

Published 30 Oct 2026 01:37 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.

⚽ Current model expected goals: Liechtenstein 0.49 – 0.47 Azerbaijan · expected total 0.96

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Liechtenstein

Form (last 5)
LWLLL
Goals scored (season avg)0.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.10
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.68
Elo strength rating1327

Azerbaijan

Form (last 5)
WLLLL
Goals scored (season avg)1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Best league winning streak this season1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.39
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.29
Elo strength rating1363
LiechtensteinAzerbaijan
LWLLL
WLLLL
Goals scored (season avg)
0.00
1.00
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.00
1.00
Best league winning streak this season
0
1
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.10
0.39
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.68
2.29
Elo strength rating
1327
1363

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Liechtenstein

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
3/6
No goals conceded
1/6

Azerbaijan

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored a goal
4/6
No goals conceded
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Liechtenstein at home · Azerbaijan away, the split that matters for this fixture.

Liechtenstein (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–0D–1L
L 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1

Azerbaijan (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses0W–1D–0L
D 1
Played1
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Liechtenstein (home)Azerbaijan (away)
L 1
D 1
Played
1
1
Goals scored (avg)
0.00
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
1.00
Clean sheets
0
0
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome

0–0
39.17%
1–1
9.7%
2–2
0.51%
3–3
<0.1%

Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Azerbaijan 0 wins · 1 draw · Liechtenstein 0 wins · avg 0 goals · BTTS in 0 of 1

1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
01 Oct 2026 Azerbaijan 0–0 Liechtenstein UEFA Nations League

📈 Recent Form

Liechtenstein

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
29/03 — Away 1–4 L
26/03 — Away 1–0 W
18/11 — Away 0–7 L
15/11 — Home 0–1 L
13/10 — Away 1–2 L
10/10 — Away 0–4 L
07/09 — Away 0–5 L
04/09 — Home 0–6 L
09/06 — Home 0–4 L
06/06 — Away 0–3 L

Azerbaijan

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
27/03 — Home 6–1 W
16/11 — Home 1–3 L
13/11 — Home 0–2 L
13/10 — Away 1–2 L
10/10 — Away 0–3 L
09/09 — Home 1–1 D
05/09 — Away 0–5 L
10/06 — Home 1–2 L
07/06 — Away 0–0 D
25/03 — Home 0–2 L

📊 Season Comparison: UEFA Nations League

Liechtenstein

Played2
Goals scored (avg)0.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Yellow cards4
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.10
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.68
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Azerbaijan

Played1
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0
Yellow cards3
Red cards0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)0.39
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)2.29
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
LiechtensteinAzerbaijan
Played
2
1
Goals scored (avg)
0.00
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
1.00
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
2
0
Yellow cards
4
3
Red cards
0
0
xG for (last 5 with stats, weighted)
0.10
0.39
xG against (last 5 with stats, weighted)
2.68
2.29
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Liechtenstein

0-15
16-30
31-45
1
46-60
1
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Azerbaijan

1
0-15
1
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

🗂️ Prediction History

What PredictLix published before each meeting of these teams: frozen pre-match snapshots, not reconstructions from current data. Head-to-head above shows how the teams played; this block shows what we predicted.

DateFixtureOur pickProbabilityOddsScoreResult
01 Oct 2026 Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein Azerbaijan win (home) 81.9% 1.16 0–0 ❌

Our site-wide performance record is calculated from the final pre-match snapshot of each fixture. See Our Record.

More: UEFA Nations League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws