England Premier League Over 2.5 Goals Football Predictions

Upcoming Matches β€’ Next 20 Days β€’ 1 Matches β€’ Round 6 β€’ Updated 34 minutes ago β€’ UTC+3

πŸ“Œ Prediction Type
πŸ† Match Tips (1x2) ⚽ BTTS πŸ“ˆ Over/Under 2.5 🎯 Correct Score πŸ”€ Double Chance 🚩 Corners O/U 🀝 Draws
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Value bets in Premier League: 3 bets Β· 33.3% win Β· profit $-1.35 (ΒΌ-Kelly stakes) Full portfolio β†’

Regular Season, Round 6

Saturday, October 10

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
10/10 14:30 LWWWW
Arsenal Arsenal vs Leeds Leeds
DWLDD 84% 55% Over 2.5 βœ… N/A 2 – 1 FT
10/10 17:00 WWLWD
Aston Villa Aston Villa vs Brentford Brentford
WWDDD 81% 49% Over 2.5 βœ… @1.72 2 – 2 FT
10/10 17:00 LDWLW
Chelsea Chelsea vs Bournemouth Bournemouth
LWDWD 81% 48.9% Over 2.5 βœ… @1.65 5 – 1 FT
10/10 17:00 LLWLL
Ipswich Ipswich vs Fulham Fulham
DWDLL 81% 49.6% Under 2.5 ❌ @2.21 2 – 1 FT
10/10 17:00 LWLWD
Sunderland Sunderland vs Brighton Brighton
WWWDL 85% 56.7% Under 2.5 βœ… @2.08 0 – 2 FT
10/10 19:30 DLLWD
Manchester United Manchester United vs Tottenham Tottenham
LLDDL 81% 48.4% Under 2.5 βœ… N/A 1 – 1 FT

Sunday, October 11

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
11/10 16:00 DWLWW
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest
LWDDL 82% 51.8% Under 2.5 ❌ @2.01 3 – 1 FT
11/10 16:00 LDLDW
Hull City Hull City vs Everton Everton
WWDDD 82% 51.3% Under 2.5 ❌ @1.83 2 – 2 FT
11/10 18:30 WWDWW
Liverpool Liverpool vs Manchester City Manchester City
WWWWW 83% 52.7% Over 2.5 βœ… N/A 0 – 3 FT

Today - Monday, October 12

Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
22:00 WLLLL
Coventry Coventry vs Newcastle Newcastle
WLWDW 82% 51.9% Under 2.5 2.30 β€”

Top Trends from Premier League Teams for Over/Under 2.5 Goals

Chelsea Over 2.5 in 9/10

Over 2.5 goals in 9 of Chelsea's last 10 matches

Everton — Chelsea
Ipswich 2+ scored in 8/10

Ipswich scored 2+ goals in 8 of their last 10 matches

Manchester City — Ipswich
Brentford 2+ scored in 8/10

Brentford scored 2+ goals in 8 of their last 10 matches

Brentford — Liverpool
Newcastle Over 2.5 in 8/10

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Newcastle's last 10 matches

Coventry — Newcastle
Aston Villa Over 2.5 in 8/10

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Aston Villa's last 10 matches

Newcastle — Aston Villa
Bournemouth Over 2.5 in 8/10

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Bournemouth's last 10 matches

Bournemouth — Sunderland
Crystal Palace Over 2.5 in 8/10

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of Crystal Palace's last 10 matches

Brighton — Crystal Palace
πŸ“‘

AI Prediction Accuracy β€” Season 2026/27

Live accuracy tracking across all prediction types β€” wins and losses shown, nothing removed. Updated automatically after each matchday.

92 matches analysed Updated Oct 11, 2026 Full record β€” wins and losses β†’ Value bets β†’
🎯 Match Result (1X2)
48.9% 45/92
⚽ Both Teams to Score
48.9% 45/92
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5
60.9% 56/92
πŸ”’ Correct Score
9.8% 9/92
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance
73.9% 68/92
πŸ“ Corners Over/Under
50.7% 36/71
🀝 Draw Predictions
48.3% 14/29

Recent Form β€” Last 30 Days

🎯 Match Result (1X2) 52.2% 12/23
⚽ Both Teams to Score 34.8% 8/23
πŸ“ˆ Over / Under 2.5 52.2% 12/23
πŸ›‘οΈ Double Chance 73.9% 17/23

Probability Calibration β€” Does 70% Really Mean 70%?

Predicted probability vs how often the pick actually landed. Close match = honest probabilities.

MarketPredictedActualSample
Match Result (1X2) Β· <60% 44.5% 44.4% 54
Match Result (1X2) Β· 60-69% 62.2% 50.0% 4
Match Result (1X2) Β· 70-79% 73.3% 100.0% 1
Both Teams to Score Β· 70-79% 70.4% 0.0% 1
Both Teams to Score Β· <60% 53.4% 39.3% 56
Both Teams to Score Β· 60-69% 61.2% 100.0% 2
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 70-79% 73.3% 100.0% 1
Over / Under 2.5 Β· <60% 53.0% 61.5% 52
Over / Under 2.5 Β· 60-69% 61.6% 66.7% 6
Correct Score Β· <60% 10.9% 8.5% 59
Double Chance Β· 70-79% 74.7% 76.0% 50
Double Chance Β· 80+% 83.4% 75.0% 4
Double Chance Β· 60-69% 67.5% 20.0% 5
Draw Predictions Β· <60% 26.7% 46.2% 13
Corners Over/Under Β· 70-79% 73.3% 25.0% 4
Corners Over/Under Β· <60% 54.5% 42.9% 28
Corners Over/Under Β· 60-69% 64.7% 50.0% 4
Corners Over/Under Β· 80+% 90.6% 50.0% 2

Live accuracy updates after each confirmed result. Minimum sample sizes may affect early-season figures.

Previous Round Results: Regular Season, Round 5

Date / Time Home Form Match Away Form Confidence Probability Goals O/U Odds Result
18/09 22:00 WDDDW
Brentford Brentford vs Chelsea Chelsea
DWLWW 82% 50.7% Over 2.5 βœ… @1.50 3 – 0 FT
19/09 14:30 LDDLW
Tottenham Tottenham vs Aston Villa Aston Villa
LWDLL 81% 48.8% Under 2.5 ❌ @2.15 2 – 3 FT
19/09 17:00 WWDLW
Brighton Brighton vs Arsenal Arsenal
WWWWW 81% 48.8% Over 2.5 βœ… @1.81 3 – 0 FT
19/09 17:00 DDDWW
Everton Everton vs Ipswich Ipswich
LWLLW 82% 50.8% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.83 1 – 0 FT
19/09 17:00 WLWDW
Newcastle Newcastle vs Hull City Hull City
DLDWW 81% 48.4% Over 2.5 βœ… @1.72 2 – 1 FT
19/09 19:30 WDDLL
Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest vs Coventry Coventry
WLLLL 84% 55% Under 2.5 βœ… @2.11 0 – 1 FT
20/09 16:00 WDWDD
Bournemouth Bournemouth vs Liverpool Liverpool
WDWWD 84% 54.8% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.48 0 – 1 FT
20/09 16:00 WLDDW
Leeds Leeds vs Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
WLWWL 80% 47% Over 2.5 ❌ @1.76 0 – 0 FT
20/09 16:00 WWWWW
Manchester City Manchester City vs Sunderland Sunderland
WLWDW 79% 45.4% Over 2.5 βœ… @1.63 5 – 3 FT
20/09 18:30 WDLLW
Fulham Fulham vs Manchester United Manchester United
LLWDW 79% 45.6% Under 2.5 βœ… @2.42 1 – 1 FT