Crystal Palace vs Liverpool
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 17:00 UTC+3 • Round 10 • Selhurst Park • 🌤 8.9°C, 6 km/h mostly clear
Snapshotted at publish: No at 2.38 (46.4%, Model EV +10.4%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | 1xBet1.71 | 55.8% | -4.6% |
| Double Chance | X2 | 1xBet1.22 | 78.9% | -3.7% |
| BTTS | No | Betfair2.38 | 46.4% · Yes 53.6% | +10.4% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Pinnacle2.42 | 43.2% · Over 56.8% | +4.5% |
| Correct Score | 0-1 | William Hill9.00 | 9.7% | -12.7% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.5 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 57% · Under 43% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Crystal Palace · Home
Crystal Palace have failed to score in three of their last five matches, including the 0-2 home loss to Newcastle and the 0-5 defeat at Brighton. Their recent record of 3 goals for and 11 against across five games underlines how difficult this fixture looks.
Liverpool · Away
Liverpool have scored in four of their last five, with the 4-3 win over Villarreal and the 2-1 victory at Brentford showing they can find goals away from home. Their most recent meeting with Palace was a 3-1 Liverpool win, following a 0-3 Palace victory and a 2-1 Palace home win.
Liverpool edge recent H2H
The latest head-to-head, a 3-1 Liverpool win on 25 Apr 2026, sits alongside Palace's 2-1 home win in the September 2025 meeting, so this fixture has produced varied results. Palace's recent scoring problems are the clearest signal: they failed to score against Tottenham, Newcastle and Brighton. Liverpool's recent xG for of 1.96 is higher than Palace's 1.73, and the model gives Liverpool 1.52 expected goals against Palace's 1.11. The evidence supports Liverpool win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Crystal Palace 1.11 – 1.52 Liverpool · expected total 2.63
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Crystal Palace
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Premier League
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
Rank among 20 Premier League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Crystal Palace at home · Liverpool away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Crystal Palace (home)
Liverpool (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Crystal Palace 3 wins · 3 draws · Liverpool 3 wins · avg 2.1 goals · BTTS in 5 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | Liverpool | 3–1 | Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Liverpool | 0–3 | Crystal Palace | League Cup |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Crystal Palace | 2–1 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 25 May 2025 | Liverpool | 1–1 | Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| 05 Oct 2024 | Crystal Palace | 0–1 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 14 Apr 2024 | Liverpool | 0–1 | Crystal Palace | Premier League |
| 09 Dec 2023 | Crystal Palace | 1–2 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 25 Feb 2023 | Crystal Palace | 0–0 | Liverpool | Premier League |
| 15 Aug 2022 | Liverpool | 1–1 | Crystal Palace | Premier League |
📈 Recent Form
Crystal Palace
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Tottenham | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 28/10 | Fulham | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Newcastle | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 22/10 | Beşiktaş | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 18/10 | Brighton | Away | 0–5 | L |
| 15/10 | Lyon | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 11/10 | Nottingham Forest | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 03/10 | Bristol City | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 20/09 | Leeds | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 17/09 | Lech Poznan | Home | 4–0 | W |
Liverpool
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Arsenal | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 28/10 | Chelsea | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 25/10 | Brighton | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 20/10 | Villarreal | Home | 4–3 | W |
| 17/10 | Brentford | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 14/10 | Lask Linz | Away | 6–3 | W |
| 11/10 | Manchester City | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 20/09 | Bournemouth | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 15/09 | Tottenham | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Fulham | Home | 0–0 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Premier League
Crystal Palace #18 · 7 pts · Liverpool #5 · 15 pts
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Crystal Palace
- ❌ J. Mateta: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ C. Riad: Knee Injury
- ❌ I. Sarr: Injury
- ❌ E. Nketiah: Injury
- ❌ A. Disasi: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ D. Henderson: Foot Injury
- ❌ T. Tomiyasu: Calf Injury
- ❌ B. Chilwell: Injury
- ❌ J. Larsen: Ankle Injury
- ❌ Q. Timber: Hamstring Injury
Liverpool
- ❌ C. Bradley: Knee Injury
- ❌ H. Ekitike: Achilles Tendon Injury
- ❌ J. Gomez: Injury
- ❌ G. Leoni: Knee Injury
- ❌ S. Bajcetic: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ F. Chiesa: Back Injury
- ❌ C. Gakpo: Ankle Injury
- ❌ A. Isak: Thigh Injury
- ❌ D. Szoboszlai: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ R. Gravenberch: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ J. Frimpong: Muscle Injury
- ❌ V. Munoz: Knee Injury
- ❌ A. Nallo: Leg Injury
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): H. Elliott (Coach's decision).
More: Premier League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws