Cardiff vs West Ham
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Wed, 04 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • Round 14 • Cardiff City Stadium
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away 1.95 → 2.01 ▲3% | Dafabet2.01 | 45.4% | -8.7% |
| Double Chance | 12 | William Hill1.25 | 76.8% | -4% |
| BTTS | Yes | William Hill1.40 | 63% · No 37% | -11.8% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Bet3651.40 | 66.1% · Under 33.9% | -7.5% |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Bet3659.50 | 8.1% | -23.1% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.7 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Betano1.50 | 64.4% · Under 35.6% | -3.4% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Cardiff · Home
Cardiff's recent 5-1 win over Watford and 1-0 victory against Birmingham show they can score freely at home, but the 0-3 loss at Wolves and 1-2 defeat at Blackburn leave them with 2 wins from 5. Their recent xG of 2.47 sits above the model's 1.6 expected goals for this fixture.
West Ham · Away
West Ham have scored in all five recent matches, including a 6-0 win at Lincoln and a 1-0 victory at Swansea, though home defeats to West Brom and Southampton expose them. Their recent xG of 2.38 is close to Cardiff's, and the model gives them 1.49 expected goals here.
H2H and scoring edge
The latest head-to-head is the telling angle: Cardiff beat West Ham 2-0 at home in 9 Mar 2019, yet West Ham won the preceding meeting 3-1 and also triumphed 0-2 at Cardiff in 11 Jan 2014. West Ham have scored in all five recent matches, while Cardiff failed to score only once, supporting both teams finding the net. The model's 45.4% away probability and 1-2 correct score reflect that H2H balance and West Ham's scoring run. The evidence supports West Ham win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Cardiff 1.60 – 1.49 West Ham · expected total 3.09
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Cardiff
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Cardiff
West Ham
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Championship
Cardiff
West Ham
Rank among 24 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Cardiff at home · West Ham away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Cardiff (home)
West Ham (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Cardiff 2 wins · 0 draws · West Ham 7 wins · avg 2.6 goals · BTTS in 2 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar 2019 | Cardiff | 2–0 | West Ham | Premier League |
| 04 Dec 2018 | West Ham | 3–1 | Cardiff | Premier League |
| 11 Jan 2014 | Cardiff | 0–2 | West Ham | Premier League |
| 24 Sep 2013 | West Ham | 3–2 | Cardiff | League Cup |
| 17 Aug 2013 | West Ham | 2–0 | Cardiff | Premier League |
| 07 May 2012 | West Ham | 3–0 | Cardiff | Championship |
| 03 May 2012 | Cardiff | 0–2 | West Ham | Championship |
| 04 Mar 2012 | Cardiff | 0–2 | West Ham | Championship |
| 07 Aug 2011 | West Ham | 0–1 | Cardiff | Championship |
📈 Recent Form
Cardiff
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Wolves | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 24/10 | Birmingham | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Middlesbrough | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 13/10 | Watford | Home | 5–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Blackburn | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Charlton | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Bolton | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 08/09 | Stoke City | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 05/09 | Portsmouth | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 02/09 | QPR | Away | 1–2 | L |
West Ham
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | West Brom | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 24/10 | Southampton | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 17/10 | Swansea | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 14/10 | Lincoln | Away | 6–0 | W |
| 09/10 | QPR | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Millwall | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 15/09 | Fulham | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 11/09 | Wrexham | Home | 6–0 | W |
| 08/09 | Bolton | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 05/09 | Derby | Home | 3–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Championship
Cardiff #17 · 14 pts · West Ham #8 · 22 pts
Cardiff
West Ham
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Cardiff
West Ham
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Cardiff
- ❌ W. Fish: Hernia
- ❌ D. Lawlor: Muscle Injury
- ❌ C. Chambers: Knee Injury
- ❌ G. Osho: Knee Injury
- ❌ R. Colwill: Health problems
- ❌ I. Davies: Injury
- ❌ K. Bielik: Suspended (Suspended)
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): Y. Salech, C. Robinson; not counted as confirmed absences.
West Ham
- ❌ Pablo: Health problems
- ❌ T. Soucek: Ankle Injury
- ❌ K. Lamadrid: Knee Injury
- ❌ A. Areola: Calf Injury
- ❌ T. Castellanos: Injury
- ❌ J. Veltman: Muscle Injury
- ❌ M. Kante: Suspended (Red Card)
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): K. Mavropanos; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws