Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Thu, 05 Nov 2026 • 23:00 UTC+3 • League Stage - 4 • Stadium of Light • ⛅ 9.9°C, 22 km/h partly cloudy
Snapshotted at publish: Over 9.5 at 1.92 (57.8%, Model EV +11.0%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 1.47 → 1.5 ▲2% | Betano1.50 | 62% | -7% |
| Double Chance | 1X | Betano1.14 | 83.5% | -4.8% |
| BTTS | No | William Hill2.00 | 46.3% · Yes 53.7% | -7.4% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Betano2.32 | 44.6% · Over 55.4% | +3.5% |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Bet3658.50 | 9.8% | -16.7% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.6 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Bet3651.92 | 57.8% · Under 42.2% | +11% |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Sunderland 62.0% · Draw 21.5% · Dinamo Zagreb 16.5%. Selected outcome: Sunderland win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Sunderland 1.56, Dinamo Zagreb 1.09, expected total 2.65.
Price check
The model favours Sunderland win, but the displayed price does not offer positive model EV.
Form / H2H
Sunderland: L-W-D-D-L in their last five matches.
Dinamo Zagreb: L-W-L-W-W in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Sunderland
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Sunderland
Dinamo Zagreb
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Sunderland at home · Dinamo Zagreb away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Sunderland (home)
Dinamo Zagreb (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
📈 Recent Form
Sunderland
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Coventry | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 28/10 | Brentford | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 25/10 | Leeds | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 22/10 | Lech Poznan | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Bournemouth | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 15/10 | Torreense | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Brighton | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 20/09 | Manchester City | Away | 3–5 | L |
| 16/09 | AZ Alkmaar | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Arsenal | Home | 0–2 | L |
Dinamo Zagreb
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Rudes | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 27/10 | HNK Rijeka | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 22/10 | NEC Nijmegen | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 18/10 | NK Slaven Belupo | Away | 5–1 | W |
| 15/10 | Anderlecht | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 10/10 | HNK Hajduk Split | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 04/10 | Vukovar | Away | 4–0 | W |
| 20/09 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 16/09 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 12/09 | NK Osijek | Away | 2–4 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: UEFA Europa League
Sunderland #9 · 7 pts · Dinamo Zagreb #18 · 4 pts
Sunderland
Dinamo Zagreb
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Sunderland
Dinamo Zagreb
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Sunderland
- ❌ J. Angulo: Off the roster
- ❌ A. Browne: Off the roster
- ❌ H. Diarra: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ M. Ellborg: Off the roster
- ❌ R. Mundle: Knee Injury
- ❌ J. Ta Bi: Off the roster
- ❌ C. Talbi: Off the roster
- ❌ D. Ballard: Muscle Injury
- ❌ W. Isidor: Injury
- ❌ T. Meunier: Muscle Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): B. Brobbey; not counted as confirmed absences.
Dinamo Zagreb
- ❌ R. Mudrazija: Off the roster
- ❌ I. Nevistic: Off the roster
- ❌ N. Nsoki: Off the roster
- ❌ P. Tabinas: Off the roster
- ❌ F. Topic: Off the roster
- ❌ A. Stojakovic: Foot Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): D. Beljo, S. Radeljic, D. Rodriguez; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: UEFA Europa League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws