Ipswich vs Bournemouth
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 • 17:00 UTC+3 • Round 10 • Portman Road • ⛅ 9°C, 12 km/h partly cloudy
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | 1xBet2.02 | 47.3% | -4.5% |
| Double Chance | 12 | 1xBet1.29 | 75% | -3.3% |
| BTTS | Yes | Bet3651.62 | 61% · No 39% | -1.2% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Bet3651.73 | 57.1% · Under 42.9% | -1.2% |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Bet3659.50 | 8.7% | -17.4% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~7.9 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 63.2% · Over 36.8% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Ipswich · Home
Ipswich have drawn two of their last five, including a 2-2 at Hull City and a 1-1 home draw with Nottingham Forest, but they failed to score in only one of those matches. Their recent xG for of 1.27 sits below the model expected goals of 1.44 for this fixture.
Bournemouth · Away
Bournemouth have won all five recent matches, scoring 13 and conceding none, with clean sheets in each. Their recent xG for of 1.83 is the stronger attacking baseline in this matchup.
Bournemouth's H2H edge
The latest head-to-head is the most telling angle: Bournemouth won 1-2 at Ipswich on 8 Dec 2024, and also won 1-2 at home on 2 Apr 2025. Bournemouth's five-match run of 13 goals scored and zero conceded supports that edge, while Ipswich's 1-1 home draw with Nottingham Forest shows they can score but also concede. The correct-score pick of 1-2 fits both the H2H pattern and Bournemouth's current scoring. The evidence supports Bournemouth win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:50 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Ipswich 1.44 – 1.54 Bournemouth · expected total 2.98
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Ipswich
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Ipswich
Bournemouth
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Premier League
Ipswich
Bournemouth
Rank among 20 Premier League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Ipswich at home · Bournemouth away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Ipswich (home)
Bournemouth (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Bournemouth 1 win · 4 draws · Ipswich 1 win · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 6 of 6
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr 2025 | Bournemouth | 1–2 | Ipswich | Premier League |
| 08 Dec 2024 | Ipswich | 1–2 | Bournemouth | Premier League |
| 03 Apr 2015 | Ipswich | 1–1 | Bournemouth | Championship |
| 22 Nov 2014 | Bournemouth | 2–2 | Ipswich | Championship |
| 21 Apr 2014 | Ipswich | 2–2 | Bournemouth | Championship |
| 29 Dec 2013 | Bournemouth | 1–1 | Ipswich | Championship |
📈 Recent Form
Ipswich
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Hull City | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 23/10 | Nottingham Forest | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | Manchester City | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Fulham | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Everton | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 15/09 | Arsenal | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 12/09 | Crystal Palace | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 04/09 | Liverpool | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 30/08 | Manchester United | Away | 2–5 | L |
| 25/08 | Leicester | Home | 3–1 | W |
Bournemouth
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Leeds | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 28/10 | Aston Villa | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 25/10 | Manchester United | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 22/10 | AC Milan | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 18/10 | Sunderland | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 15/10 | Sturm Graz | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Chelsea | Away | 1–5 | L |
| 20/09 | Liverpool | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 17/09 | Real Sociedad | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Brentford | Home | 2–2 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Premier League
Ipswich #13 · 11 pts · Bournemouth #7 · 12 pts
Ipswich
Bournemouth
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Ipswich
Bournemouth
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Ipswich
- ❌ A. Matusiwa: Injury
- ❌ J. Taylor: Knee Injury
- ❌ J. Philogene: Ankle Injury
- ❌ I. Fatawu: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ S. Lukic: Groin Injury
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): Florentino; not counted as confirmed absences.
Bournemouth
- ❌ A. Adli: Injury
- ❌ J. Araujo: Thigh Injury
- ❌ R. Christie: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ E. J. Kroupi: Foot Injury
- ❌ V. Milosavljevic: Injury
- ❌ J. Kluivert: Muscle Injury
- ❌ A. Scott: Thigh Injury
- ❌ A. Toth: Muscle Injury
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): J. Soler (Lacking Match Fitness).
More: Premier League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws