Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 20:30 UTC+3 • Round 10 • City Ground • ☁️ 8.6°C, 8 km/h overcast
Snapshotted at publish: No at 2.38 (47.5%, Model EV +13.1%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away | 1xBet1.73 | 55.2% | -4.5% |
| Double Chance | X2 | 1xBet1.22 | 78.8% | -3.9% |
| BTTS | No | Betfair2.30 | 47.8% · Yes 52.2% | +9.9% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 1xBet2.36 | 45% · Over 55% | +6.2% |
| Correct Score | 0-1 | William Hill8.50 | 10.3% | -12.5% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.9 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 59.4% · Under 40.6% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Nottingham Forest · Home
Nottingham Forest have failed to score in three of their last five matches, a run that includes home defeats to Arsenal and Coventry. Their recent xG for of 2.11 sits well above the 1.07 model expected goals for this fixture, underlining how little their recent attacking output has produced.
Manchester City · Away
Manchester City have scored 11 goals across their last five matches, though they failed to score in the 0-1 home loss to Brighton. The latest head-to-head, a 2-2 draw at Manchester City on 4 Mar 2026, shows Forest can trouble them, but City won the two prior meetings 1-2 and 0-2.
Forest's Scoring Drought
Forest's recent record of 2 goals in 5 matches, with 3 failures to score, is the clearest signal in this matchup. City have scored 11 in their last 5 and won the two most recent meetings before the 2-2 draw, both by a single-goal margin. The 0-1 correct score fits a low-scoring pattern, with Under 2.5 and BTTS No also aligned. The evidence supports Manchester City win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Nottingham Forest 1.07 – 1.49 Manchester City · expected total 2.56
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Nottingham Forest
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Premier League
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Rank among 20 Premier League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Nottingham Forest at home · Manchester City away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Nottingham Forest (home)
Manchester City (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Manchester City 6 wins · 2 draws · Nottingham Forest 1 win · avg 2.8 goals · BTTS in 3 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar 2026 | Manchester City | 2–2 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Nottingham Forest | 1–2 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 27 Apr 2025 | Nottingham Forest | 0–2 | Manchester City | FA Cup |
| 08 Mar 2025 | Nottingham Forest | 1–0 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 04 Dec 2024 | Manchester City | 3–0 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 28 Apr 2024 | Nottingham Forest | 0–2 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 23 Sep 2023 | Manchester City | 2–0 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
| 18 Feb 2023 | Nottingham Forest | 1–1 | Manchester City | Premier League |
| 31 Aug 2022 | Manchester City | 6–0 | Nottingham Forest | Premier League |
📈 Recent Form
Nottingham Forest
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Brentford | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 23/10 | Ipswich | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 18/10 | Arsenal | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 11/10 | Crystal Palace | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 19/09 | Coventry | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | Aston Villa | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 05/09 | Tottenham | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 29/08 | Liverpool | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 25/08 | Leeds | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 22/08 | Leeds | Home | 0–1 | L |
Manchester City
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Brighton | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 28/10 | Brighton | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 24/10 | Aston Villa | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 20/10 | AEK Athens FC | Home | 5–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Ipswich | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 14/10 | Paris Saint Germain | Home | 2–4 | L |
| 11/10 | Liverpool | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 20/09 | Sunderland | Home | 5–3 | W |
| 17/09 | Norwich | Home | 5–0 | W |
| 13/09 | Manchester United | Away | 1–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Premier League
Nottingham Forest #19 · 6 pts · Manchester City #2 · 21 pts
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Nottingham Forest
Manchester City
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Nottingham Forest
- ❌ N. Savona: Knee Injury
- ❌ R. Yates: Injury
- ❌ I. Sangare: Calf Injury
- ❌ N. Milenkovic: Knee Injury
- ❌ Igor Jesus: Calf Injury
- ❌ M. Gibbs-White: Injury
- ❌ N. Dominguez: Muscle Injury
Manchester City
- ❌ J. Doku: Calf Injury
- ❌ M. Nunes: Injury
- ❌ P. Foden: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ A. Semenyo: Knee Injury
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): Savinho (Transfer negotiations).
More: Premier League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws