Fulham vs Newcastle
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 10 • Craven Cottage • 🌦 7.5°C, 2 km/h, 0.6mm drizzle
Snapshotted at publish: No at 2.45 (45.2%, Model EV +10.7%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 2.27 → 2.25 ▼1% | 1xBet2.25 | 44.3% | -0.3% |
| Double Chance | 12 | 1xBet1.31 | 74.1% | -2.9% |
| BTTS | No | Betfair2.45 | 45.4% · Yes 54.6% | +11.2% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 1xBet2.27 | 45.5% · Over 54.5% | +3.3% |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Bet36511.00 | 9.2% | +1.2% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10.7 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 58.5% · Under 41.5% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Fulham · Home
Fulham's recent record shows 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from five, with 4 goals for and 4 against, and they kept clean sheets in both the 1-0 win over Coventry and the 1-0 win over Hull City. Their latest meeting with Newcastle ended 2-0 in Fulham's favour at home.
Newcastle · Away
Newcastle's recent record shows 2 wins and 3 losses from five, with 6 goals for and 9 against, and they conceded three or more in the 1-3 loss at Everton and the 1-4 loss at Coventry. They did win 2-0 at Crystal Palace and 2-1 at home to Hull City.
Fulham's Home Edge Over Newcastle
The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Fulham beat Newcastle 2-0 at home, while Newcastle's two earlier wins in this sequence were both 2-1 at home. Fulham's recent home matches included a 0-1 loss to Crystal Palace and a 1-0 win over Hull City, so the venue split is mixed rather than one-sided. Newcastle's away form shows a 1-3 loss at Everton and a 1-4 loss at Coventry alongside a 2-0 win at Crystal Palace. The evidence supports Fulham win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Fulham 1.48 – 1.17 Newcastle · expected total 2.66
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Fulham
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Fulham
Newcastle
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Premier League
Fulham
Newcastle
Rank among 20 Premier League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Fulham at home · Newcastle away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Fulham (home)
Newcastle (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Fulham 3 wins · 0 draws · Newcastle 7 wins · avg 2.7 goals · BTTS in 5 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 2026 | Fulham | 2–0 | Newcastle | Premier League |
| 17 Dec 2025 | Newcastle | 2–1 | Fulham | League Cup |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Newcastle | 2–1 | Fulham | Premier League |
| 01 Feb 2025 | Newcastle | 1–2 | Fulham | Premier League |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Fulham | 3–1 | Newcastle | Premier League |
| 06 Apr 2024 | Fulham | 0–1 | Newcastle | Premier League |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Fulham | 0–2 | Newcastle | FA Cup |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Newcastle | 3–0 | Fulham | Premier League |
| 15 Jan 2023 | Newcastle | 1–0 | Fulham | Premier League |
| 01 Oct 2022 | Fulham | 1–4 | Newcastle | Premier League |
📈 Recent Form
Fulham
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Aston Villa | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 28/10 | Crystal Palace | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 24/10 | Coventry | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Hull City | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Ipswich | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 20/09 | Manchester United | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 15/09 | West Ham | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 12/09 | Liverpool | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 05/09 | Crystal Palace | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 30/08 | Sunderland | Away | 0–1 | L |
Newcastle
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Everton | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 25/10 | Crystal Palace | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 17/10 | Aston Villa | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 12/10 | Coventry | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 19/09 | Hull City | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 14/09 | Leeds | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 08/09 | Millwall | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 05/09 | Bournemouth | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 29/08 | Tottenham | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 26/08 | West Brom | Home | 3–2 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Premier League
Fulham #15 · 9 pts · Newcastle #12 · 11 pts
Fulham
Newcastle
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Fulham
Newcastle
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Fulham
- ❌ J. Andersen: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ T. Cairney: Knee Injury
- ❌ L. De Fougerolles: Injury
- ❌ K. Tete: Concussion
- ❌ A. Robinson: Ankle Injury
- ❌ H. Larsson: Groin Injury
- ❌ R. Sessegnon: Suspended (Red Card)
Newcastle
- ❌ Joelinton: Injury
- ❌ V. Livramento: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ D. Burn: Ankle Injury
- ❌ W. Osula: Injury
- ❌ A. Elanga: Knee Injury
- ❌ E. Jaouen: Ankle Injury
- ❌ A. Dedic: Muscle Injury
- ❌ Nico: Injury
- ❌ J. Ramsey: Thigh Injury
- ❌ M. Fernandez-Pardo: Illness
- ❌ L. Miley: Muscle Injury
More: Premier League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws