Arsenal vs Hull City
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round 10 • Emirates Stadium • 🌦 7.5°C, 2 km/h, 0.6mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home 1.2 → 1.17 ▼3% | William Hill1.17 | 80.8% | -5.5% |
| Double Chance | 1X | William Hill1.03 | 93.3% | -3.9% |
| BTTS | No | William Hill1.62 | 44.5% · Yes 55.5% | -27.9% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Pinnacle2.67 | 36.4% · Over 63.6% | -2.8% |
| Correct Score | 2-0 | Bet3656.50 | 10.5% | -31.8% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~10 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Current price not available | 53.7% · Under 46.3% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Arsenal · Home
Arsenal are unbeaten across their last five with 3 wins, three clean sheets and no match in which they failed to score. Their latest H2H at home against Hull City finished 2-0.
Hull City · Away
Hull City have drawn three of their last five and lost the other two, failing to score once, with no clean sheet in that run. Their most recent away matches produced a 0-1 defeat and a 1-2 defeat.
H2H record backs home pick
The latest head-to-head meetings all favoured Arsenal: 2-0, then 1-4 and 0-4 in Hull City's home fixtures. Arsenal's recent record of 7 goals for and 3 against across five matches, with three clean sheets, supports a controlled home result rather than a high-scoring one. Hull City's three draws and two defeats in five, including one match in which they failed to score, show they have been hard to beat but rarely winning. The evidence supports Arsenal win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. This preview is preserved from the previous data snapshot. Analysis and numbers reflect that publication; current model predictions are shown in the table above.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Arsenal 2.31 – 0.93 Hull City · expected total 3.25
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Arsenal
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Arsenal
Hull City
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Premier League
Arsenal
Hull City
Rank among 20 Premier League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Arsenal at home · Hull City away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Arsenal (home)
Hull City (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Arsenal 7 wins · 2 draws · Hull City 0 wins · avg 2.9 goals · BTTS in 3 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2017 | Arsenal | 2–0 | Hull City | Premier League |
| 17 Sep 2016 | Hull City | 1–4 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 08 Mar 2016 | Hull City | 0–4 | Arsenal | FA Cup |
| 20 Feb 2016 | Arsenal | 0–0 | Hull City | FA Cup |
| 04 May 2015 | Hull City | 1–3 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 04 Jan 2015 | Arsenal | 2–0 | Hull City | FA Cup |
| 18 Oct 2014 | Arsenal | 2–2 | Hull City | Premier League |
| 20 Apr 2014 | Hull City | 0–3 | Arsenal | Premier League |
| 04 Dec 2013 | Arsenal | 2–0 | Hull City | Premier League |
📈 Recent Form
Arsenal
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Liverpool | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 27/10 | Fleetwood Town | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 24/10 | Everton | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 21/10 | Bayern München | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 18/10 | Nottingham Forest | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 13/10 | Lille | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 10/10 | Leeds | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Brighton | Away | 0–3 | L |
| 15/09 | Ipswich | Away | 4–2 | W |
| 12/09 | Sunderland | Away | 2–0 | W |
Hull City
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Ipswich | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 25/10 | Brentford | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 17/10 | Fulham | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 11/10 | Everton | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 19/09 | Newcastle | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Chelsea | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 08/09 | Sunderland | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 05/09 | Aston Villa | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 29/08 | Coventry | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 22/08 | Manchester United | Home | 2–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Premier League
Arsenal #1 · 24 pts · Hull City #10 · 11 pts
Arsenal
Hull City
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Arsenal
Hull City
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Arsenal
- ❌ Bruno Guimaraes: Thigh Injury
- ❌ W. Saliba: Back Injury
- ❌ J. Timber: Ankle Injury
- ❌ C. Mosquera: Muscle Injury
- ❌ B. White: Groin Injury
- ❌ C. Tzolis: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ P. Hincapie: Ankle Injury
- ❌ B. Saka: Thigh Injury
- ❌ M. Dowman: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❓ R. Calafiori (doubtful): Ribs Injury
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): Gabriel Jesus (Transfer negotiations), G. Martinelli (Transfer negotiations).
Hull City
- ❌ J. Butland: Arm Injury
- ❌ J. Gelhardt: Ankle Injury
- ❌ D. Gyabi: Groin Injury
- ❌ C. Hughes: Groin Injury
- ❌ M. Jacob: Hip Injury
- ❌ E. Matazo: Knee Injury
- ❌ H. Morita: Calf Injury
- ❌ O. Zambrano: Hamstring Injury
- ❌ I. Ansah: Back Injury
- ❌ M. Crooks: Muscle Injury
- ❌ P. McNair: Foot Injury
- ❌ N. Mendy: Injury
- ❌ M. Targett: Ankle Injury
- ❌ M. Cho: Muscle Injury
- ❌ L. Gourna-Douath: Calf Injury
More: Premier League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws