Everton vs Coventry
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Fri, 06 Nov 2026 • 23:00 UTC+3 • Round 10 • Hill Dickinson Stadium • ☁️ 8.8°C, 10 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | 1xBet1.75 | 53.4% | -6.5% |
| Double Chance | 1X | 1xBet1.22 | 77.8% | -5.1% |
| BTTS | No | Betfair2.10 | 45.8% · Yes 54.2% | -3.8% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 1xBet2.15 | 47.4% · Over 52.6% | +1.9% |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | William Hill7.50 | 9.1% | -31.8% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~8.9 exp.) | Under 9.5 | Current price not available | 54.5% · Over 45.5% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Everton · Home
Everton's recent home form includes a 3-1 win over Newcastle and a 1-0 win over Ipswich, though they failed to score in two of their last five. Their historical weighted xG over up to five recent matches with recorded statistics is 1.65, while the model expected goals for this fixture is 1.43.
Coventry · Away
Coventry won three of their last five, scoring nine goals, including a 4-1 home win over Newcastle and a 1-0 away win at Nottingham Forest. Their historical weighted xG over up to five recent matches with recorded statistics is 1.21, against a model expected goals of 1.19 here.
Everton's Home Edge Holds
The latest head-to-head is a warning: Coventry beat Everton 3-0 in July 2024. Yet Everton's home record in the sample shows two wins from three at Goodison, with the 3-1 Newcastle result the standout. Coventry's away losses to Tottenham (1-3) show they can be opened up on the road. The 1-0 correct score carries 9.1% probability, and the Under 2.5 pick at 47.4% fits a tighter home-controlled game. The evidence supports Everton win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Everton 1.43 – 1.19 Coventry · expected total 2.62
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Everton
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Everton
Coventry
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Premier League
Everton
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Coventry
Rank among 20 Premier League teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Everton at home · Coventry away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Everton (home)
Coventry (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Coventry 1 win · 0 draws · Everton 0 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 0 of 1
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2024 | Coventry | 3–0 | Everton | Friendlies Clubs |
📈 Recent Form
Everton
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10 | Newcastle | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 24/10 | Arsenal | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 17/10 | Chelsea | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 11/10 | Hull City | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 19/09 | Ipswich | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Wolves | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Tottenham | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 06/09 | Manchester United | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 29/08 | Bournemouth | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 26/08 | Preston | Away | 4–0 | W |
Coventry
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Sunderland | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 24/10 | Fulham | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 19/10 | Tottenham | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 12/10 | Newcastle | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Nottingham Forest | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Aston Villa | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 13/09 | Brighton | Home | 0–5 | L |
| 05/09 | Manchester City | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 29/08 | Hull City | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 25/08 | Plymouth | Away | 4–2 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: Premier League
Everton #14 · 10 pts · Coventry #16 · 9 pts
Everton
Coventry
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Everton
Coventry
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Everton
- ❌ T. Iroegbunam: Muscle Injury
- ❌ C. Norgaard: Injury
- ❌ M. Rohl: Injury
- ❌ V. Mykolenko: Knock
- ❓ J. Grealish (doubtful): Illness
Coventry
- ❌ L. Woolfenden: Knee Injury
- ❌ H. Wright: Muscle Injury
- ❌ K. Kesler-Hayden: Muscle Injury
- ❌ J. Eccles: Injury
- ❌ A. Amenda: Calf Injury
- ❌ T. Awoniyi: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ B. Thomas: Calf Injury
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): Y. Gboho (Transfer negotiations), S. Mfuni (Loan agreement).
More: Premier League predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws