Bristol City vs Wolves
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Wed, 04 Nov 2026 • 23:00 UTC+3 • Round 14 • Ashton Gate Stadium • ☁️ 9.3°C, 16 km/h overcast
Snapshotted at publish: Yes at 1.73 (63.3%, Model EV +9.5%). Prices move constantly, confirm at the bookmaker.
Best Bet selection: highest current Model EV among eligible candidates from 1X2, Double Chance, BTTS, Over/Under 2.5, Corners O/U 9.5 and Correct Score.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Away 2.15 → 2.13 ▼1% | Dafabet2.13 | 45.1% | -3.9% |
| Double Chance | 12 | William Hill1.30 | 73.6% | -4.3% |
| BTTS | Yes | William Hill1.73 | 63.3% · No 36.7% | +9.5% |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Bet3651.91 | 53.4% · Under 46.6% | +2% |
| Correct Score | 1-2 | Bet3659.00 | 8.9% | -19.9% |
| Corners O/U 9.5 (~11.7 exp.) | Over 9.5 | Betano1.60 | 64.7% · Under 35.3% | +3.5% |
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🧠 Match Preview
Bristol City · Home
Bristol City have scored only four goals across their last five matches, failing to score in three of them, including home defeats to Sheffield Utd and Blackburn. Their recent xG for of 1.69 sits above that output, but the model expected goals of 1.47 still trails Wolves.
Wolves · Away
Wolves have won three of their last five, scoring eight goals and failing to score in none. Their recent xG for of 1.74 and model expected goals of 1.66 both edge Bristol City's figures.
Wolves' Edge in Tight History
The latest head-to-head, on 11 Jan 2025, finished 1-2 to Wolves, and the two meetings before that also went Wolves' way at 0-1 and 1-2. Bristol City have failed to score in three of their last five, while Wolves found the net in all five. Wolves' recent xG for of 1.74 and model expected goals of 1.66 both exceed Bristol City's 1.69 and 1.47. The evidence supports Wolves win.
Published 02 Nov 2026 04:48 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Bristol City 1.47 – 1.66 Wolves · expected total 3.12
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Bristol City
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Bristol City
Wolves
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: Championship
Bristol City
Wolves
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 24 Championship teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Bristol City at home · Wolves away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Bristol City (home)
Wolves (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Bristol City 2 wins · 1 draw · Wolves 7 wins · avg 3.3 goals · BTTS in 8 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2025 | Bristol City | 1–2 | Wolves | FA Cup |
| 17 Feb 2019 | Bristol City | 0–1 | Wolves | FA Cup |
| 30 Dec 2017 | Bristol City | 1–2 | Wolves | Championship |
| 12 Sep 2017 | Wolves | 3–3 | Bristol City | Championship |
| 08 Apr 2017 | Bristol City | 3–1 | Wolves | Championship |
| 26 Dec 2016 | Wolves | 3–2 | Bristol City | Championship |
| 08 Mar 2016 | Wolves | 2–1 | Bristol City | Championship |
| 03 Nov 2015 | Bristol City | 1–0 | Wolves | Championship |
| 25 Jan 2014 | Wolves | 3–1 | Bristol City | League One |
| 17 Aug 2013 | Bristol City | 1–2 | Wolves | League One |
📈 Recent Form
Bristol City
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Bolton | Away | 3–2 | W |
| 24/10 | Stoke City | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 17/10 | Sheffield Utd | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 13/10 | Blackburn | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 10/10 | Charlton | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 03/10 | Crystal Palace | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 18/09 | Watford | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 15/09 | Lincoln | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 12/09 | Southampton | Away | 1–4 | L |
| 05/09 | Burnley | Away | 2–1 | W |
Wolves
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Cardiff | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Watford | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 20/10 | Portsmouth | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 16/10 | Burnley | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 13/10 | Bolton | Home | 1–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Middlesbrough | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 20/09 | West Brom | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 16/09 | Everton | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 13/09 | Sheffield Utd | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 06/09 | Birmingham | Away | 2–2 | D |
📊 Season Comparison: Championship
Bristol City #14 · 18 pts · Wolves #3 · 24 pts
Bristol City
Wolves
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Bristol City
Wolves
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
🏥 Injuries & Suspensions
Bristol City
- ❌ L. McNally: Knee Injury
- ❌ O. Thomas: Injury
- ❌ C. Pring: Ankle Injury
- ❌ A. Randell: Suspended (Red Card)
- ❌ B. De Keersmaecker: Shoulder Injury
- ❌ R. Dickie: Knee Injury
- ❌ N. Eile: Illness
- ❌ L. Tolaj: Knock
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): E. Adebayo, J. Williams; not counted as confirmed absences.
Wolves
- ❌ S. Johnstone: Knock
- ❌ Y. Mosquera: Ankle Injury
- ❌ K. Trippier: Knee Injury
- ❌ R. Jimenez: Knee Injury
- ❌ R. Gomes: Foot Injury
- ❌ B. Traore: Injury
- ❌ B. Traore: Injury
- ❌ A. Armstrong: Back Injury
- ❌ N. Djiga: Groin Injury
- ❌ G. Konan: Knee Injury
Squad/transfer status (not counted as absences): L. Krejci (Lacking Match Fitness).
⚠️ Status unconfirmed (listed inactive): J. Bellegarde, R. Said, S. Bueno; not counted as confirmed absences.
More: Championship predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws