England National League North Predictions and Betting Tips

Buxton carry the window's sharpest edge, a 92 confidence home call against Worksop Town with a 76.7% model probability, the highest in this round. That gap flows from the attacking split, where Buxton's home scoring threat dwarfs Worksop's away output. Chester and Harborough Town both sit at 87 confidence, while Macclesfield's 83 rating pairs with a 53.1% probability. Back Buxton at home, and consider the Chester, Harborough and Macclesfield treble at combined odds of 4.94.

Across 121 settled National League North matches, updated 2026-09-29, the PredictLix model's match winner accuracy sits at 41.3% correct (50/121). Double chance lands at 75.2% correct (91/121), while BTTS reads 57% correct (69/121). Over/Under 2.5 comes in at 52.9% correct (64/121), and correct score is just 10.7% correct (13/121). Draw picks are notably weak at 20% correct (8/40). This sample of 121 matches is small, so treat these figures as early indicators rather than settled proof.

King's Lynn Town versus Buxton stands out as the clearest Over 2.5 lean at 56.8%, with home attack numbers of 2.1872 and 1.1831 setting the tone for goals. Radcliffe against Scarborough Athletic also points Over at 52.4%, driven by two evenly matched attacks. By contrast, Hereford versus Hednesford Town leans Under 2.5 at 48.5%, reflecting the hosts' mean defence and a low away figure of 0.6841. Best angle: Over 2.5 in King's Lynn Town vs Buxton at 1.72.

Hereford and Macclesfield share the window's standout streak, each unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches. That resilience underpins Hereford's position at the top on 23 points. Buxton carry the strongest single indicator, with the PredictLix model attaching a 92% confidence rating to their home win. Chester and Southport follow at 87% and 90%. These are short samples, though, and several contests carry incomplete data.

Buxton's defensive numbers stand out sharply, with 0.5 conceded per game and 6 clean sheets from 10 outings. At the other end, Radcliffe leak 2.1 goals per match with just 1 clean sheet, while Spennymoor Town and AFC Telford United also concede heavily at 2.1 each. Hereford pair 5 clean sheets with a 0.6 concession rate, and Macclesfield sit on 4 clean sheets. Marine, King's Lynn Town and Bedford Town show the leakiest profiles, each without a single shutout.

Hereford sit top on 23 pts with a Champions League spot, unbeaten in 9 of their 10 most recent matches, while visitors Hednesford Town are mid-table on 12 pts. At the bottom, Darlington 1883 (22nd, 7 pts) and Spennymoor Town (23rd, 7 pts) are in the RELEGATION ZONE and must win, with Radcliffe (24th, 6 pts) also in the RELEGATION ZONE. Brackley Town (19th, 12 pts) are in a relegation battle needing points against Spennymoor Town.

Chester's home clash with Bedford Town anchors the PredictLix acca at 1.53, with the model showing 87 confidence. Harborough Town versus Southport follows at 1.6, another 87-rated home pick. Macclesfield versus South Shields completes the treble at 2.02 and 83 confidence. Combined odds across all three legs come to 4.94. Back this threefold at 4.94 with confidence, though the model's high-confidence record sits at 51% correct.

Chorley against AFC Telford United tops the value list, with the PredictLix model rating the home win at 44.8% against an implied 37.6%, a +7.2pp edge at odds of 2.49. Macclesfield versus South Shields follows closely, showing 53.1% model probability against 46% implied for a +7.1pp edge at 2.02. Brackley Town and Harborough Town each carry +5.3pp edges, while Hereford and Chester add +5.2pp and +4.7pp respectively. A positive edge signals long-term value, not a guaranteed win in any single match. Best takeaway: back Chorley at 2.49.