South Shields vs Southport
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • National League North - 16 • ☁️ 9.9°C, 17 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 10:09 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 71.9% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 91.6% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 59.5% · Yes 40.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 49% · Over 51% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-0 | Current price not available | 14.9% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
South Shields · Home
South Shields have won three of their last five, scoring 12 goals across that run, including a 3-1 win at Oxford City (3-1) and a 3-1 home win over Chester (3-1). They also beat Southport 1-0 in the latest head-to-head (1-0).
Southport · Away
Southport are without a win in five, with three defeats and two draws, and they failed to score in three of those matches. Their away form includes a 0-0 draw at King's Lynn Town (0-0) and a 0-1 loss at Harborough Town (0-1).
Southport's scoring drought
Southport have scored just 3 goals in their last five matches and failed to score in three of them, while South Shields have scored 12 in the same span. The two previous meetings before January's 1-0 South Shields win both ended 0-0 (0-0, 0-0), so a tight, low-scoring game is plausible. The model gives South Shields a 71.9% win probability and expects 2.13 goals for them against 0.6 for Southport. The evidence supports South Shields win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: South Shields 2.13 – 0.60 Southport · expected total 2.73
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
South Shields
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
South Shields
Southport
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: National League North
South Shields
Southport
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 24 National League North teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
South Shields at home · Southport away, the split that matters for this fixture.
South Shields (home)
Southport (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
South Shields 2 wins · 3 draws · Southport 4 wins · avg 2.2 goals · BTTS in 2 of 9
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 | South Shields | 1–0 | Southport | National League - North |
| 06 Sep 2025 | Southport | 0–0 | South Shields | National League - North |
| 12 Apr 2025 | South Shields | 0–0 | Southport | National League - North |
| 12 Oct 2024 | Southport | 3–0 | South Shields | National League - North |
| 20 Apr 2024 | South Shields | 3–0 | Southport | National League - North |
| 18 Nov 2023 | Southport | 4–0 | South Shields | FA Trophy |
| 11 Nov 2023 | Southport | 1–0 | South Shields | National League - North |
| 17 Dec 2019 | Southport | 3–1 | South Shields | FA Trophy |
| 14 Dec 2019 | South Shields | 2–2 | Southport | FA Trophy |
📈 Recent Form
South Shields
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Oxford City | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 27/10 | Spennymoor Town | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Chester | Home | 3–1 | W |
| 17/10 | FC Halifax Town | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 10/10 | Macclesfield | Away | 3–4 | L |
| 03/10 | Buxton | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 29/09 | Brackley Town | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 26/09 | Buxton | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 19/09 | Witton Albion | Home | 7–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Hereford | Away | 0–6 | L |
Southport
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | AFC Telford United | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 24/10 | King's Lynn Town | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 17/10 | Radcliffe | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Harborough Town | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 26/09 | Spennymoor Town | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 19/09 | Morecambe | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Worksop Town | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 08/09 | Morecambe | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 05/09 | Spalding United | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 31/08 | Hereford | Home | 0–1 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: National League North
South Shields #1 · 29 pts · Southport #23 · 10 pts
South Shields
Southport
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
South Shields
Southport
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: National League North predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws