Predictions β†’ England National League North

Spennymoor Town vs South Shields

Next match: Tue, 27 Oct 2026 β€’ 19:45 UTC+3 β€’ National League North - 14

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Draw 57% 26.6% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X 65% 63.7% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS Yes 84% 55.8% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 77% 41.2% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 1-1 67% 9.5% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Spennymoor Town 1.64 – 1.49 South Shields Β· expected total 3.14

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Spennymoor Town

Form (last 5)
LBrackley Town (A) 1–2 Β· 10/10/2026WChester (H) 4–1 Β· 03/10/2026DSouthport (A) 2–2 Β· 26/09/2026WAFC Emley (A) 4–0 Β· 19/09/2026DMacclesfield (H) 1–1 Β· 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.10
Goals conceded (season avg)2.10
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1456

South Shields

Form (last 5)
LMacclesfield (A) 3–4 Β· 10/10/2026WBuxton (A) 2–0 Β· 03/10/2026LBrackley Town (A) 2–3 Β· 29/09/2026WBuxton (H) 4–0 Β· 26/09/2026WWitton Albion (H) 7–0 Β· 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Win streak (best this season)3
Elo strength rating1675
Spennymoor TownSouth Shields
Goals scored (season avg)
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
2.10
1.50
Win streak (best this season)
1
3
Elo strength rating
1456
1675

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Spennymoor Town

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
1/6

South Shields

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” National League North

Spennymoor Town

Worst defence (2.10 conceded/game) Best BTTS rate (83%) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%) 2nd worst clean sheets (0)

South Shields

2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%)

Rank among 24 National League North teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Spennymoor Town at home Β· South Shields away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Spennymoor Town (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–2L
W 1
D 2
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets0
Failed to score0

South Shields (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–0D–3L
W 3
L 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)2.20
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1
Spennymoor Town (home)South Shields (away)
W 1
D 2
L 2
W 3
L 3
Played
5
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
2.00
2.20
Clean sheets
0
3
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–1
9.5%
2–2
5.3%
0–0
4.4%
3–3
1.4%
4–4
0.2%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

South Shields 3 wins Β· 2 draws Β· Spennymoor Town 2 wins Β· avg 3.4 goals Β· BTTS in 4 of 7

3
2
2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
03 Apr 2026 Spennymoor Town 1–1 South Shields National League - North
26 Dec 2025 South Shields 6–0 Spennymoor Town National League - North
21 Apr 2025 South Shields 0–2 Spennymoor Town National League - North
26 Dec 2024 Spennymoor Town 1–1 South Shields National League - North
16 Nov 2024 Spennymoor Town 2–1 South Shields FA Trophy
29 Mar 2024 South Shields 2–0 Spennymoor Town National League - North
14 Nov 2023 Spennymoor Town 2–5 South Shields National League - North

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Spennymoor Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Brackley Town Away 1–2 L
03/10 Chester Home 4–1 W
26/09 Southport Away 2–2 D
19/09 AFC Emley Away 4–0 W
12/09 Macclesfield Home 1–1 D

South Shields

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Macclesfield Away 3–4 L
03/10 Buxton Away 2–0 W
29/09 Brackley Town Away 2–3 L
26/09 Buxton Home 4–0 W
19/09 Witton Albion Home 7–0 W

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” National League North

Spennymoor Town #24 Β· 7 pts β€”  South Shields #6 Β· 20 pts

Spennymoor Town

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–4D–6L
W 1
D 4
L 6
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.10
Goals conceded (avg)2.10
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/1

South Shields

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–2D–3L
W 6
D 2
L 3
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets4
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Spennymoor TownSouth Shields
W 1
D 4
L 6
W 6
D 2
L 3
Played
11
11
Goals scored (avg)
1.10
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
2.10
1.50
Clean sheets
0
4
Failed to score
1
1
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
2
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/1
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Spennymoor Town

0-15
1
7
16-30
1
4
31-45
3
6
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
2
76-90
5
scored conceded

South Shields

3
0-15
4
3
16-30
1
2
31-45
5
2
46-60
3
4
61-75
2
3
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League North predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws