Predictions β†’ England National League North

South Shields vs Chester

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 β€’ 14:00 UTC+3 β€’ National League North - 13 β€’ Wolf Competitions Stadium

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 83% 54.8% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X 74% 75.2% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS Yes 83% 53.6% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 83% 52.9% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 2-1 64% 7.8% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: South Shields 1.85 – 1.12 Chester Β· expected total 2.98

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

South Shields

Form (last 5)
LMacclesfield (A) 3–4 Β· 10/10/2026WBuxton (A) 2–0 Β· 03/10/2026LBrackley Town (A) 2–3 Β· 29/09/2026WBuxton (H) 4–0 Β· 26/09/2026WWitton Albion (H) 7–0 Β· 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Win streak (best this season)3
Elo strength rating1675

Chester

Form (last 5)
WBedford Town (H) 1–0 Β· 10/10/2026LSpennymoor Town (A) 1–4 Β· 03/10/2026WWorksop Town (H) 4–1 Β· 26/09/2026WLower Breck (A) 2–1 Β· 19/09/2026LBuxton (A) 1–3 Β· 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)0.80
Win streak (best this season)4
Elo strength rating1583
South ShieldsChester
WBedford Town (H) 1–0 Β· 10/10/2026LSpennymoor Town (A) 1–4 Β· 03/10/2026WWorksop Town (H) 4–1 Β· 26/09/2026WLower Breck (A) 2–1 Β· 19/09/2026LBuxton (A) 1–3 Β· 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
0.80
Win streak (best this season)
3
4
Elo strength rating
1675
1583

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

South Shields

BTTS
2/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Chester

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” National League North

South Shields

2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%)

Chester

3rd best defence (0.80 conceded/game)

Rank among 24 National League North teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

South Shields at home Β· Chester away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

South Shields (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–2D–0L
W 3
D 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Chester (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–1L
W 2
D 2
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
South Shields (home)Chester (away)
W 3
D 2
W 2
D 2
L 1
Played
5
5
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
0.80
1.20
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
0
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–1
7.8%
2–0
7%
1–0
6.7%
3–1
4.8%
3–0
4.3%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

Chester 2 wins Β· 0 draws Β· South Shields 4 wins Β· avg 2.2 goals Β· BTTS in 1 of 6

2
4
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
20 Dec 2025 Chester 1–3 South Shields National League - North
23 Aug 2025 South Shields 4–0 Chester National League - North
08 Feb 2025 South Shields 2–0 Chester National League - North
07 Sep 2024 Chester 1–0 South Shields National League - North
23 Mar 2024 Chester 0–1 South Shields National League - North
25 Nov 2023 South Shields 0–1 Chester National League - North

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

South Shields

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Macclesfield Away 3–4 L
03/10 Buxton Away 2–0 W
29/09 Brackley Town Away 2–3 L
26/09 Buxton Home 4–0 W
19/09 Witton Albion Home 7–0 W

Chester

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Bedford Town Home 1–0 W
03/10 Spennymoor Town Away 1–4 L
26/09 Worksop Town Home 4–1 W
19/09 Lower Breck Away 2–1 W
12/09 Buxton Away 1–3 L

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” National League North

South Shields #6 Β· 20 pts β€”  Chester #5 Β· 20 pts

South Shields

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–2D–3L
W 6
D 2
L 3
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets4
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Chester

Wins–Draws–Losses6W–2D–3L
W 6
D 2
L 3
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets4
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
South ShieldsChester
W 6
D 2
L 3
W 6
D 2
L 3
Played
11
11
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
0.80
Clean sheets
4
4
Failed to score
1
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
2
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

South Shields

3
0-15
4
3
16-30
1
2
31-45
5
2
46-60
3
4
61-75
2
3
76-90
3
scored conceded

Chester

0-15
2
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
3
4
46-60
3
61-75
1
1
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League North predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws