AFC Telford United vs Spalding United
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 07 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • National League North - 16 • New Bucks Head • 🌦 8.1°C, 6 km/h, 0.1mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 46.5% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 76.5% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 54.1% · Yes 45.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 60% · Over 40% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 12.8% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
AFC Telford United · Home
AFC Telford United have won three of their last five, including away wins at Southport (2-1) and Hereford (1-0), and failed to score in none of those matches. Their model expected goals of 1.38 points to a modest but steady attacking output at home.
Spalding United · Away
Spalding United have conceded 12 goals across their last five, with clean sheets in none and two matches where they failed to score. Their away defeats at Hednesford Town (0-2) and Alvechurch (0-4) show how quickly games can slip from them on the road.
Telford edge a tight H2H
The latest head-to-head ended 1-1 at Telford, while the earlier meeting finished 0-1 to the visitors, so this pairing has stayed close. Telford's five-match record of 8 goals for and 6 against is far tighter than Spalding's 7 for and 12 against. Spalding's two failed-to-score matches and zero clean sheets sit awkwardly against a Telford side that scored in every recent outing. The evidence supports AFC Telford United win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:49 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: AFC Telford United 1.38 – 0.91 Spalding United · expected total 2.29
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
AFC Telford United
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
AFC Telford United
Spalding United
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: National League North
AFC Telford United
Spalding United
Rank among 24 National League North teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
AFC Telford United at home · Spalding United away, the split that matters for this fixture.
AFC Telford United (home)
Spalding United (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
AFC Telford United 1 win · 1 draw · Spalding United 0 wins · avg 1.5 goals · BTTS in 1 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr 2025 | AFC Telford United | 1–1 | Spalding United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Spalding United | 0–1 | AFC Telford United | Non League Premier - Southern Central |
📈 Recent Form
AFC Telford United
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Southport | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 27/10 | Hereford | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Hebburn Town | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 17/10 | Darlington 1883 | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Chorley | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 26/09 | King's Lynn Town | Home | 0–5 | L |
| 22/09 | Worksop Town | Away | 2–5 | L |
| 19/09 | Worksop Town | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 12/09 | Harborough Town | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 08/09 | Oxford City | Home | 1–0 | W |
Spalding United
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Darlington 1883 | Home | 3–2 | W |
| 27/10 | Brackley Town | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 24/10 | Hednesford Town | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 20/10 | Alvechurch | Away | 0–4 | L |
| 17/10 | Alvechurch | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 10/10 | Marine | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 06/10 | Bury Town | Home | 4–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Bury Town | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 26/09 | Chorley | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 19/09 | Hanley Town | Home | 2–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: National League North
AFC Telford United #15 · 19 pts · Spalding United #11 · 21 pts
AFC Telford United
Spalding United
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
AFC Telford United
Spalding United
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: National League North predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws