Predictions β†’ England National League North

Hereford vs AFC Telford United

Next match: Tue, 27 Oct 2026 β€’ 19:45 UTC+3 β€’ National League North - 14 β€’ Edgar Street

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 89% 70.6% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Double Chance 1X 83% 88.1% β€” β€” β€” β€”
BTTS No 84% 54.6% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 82% 51.5% β€” β€” β€” β€”
Correct Score 1-0 79% 16.5% β€” β€” β€” β€”

⚽ Model expected goals: Hereford 1.61 – 0.46 AFC Telford United Β· expected total 2.07

πŸ”‘ What Drives the Prediction

Hereford

Form (last 5)
LHednesford Town (H) 0–1 Β· 10/10/2026DBedford Town (A) 1–1 Β· 26/09/2026LStafford Rangers (A) 2–3 Β· 19/09/2026WSouth Shields (H) 6–0 Β· 12/09/2026WHarborough Town (A) 3–0 Β· 08/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)2.00
Goals conceded (season avg)0.50
Win streak (best this season)4
Elo strength rating1440

AFC Telford United

Form (last 5)
WDarlington 1883 (H) 2–1 Β· 17/10/2026LChorley (A) 1–2 Β· 10/10/2026LKing's Lynn Town (H) 0–5 Β· 26/09/2026LWorksop Town (A) 2–5 Β· 22/09/2026DWorksop Town (H) 2–2 Β· 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1464
HerefordAFC Telford United
Goals scored (season avg)
2.00
0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)
0.50
1.50
Win streak (best this season)
4
2
Elo strength rating
1440
1464

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors β€” each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict β€” including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

πŸ“ˆ Team Trends

Hereford

Winless 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

AFC Telford United

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

πŸ… League Benchmarks β€” National League North

Hereford

Best attack (2.00 goals/game) Best defence (0.50 conceded/game) Best clean sheets (6)

AFC Telford United

Worst attack (0.90 goals/game) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%)

Rank among 24 National League North teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets β€” season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates β€” last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Hereford at home Β· AFC Telford United away β€” the split that matters for this fixture.

Hereford (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–1D–1L
W 4
D 1
L 1
Played6
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score1

AFC Telford United (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–3L
W 1
D 2
L 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1
Hereford (home)AFC Telford United (away)
W 4
D 1
L 1
W 1
D 2
L 3
Played
6
6
Goals scored (avg)
2.20
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
0.50
1.30
Clean sheets
3
2
Failed to score
1
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–0
16.5%
2–0
13.9%
3–0
7.4%
2–1
6.4%
3–1
3.5%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture β€” computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

βš”οΈ Head-to-Head

AFC Telford United 1 win Β· 3 draws Β· Hereford 3 wins Β· avg 1.1 goals Β· BTTS in 1 of 7

1
3
3
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
10 Feb 2026 AFC Telford United 3–0 Hereford National League - North
21 Oct 2025 Hereford 1–1 AFC Telford United National League - North
11 Mar 2023 Hereford 0–0 AFC Telford United National League - North
12 Nov 2022 AFC Telford United 0–1 Hereford National League - North
15 Apr 2022 Hereford 1–0 AFC Telford United National League - North
30 Aug 2021 AFC Telford United 0–0 Hereford National League - North
13 Aug 2019 Hereford 1–0 AFC Telford United National League - North

πŸ“ˆ Recent Form

Hereford

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Hednesford Town Home 0–1 L
26/09 Bedford Town Away 1–1 D
19/09 Stafford Rangers Away 2–3 L
12/09 South Shields Home 6–0 W
08/09 Harborough Town Away 3–0 W

AFC Telford United

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Darlington 1883 Home 2–1 W
10/10 Chorley Away 1–2 L
26/09 King's Lynn Town Home 0–5 L
22/09 Worksop Town Away 2–5 L
19/09 Worksop Town Home 2–2 D

πŸ“Š Season Comparison β€” National League North

Hereford #2 Β· 23 pts β€”  AFC Telford United #21 Β· 12 pts

Hereford

Wins–Draws–Losses7W–2D–2L
W 7
D 2
L 2
Played11
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.50
Clean sheets6
Failed to score1
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

AFC Telford United

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–6L
W 3
D 3
L 6
Played12
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
HerefordAFC Telford United
W 7
D 2
L 2
W 3
D 3
L 6
Played
11
12
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
0.90
Goals conceded (avg)
0.50
1.50
Clean sheets
6
3
Failed to score
1
3
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
1
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Hereford

1
0-15
1
1
16-30
3
2
31-45
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
4
2
76-90
9
scored conceded

AFC Telford United

3
0-15
4
16-30
1
1
31-45
4
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
4
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League North predictions Β· BTTS Β· Over/Under Β· Correct Score Β· Draws