Predictions → England National League North

AFC Telford United vs Hebburn Town

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 • 14:00 UTC+3 • National League North - 13 • New Bucks Head

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Draw 68% 28% — — — —
Double Chance 1X 68% 67.6% — — — —
BTTS Yes 81% 48.9% — — — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 80% 47.6% — — — —
Correct Score 1-1 71% 11.9% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: AFC Telford United 1.27 – 1.06 Hebburn Town · expected total 2.33

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

AFC Telford United

Form (last 5)
WDarlington 1883 (H) 2–1 · 17/10/2026LChorley (A) 1–2 · 10/10/2026LKing's Lynn Town (H) 0–5 · 26/09/2026LWorksop Town (A) 2–5 · 22/09/2026DWorksop Town (H) 2–2 · 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)0.90
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1464

Hebburn Town

Form (last 5)
LOxford City (H) 0–3 · 10/10/2026DDarlington 1883 (A) 1–1 · 26/09/2026LGuiseley AFC (H) 1–4 · 19/09/2026WHednesford Town (H) 2–1 · 12/09/2026LRadcliffe (A) 1–5 · 08/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.70
Win streak (best this season)3
Elo strength rating1338
AFC Telford UnitedHebburn Town
Goals scored (season avg)
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
1.70
Win streak (best this season)
2
3
Elo strength rating
1464
1338

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

AFC Telford United

BTTS
4/6
Over 2.5
5/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Hebburn Town

Winless 3
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — National League North

AFC Telford United

Worst attack (0.90 goals/game) 2nd best Over 2.5 rate (83%)

Hebburn Town

Best BTTS rate (83%)

Rank among 24 National League North teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

AFC Telford United at home · Hebburn Town away — the split that matters for this fixture.

AFC Telford United (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–3L
W 2
D 1
L 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2

Hebburn Town (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses1W–2D–2L
W 1
D 2
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.00
Goals conceded (avg)2.20
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1
AFC Telford United (home)Hebburn Town (away)
W 2
D 1
L 3
W 1
D 2
L 2
Played
6
5
Goals scored (avg)
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded (avg)
1.70
2.20
Clean sheets
1
0
Failed to score
2
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–1
11.9%
0–0
9.1%
2–2
3.6%
3–3
0.5%
4–4
0%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

📈 Recent Form

AFC Telford United

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 Darlington 1883 Home 2–1 W
10/10 Chorley Away 1–2 L
26/09 King's Lynn Town Home 0–5 L
22/09 Worksop Town Away 2–5 L
19/09 Worksop Town Home 2–2 D

Hebburn Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Oxford City Home 0–3 L
26/09 Darlington 1883 Away 1–1 D
19/09 Guiseley AFC Home 1–4 L
12/09 Hednesford Town Home 2–1 W
08/09 Radcliffe Away 1–5 L

📊 Season Comparison — National League North

AFC Telford United #21 · 12 pts —  Hebburn Town #8 · 18 pts

AFC Telford United

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–3D–6L
W 3
D 3
L 6
Played12
Goals scored (avg)0.90
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score3
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0

Hebburn Town

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–3D–4L
W 5
D 3
L 4
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.70
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
AFC Telford UnitedHebburn Town
W 3
D 3
L 6
W 5
D 3
L 4
Played
12
12
Goals scored (avg)
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.70
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
3
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
0/0
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

AFC Telford United

3
0-15
4
16-30
1
1
31-45
4
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
4
76-90
4
scored conceded

Hebburn Town

3
0-15
4
4
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
5
46-60
2
2
61-75
4
3
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League North predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws