Predictions → England National League North

Hednesford Town vs Spalding United

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 • 14:00 UTC+3 • National League North - 13

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 83% 54.4% — — — —
Double Chance 1X 74% 75.2% — — — —
BTTS Yes 83% 52.1% — — — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 81% 48.7% — — — —
Correct Score 2-1 64% 7.8% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: Hednesford Town 1.82 – 1.10 Spalding United · expected total 2.92

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Hednesford Town

Form (last 5)
WHereford (A) 1–0 · 10/10/2026WRadcliffe (H) 4–1 · 26/09/2026LCoventry United (H) 0–1 · 19/09/2026LHebburn Town (A) 1–2 · 12/09/2026WKing's Lynn Town (A) 3–2 · 08/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1431

Spalding United

Form (last 5)
LMarine (A) 0–1 · 10/10/2026WBury Town (H) 4–0 · 06/10/2026DBury Town (A) 1–1 · 03/10/2026LChorley (A) 1–2 · 26/09/2026WHanley Town (H) 2–0 · 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)0.80
Win streak (best this season)3
Elo strength rating1430
Hednesford TownSpalding United
LMarine (A) 0–1 · 10/10/2026WBury Town (H) 4–0 · 06/10/2026DBury Town (A) 1–1 · 03/10/2026LChorley (A) 1–2 · 26/09/2026WHanley Town (H) 2–0 · 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
0.80
Win streak (best this season)
1
3
Elo strength rating
1431
1430

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Hednesford Town

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Spalding United

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
2/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — National League North

Hednesford Town

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Spalding United

3rd best defence (0.80 conceded/game)

Rank among 24 National League North teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Hednesford Town at home · Spalding United away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Hednesford Town (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–2L
W 2
D 1
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.80
Clean sheets0
Failed to score1

Spalding United (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–3L
W 2
D 1
L 3
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Hednesford Town (home)Spalding United (away)
W 2
D 1
L 2
W 2
D 1
L 3
Played
5
6
Goals scored (avg)
2.20
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.80
1.00
Clean sheets
0
1
Failed to score
1
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–1
7.8%
2–0
7.1%
1–0
6.9%
3–1
4.7%
3–0
4.3%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

📈 Recent Form

Hednesford Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Hereford Away 1–0 W
26/09 Radcliffe Home 4–1 W
19/09 Coventry United Home 0–1 L
12/09 Hebburn Town Away 1–2 L
08/09 King's Lynn Town Away 3–2 W

Spalding United

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Marine Away 0–1 L
06/10 Bury Town Home 4–0 W
03/10 Bury Town Away 1–1 D
26/09 Chorley Away 1–2 L
19/09 Hanley Town Home 2–0 W

📊 Season Comparison — National League North

Hednesford Town #7 · 18 pts —  Spalding United #9 · 17 pts

Hednesford Town

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–3D–4L
W 5
D 3
L 4
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0

Spalding United

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–2D–4L
W 5
D 2
L 4
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)0.80
Clean sheets3
Failed to score4
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)0/0
Hednesford TownSpalding United
W 5
D 3
L 4
W 5
D 2
L 4
Played
12
11
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
0.80
Clean sheets
1
3
Failed to score
2
4
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
2
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
2/0
0/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Hednesford Town

5
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
3
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
5
5
76-90
3
scored conceded

Spalding United

1
0-15
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
2
76-90
4
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League North predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws