Bedford Town vs Chorley
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 17 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • National League North - 12 • The Eyrie
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 50.7% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 79.4% | — |
| BTTS | No | Current price not available | 53.8% · Yes 46.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | Current price not available | 58% · Over 42% | — |
| Correct Score | 1-0 | Current price not available | 12.9% | — |
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🧠 Match Preview
Bedford Town · Home
Bedford Town's recent home form includes a 1-0 win over Hednesford Town (1-0) and a 0-0 draw with Cray Wanderers (0-0), though they also lost 0-3 to Macclesfield (0-3). They failed to score in two of their last five matches, with a recent record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss.
Chorley · Away
Chorley's away results are mixed: a 3-0 win at Radcliffe (3-0) sits alongside 0-2 and 0-1 defeats on the road. They failed to score in two of their last five and have lost three of five overall.
Bedford's Home Edge Over Chorley
The latest head-to-head is the clearest angle: Bedford Town beat Chorley 2-0 at home (2-0), while Chorley's earlier 1-0 win came at their own ground (1-0). Bedford's home record in this sample includes a 1-0 win and a 0-0 draw, and the model gives them 1.5 expected goals against Chorley's 0.87. Chorley's away defeats of 0-2 and 0-1 show they can be held out on the road. The evidence supports Bedford Town win.
Published 01 Nov 2026 04:46 UTC+3. Analysis and numbers reflect the pre-match data snapshot available at publication.
⚽ Current model expected goals: Bedford Town 1.50 – 0.87 Chorley · expected total 2.36
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Bedford Town
Chorley
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Bedford Town at home · Chorley away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Bedford Town (home)
Chorley (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Bedford Town 1 win · 0 draws · Chorley 1 win · avg 1.5 goals · BTTS in 0 of 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Bedford Town | 2–0 | Chorley | National League - North |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Chorley | 1–0 | Bedford Town | National League - North |
📈 Recent Form
Bedford Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Macclesfield | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 27/10 | Hednesford Town | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Scarborough Athletic | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 20/10 | Cray Wanderers | Away | 2–2 | D |
| 17/10 | Cray Wanderers | Home | 0–0 | D |
| 10/10 | Chester | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 06/10 | Wingate & Finchley | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 03/10 | Wingate & Finchley | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 26/09 | Hereford | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | King's Lynn Town | Home | 2–1 | W |
Chorley
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Spennymoor Town | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 27/10 | Radcliffe | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Buxton | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 20/10 | Worcester City | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 17/10 | Worcester City | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 10/10 | AFC Telford United | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 03/10 | Barton Town Old Boys | Away | 4–1 | W |
| 26/09 | Spalding United | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Rylands | Away | 1–0 | W |
| 12/09 | King's Lynn Town | Away | 0–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: National League North
Bedford Town #10 · 22 pts · Chorley #12 · 20 pts
Bedford Town
Chorley
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Bedford Town
Chorley
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: National League North predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws