Predictions → England National League North

Bedford Town vs Hednesford Town

Next match: Tue, 27 Oct 2026 • 19:45 UTC+3 • National League North - 14

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 82% 50.4% — — — —
Double Chance 12 72% 73.6% — — — —
BTTS Yes 85% 57.5% — — — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 84% 53.9% — — — —
Correct Score 2-1 63% 7.3% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: Bedford Town 2.03 – 1.43 Hednesford Town · expected total 3.46

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Bedford Town

Form (last 5)
LChester (A) 0–1 · 10/10/2026WWingate & Finchley (A) 3–1 · 06/10/2026DWingate & Finchley (H) 2–2 · 03/10/2026DHereford (H) 1–1 · 26/09/2026WKing's Lynn Town (H) 2–1 · 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Win streak (best this season)4
Elo strength rating1430

Hednesford Town

Form (last 5)
WHereford (A) 1–0 · 10/10/2026WRadcliffe (H) 4–1 · 26/09/2026LCoventry United (H) 0–1 · 19/09/2026LHebburn Town (A) 1–2 · 12/09/2026WKing's Lynn Town (A) 3–2 · 08/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1431
Bedford TownHednesford Town
LChester (A) 0–1 · 10/10/2026WWingate & Finchley (A) 3–1 · 06/10/2026DWingate & Finchley (H) 2–2 · 03/10/2026DHereford (H) 1–1 · 26/09/2026WKing's Lynn Town (H) 2–1 · 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.40
1.50
Win streak (best this season)
4
1
Elo strength rating
1430
1431

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Bedford Town

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Hednesford Town

Won 2 in a row
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
3/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
1/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — National League North

Bedford Town

Best BTTS rate (83%)

Hednesford Town

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Rank among 24 National League North teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Bedford Town at home · Hednesford Town away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Bedford Town (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–1L
W 3
D 1
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.20
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0

Hednesford Town (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–2L
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)1.30
Clean sheets1
Failed to score1
Bedford Town (home)Hednesford Town (away)
W 3
D 1
L 1
W 2
D 2
L 2
Played
5
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.20
1.30
Clean sheets
1
1
Failed to score
0
1

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–1
7.3%
2–0
5.1%
3–1
4.9%
1–0
4.3%
3–2
3.5%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Bedford Town 1 win · 0 draws · Hednesford Town 1 win · avg 3.5 goals · BTTS in 2 of 2

1
1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
07 Jan 2023 Bedford Town 1–3 Hednesford Town Non League Premier - Southern Central
27 Aug 2022 Hednesford Town 1–2 Bedford Town Non League Premier - Southern Central

📈 Recent Form

Bedford Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Chester Away 0–1 L
06/10 Wingate & Finchley Away 3–1 W
03/10 Wingate & Finchley Home 2–2 D
26/09 Hereford Home 1–1 D
19/09 King's Lynn Town Home 2–1 W

Hednesford Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Hereford Away 1–0 W
26/09 Radcliffe Home 4–1 W
19/09 Coventry United Home 0–1 L
12/09 Hebburn Town Away 1–2 L
08/09 King's Lynn Town Away 3–2 W

📊 Season Comparison — National League North

Bedford Town #12 · 16 pts —  Hednesford Town #7 · 18 pts

Bedford Town

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–1D–5L
W 5
D 1
L 5
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Hednesford Town

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–3D–4L
W 5
D 3
L 4
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards2
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
Bedford TownHednesford Town
W 5
D 1
L 5
W 5
D 3
L 4
Played
11
12
Goals scored (avg)
1.30
1.60
Goals conceded (avg)
1.40
1.50
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
2
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
2
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Bedford Town

2
0-15
2
1
16-30
3
31-45
5
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
5
76-90
2
scored conceded

Hednesford Town

5
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
3
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
5
5
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League North predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws