Predictions → England National League North

Scarborough Athletic vs Bedford Town

Next match: Sat, 24 Oct 2026 • 14:00 UTC+3 • National League North - 13

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 82% 51.2% — — — —
Double Chance 1X 74% 75.2% — — — —
BTTS No 80% 48.2% — — — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 81% 48.3% — — — —
Correct Score 1-0 65% 8.8% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: Scarborough Athletic 1.60 – 0.97 Bedford Town · expected total 2.58

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Scarborough Athletic

Form (last 5)
LRadcliffe (A) 1–4 · 10/10/2026DMacclesfield (A) 2–2 · 03/10/2026DBrackley Town (A) 1–1 · 26/09/2026WDunston UTS (A) 2–0 · 19/09/2026DMerthyr Town (H) 0–0 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.50
Goals conceded (season avg)1.50
Win streak (best this season)2
Elo strength rating1581

Bedford Town

Form (last 5)
LChester (A) 0–1 · 10/10/2026WWingate & Finchley (A) 3–1 · 06/10/2026DWingate & Finchley (H) 2–2 · 03/10/2026DHereford (H) 1–1 · 26/09/2026WKing's Lynn Town (H) 2–1 · 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)1.40
Win streak (best this season)4
Elo strength rating1430
Scarborough AthleticBedford Town
LRadcliffe (A) 1–4 · 10/10/2026DMacclesfield (A) 2–2 · 03/10/2026DBrackley Town (A) 1–1 · 26/09/2026WDunston UTS (A) 2–0 · 19/09/2026DMerthyr Town (H) 0–0 · 12/09/2026
LChester (A) 0–1 · 10/10/2026WWingate & Finchley (A) 3–1 · 06/10/2026DWingate & Finchley (H) 2–2 · 03/10/2026DHereford (H) 1–1 · 26/09/2026WKing's Lynn Town (H) 2–1 · 19/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.50
1.40
Win streak (best this season)
2
4
Elo strength rating
1581
1430

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Scarborough Athletic

Winless 3
BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
2/6
Scored
4/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Bedford Town

BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — National League North

Scarborough Athletic

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Bedford Town

Best BTTS rate (83%)

Rank among 24 National League North teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Scarborough Athletic at home · Bedford Town away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Scarborough Athletic (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–1D–2L
W 2
D 1
L 2
Played5
Goals scored (avg)1.60
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets2
Failed to score3

Bedford Town (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–4L
W 2
L 4
Played6
Goals scored (avg)0.80
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Scarborough Athletic (home)Bedford Town (away)
W 2
D 1
L 2
W 2
L 4
Played
5
6
Goals scored (avg)
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded (avg)
0.60
1.50
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
3
2

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

1–0
8.8%
2–0
7.8%
2–1
7.6%
3–0
4.2%
3–1
4.1%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Bedford Town 0 wins · 2 draws · Scarborough Athletic 0 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 2 of 2

2
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
25 Apr 2026 Bedford Town 1–1 Scarborough Athletic National League - North
06 Dec 2025 Scarborough Athletic 2–2 Bedford Town National League - North

📈 Recent Form

Scarborough Athletic

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Radcliffe Away 1–4 L
03/10 Macclesfield Away 2–2 D
26/09 Brackley Town Away 1–1 D
19/09 Dunston UTS Away 2–0 W
12/09 Merthyr Town Home 0–0 D

Bedford Town

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Chester Away 0–1 L
06/10 Wingate & Finchley Away 3–1 W
03/10 Wingate & Finchley Home 2–2 D
26/09 Hereford Home 1–1 D
19/09 King's Lynn Town Home 2–1 W

📊 Season Comparison — National League North

Scarborough Athletic #14 · 15 pts —  Bedford Town #12 · 16 pts

Scarborough Athletic

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–3D–5L
W 4
D 3
L 5
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.50
Goals conceded (avg)1.50
Clean sheets3
Failed to score4
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)1/1

Bedford Town

Wins–Draws–Losses5W–1D–5L
W 5
D 1
L 5
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.30
Goals conceded (avg)1.40
Clean sheets2
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0
Scarborough AthleticBedford Town
W 4
D 3
L 5
W 5
D 1
L 5
Played
12
11
Goals scored (avg)
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded (avg)
1.50
1.40
Clean sheets
3
2
Failed to score
4
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
1
0
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/1
1/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Scarborough Athletic

1
0-15
1
2
16-30
3
2
31-45
4
3
46-60
3
3
61-75
1
5
76-90
4
scored conceded

Bedford Town

2
0-15
2
1
16-30
3
31-45
5
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
5
76-90
2
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League North predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws