Alfreton Town vs Southport
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round of 128 • ☁️ 6.3°C, 13 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 52.1% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 76.3% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 62% · No 38% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 61.5% · Under 38.5% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.7% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Alfreton Town 52.1% · Draw 24.2% · Southport 23.7%. Selected outcome: Alfreton Town win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Alfreton Town 1.93, Southport 1.25, expected total 3.18.
Price check
No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.
Form / H2H
Alfreton Town: W-W-D-D-L in their last five matches.
Southport: L-D-L-L-D in their last five matches.
Last meeting: Southport 2–1 Alfreton Town, 17 Mar 2026.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Alfreton Town
Southport
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Alfreton Town at home · Southport away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Alfreton Town (home)
Southport (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
⚔️ Head-to-Head
Alfreton Town 3 wins · 3 draws · Southport 4 wins · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 6 of 10
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar 2026 | Southport | 2–1 | Alfreton Town | National League - North |
| 16 Dec 2025 | Alfreton Town | 1–1 | Southport | National League - North |
| 04 Feb 2025 | Alfreton Town | 0–2 | Southport | National League - North |
| 10 Aug 2024 | Southport | 3–1 | Alfreton Town | National League - North |
| 27 Jan 2024 | Southport | 2–3 | Alfreton Town | National League - North |
| 12 Aug 2023 | Alfreton Town | 3–1 | Southport | National League - North |
| 21 Mar 2023 | Southport | 0–0 | Alfreton Town | National League - North |
| 20 Aug 2022 | Alfreton Town | 4–0 | Southport | National League - North |
| 26 Mar 2022 | Alfreton Town | 2–2 | Southport | National League - North |
| 23 Nov 2021 | Southport | 2–0 | Alfreton Town | National League - North |
📈 Recent Form
Alfreton Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | AFC Emley | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 24/10 | Mickleover Sports | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Warrington Town | Home | 1–1 | D |
| 13/10 | Ashton United | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 10/10 | Bury | Home | 2–3 | L |
| 06/10 | United of Manchester | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 03/10 | Redcar Athletic | Away | 1–3 | L |
| 29/09 | Guiseley AFC | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 26/09 | Shifnal Town FC | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 12/09 | Bamber Bridge | Away | 0–1 | L |
Southport
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | AFC Telford United | Home | 1–2 | L |
| 24/10 | King's Lynn Town | Away | 0–0 | D |
| 17/10 | Radcliffe | Home | 0–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Harborough Town | Away | 0–1 | L |
| 26/09 | Spennymoor Town | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 19/09 | Morecambe | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Worksop Town | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 08/09 | Morecambe | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 05/09 | Spalding United | Away | 0–2 | L |
| 31/08 | Hereford | Home | 0–1 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: FA Trophy
Alfreton Town
Southport
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Alfreton Town
Southport
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: FA Trophy predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws