Morecambe vs Hereford
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Tue, 10 Nov 2026 • 22:45 UTC+3 • National League North - 12 • The Mazuma Stadium • 🌦 8.6°C, 5 km/h, 0.2mm drizzle
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 50.6% | — |
| Double Chance | 1X | Current price not available | 75.6% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 60.6% · No 39.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 59.2% · Under 40.8% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.7% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Morecambe 50.6% · Draw 25.0% · Hereford 24.4%. Selected outcome: Morecambe win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Morecambe 1.85, Hereford 1.23, expected total 3.08.
Price check
No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.
Form / H2H
Morecambe: W-W-W-L-L in their last five matches.
Hereford: L-L-W-L-D in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Morecambe
Hereford
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: National League North
Morecambe
Hereford
Rank among 24 National League North teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Morecambe at home · Hereford away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Morecambe (home)
Hereford (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
📈 Recent Form
Morecambe
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Scarborough Athletic | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 27/10 | Darlington 1883 | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Merthyr Town | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 17/10 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Worksop Town | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 03/10 | Darlington 1883 | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 26/09 | Oxford City | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Southport | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Brackley Town | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 08/09 | Southport | Away | 1–2 | L |
Hereford
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | King's Lynn Town | Home | 0–3 | L |
| 27/10 | AFC Telford United | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 24/10 | Macclesfield | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Hednesford Town | Home | 0–1 | L |
| 26/09 | Bedford Town | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Stafford Rangers | Away | 2–3 | L |
| 12/09 | South Shields | Home | 6–0 | W |
| 08/09 | Harborough Town | Away | 3–0 | W |
| 05/09 | Spennymoor Town | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 31/08 | Southport | Away | 1–0 | W |
📊 Season Comparison: National League North
Morecambe #8 · 23 pts · Hereford #4 · 26 pts
Morecambe
Hereford
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Morecambe
Hereford
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: National League North predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws