Predictions → England National League North

Morecambe vs Darlington 1883

Next match: Tue, 27 Oct 2026 • 19:45 UTC+3 • National League North - 14 • The Mazuma Stadium

🎯 PredictLix Predictions

MarketTipConfidenceProbabilityOddsBookmakerMarket impliedEdge
Match Result (1X2) Home 92% 76.1% — — — —
Double Chance 1X 82% 86.3% — — — —
BTTS No 81% 49% — — — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 76% 38.9% — — — —
Correct Score 2-0 67% 9.8% — — — —

⚽ Model expected goals: Morecambe 2.24 – 0.80 Darlington 1883 · expected total 3.04

🔑 What Drives the Prediction

Morecambe

Form (last 5)
LWorksop Town (A) 1–2 · 10/10/2026WDarlington 1883 (H) 3–0 · 03/10/2026DOxford City (A) 1–1 · 26/09/2026WSouthport (H) 2–0 · 19/09/2026WBrackley Town (H) 3–0 · 12/09/2026
Goals scored (season avg)1.40
Goals conceded (season avg)1.00
Win streak (best this season)3
Elo strength rating1442

Darlington 1883

Form (last 5)
Goals scored (season avg)1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)2.00
Win streak (best this season)1
Elo strength rating1484
MorecambeDarlington 1883
Goals scored (season avg)
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded (season avg)
1.00
2.00
Win streak (best this season)
3
1
Elo strength rating
1442
1484

Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors — each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.

📈 Team Trends

Morecambe

BTTS
3/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
6/6
Clean sheets
3/6

Darlington 1883

Winless 4
BTTS
5/6
Over 2.5
4/6
Scored
5/6
Clean sheets
0/6

Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.

🏅 League Benchmarks — National League North

Morecambe

No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.

Darlington 1883

2nd worst defence (2.00 conceded/game) Best BTTS rate (83%)

Rank among 24 National League North teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets — season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates — last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.

🏠 Home vs Away Records

Morecambe at home · Darlington 1883 away — the split that matters for this fixture.

Morecambe (home)

Wins–Draws–Losses3W–1D–1L
W 3
D 1
L 1
Played5
Goals scored (avg)2.00
Goals conceded (avg)0.60
Clean sheets2
Failed to score1

Darlington 1883 (away)

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–0D–4L
W 2
L 4
Played6
Goals scored (avg)1.70
Goals conceded (avg)2.50
Clean sheets1
Failed to score0
Morecambe (home)Darlington 1883 (away)
W 3
D 1
L 1
W 2
L 4
Played
5
6
Goals scored (avg)
2.00
1.70
Goals conceded (avg)
0.60
2.50
Clean sheets
2
1
Failed to score
1
0

Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.

🎯 Most Likely Scorelines

2–0
9.8%
1–0
8%
2–1
7.8%
3–0
7.3%
3–1
5.8%

The five most probable exact scores for THIS fixture — computed from both teams' expected goals (score matrix), not generic league stats.

⚔️ Head-to-Head

Darlington 1883 0 wins · 0 draws · Morecambe 1 win · avg 3 goals · BTTS in 0 of 1

1
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
03 Oct 2026 Morecambe 3–0 Darlington 1883 FA Cup

📈 Recent Form

Morecambe

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
10/10 Worksop Town Away 1–2 L
03/10 Darlington 1883 Home 3–0 W
26/09 Oxford City Away 1–1 D
19/09 Southport Home 2–0 W
12/09 Brackley Town Home 3–0 W

Darlington 1883

DateOpponentVenueScoreResult
17/10 AFC Telford United Away 1–2 L
10/10 Merthyr Town Home 1–1 D
03/10 Morecambe Away 0–3 L
26/09 Hebburn Town Home 1–1 D
19/09 Redcar Town Away 4–2 W

📊 Season Comparison — National League North

Morecambe #19 · 14 pts —  Darlington 1883 #23 · 8 pts

Morecambe

Wins–Draws–Losses4W–2D–5L
W 4
D 2
L 5
Played11
Goals scored (avg)1.40
Goals conceded (avg)1.00
Clean sheets3
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards0
Penalties (scored/missed)1/0

Darlington 1883

Wins–Draws–Losses2W–2D–8L
W 2
D 2
L 8
Played12
Goals scored (avg)1.20
Goals conceded (avg)2.00
Clean sheets1
Failed to score2
Yellow cards0
Red cards1
Penalties (scored/missed)2/0
MorecambeDarlington 1883
W 4
D 2
L 5
W 2
D 2
L 8
Played
11
12
Goals scored (avg)
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded (avg)
1.00
2.00
Clean sheets
3
1
Failed to score
2
2
Yellow cards
0
0
Red cards
0
1
Penalties (scored/missed)
1/0
2/0

⏱️ Goal Timing (season)

Morecambe

1
0-15
1
3
16-30
31-45
1
3
46-60
6
1
61-75
2
4
76-90
4
scored conceded

Darlington 1883

3
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
4
31-45
5
7
46-60
2
5
61-75
1
4
76-90
3
scored conceded

Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.

More: National League North predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws