Leek Town vs Morecambe
This page follows the latest fixture between these teams. Previous predictions stay on the record below.
Next match: Sat, 14 Nov 2026 • 18:00 UTC+3 • Round of 128 • ☁️ 4.7°C, 14 km/h overcast
No Best Bet: no eligible value candidate at current conditions.
🎯 PredictLix Predictions
Predictions updated: 02 Nov 2026 07:08 UTC+3
| Market | Tip | Odds | Probability | Model EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match Result (1X2) | Home | Current price not available | 44% | — |
| Double Chance | 12 | Current price not available | 73.8% | — |
| BTTS | Yes | Current price not available | 60.9% · No 39.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | Current price not available | 57.7% · Under 42.3% | — |
| Correct Score | 2-1 | Current price not available | 9.2% | — |
Bookmaker links on this page: #ad · Play Safe · T&Cs apply · 18+
🧠 Match Preview
Model view
Model 1X2 split: Leek Town 44.0% · Draw 26.2% · Morecambe 29.8%. Selected outcome: Leek Town win.
Goals
Model expected goals: Leek Town 1.67, Morecambe 1.34, expected total 3.01.
Price check
No current price is available, so model EV cannot be calculated.
Form / H2H
Leek Town: L-L-W-W-D in their last five matches.
Morecambe: W-W-W-L-L in their last five matches.
Historical form, not a probability for the next match.
Limitations
Lineups, injuries and late team news can change the outlook. Probabilities are model estimates, not guarantees.
🔑 What Drives the Prediction
Headline inputs behind this prediction. The full model combines 20+ weighted factors, each published with an evidence level (A–D) in How we predict — including proprietary signals and calibration we don't publish, into the final probabilities.
📈 Team Trends
Leek Town
Morecambe
Streaks run from the most recent match; ratios cover each team's last 6 matches in all competitions.
🏅 League Benchmarks: FA Trophy
Leek Town
Morecambe
No top-3 or bottom-2 marks in the league right now.
Rank among 43 FA Trophy teams. Attack, defence and clean sheets are season league stats; BTTS and Over 2.5 rates cover the last 6 matches, all competitions. Only top-3 and bottom-2 marks are shown.
🏠 Home vs Away Records
Leek Town at home · Morecambe away, the split that matters for this fixture.
Leek Town (home)
Morecambe (away)
Season record of the home team at its own ground against the away team's record on the road.
🎯 Most Likely Scores for the Selected 1X2 Outcome
Over/Under and BTTS tips are aligned with the leading scoreline. Alternative scores below may belong to other goal-total or BTTS outcomes. Percentages are estimated probabilities of the exact scores, not probabilities conditional on any scenario.
📈 Recent Form
Leek Town
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Curzon Ashton | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 27/10 | Bury | Away | 3–5 | L |
| 24/10 | Bootle | Home | 4–1 | W |
| 17/10 | Lancaster City | Away | 2–1 | W |
| 10/10 | Ashton United | Home | 2–2 | D |
| 06/10 | Rylands | Home | 3–3 | D |
| 26/09 | Worcester City | Away | 2–0 | W |
| 22/09 | Hyde United | Home | 2–1 | W |
| 19/09 | Bromsgrove Sporting | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 12/09 | Redcar Athletic | Away | 2–3 | L |
Morecambe
| Date | Opponent | Venue | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10 | Scarborough Athletic | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 27/10 | Darlington 1883 | Home | 1–0 | W |
| 24/10 | Merthyr Town | Away | 3–1 | W |
| 17/10 | AFC Rushden & Diamonds | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 10/10 | Worksop Town | Away | 1–2 | L |
| 03/10 | Darlington 1883 | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 26/09 | Oxford City | Away | 1–1 | D |
| 19/09 | Southport | Home | 2–0 | W |
| 12/09 | Brackley Town | Home | 3–0 | W |
| 08/09 | Southport | Away | 1–2 | L |
📊 Season Comparison: FA Trophy
Leek Town
Morecambe
⏱️ Goal Timing (season)
Leek Town
Morecambe
Goals by 15-minute intervals this season. Late-game scoring patterns matter for live and "goal in last 15 minutes" markets.
More: FA Trophy predictions · BTTS · Over/Under · Correct Score · Draws